Zсode System Automated Winning Sports Picks

Kansas City Royals at Arizona Diamondbacks

Score prediction: Kansas City 8 - Arizona 4
Confidence in prediction: 64.6%

MLB Game Preview: Kansas City Royals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (July 5, 2025)

As the Kansas City Royals face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks for the second game of a three-game series, the stakes are high following Arizona's surprising 9-3 loss to Kansas City in their previous matchup. According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations, the Diamondbacks are favored with a 58% chance to win this encounter. However, those looking for a surprise upset may want to pay attention to Kansas City, which presents a solid underdog opportunity with a 5.00 Star Underdog Pick.

Both teams are currently mid-way through significant trips: Kansas City embarks on its 50th away game this season against an Arizona outfit playing its 51st home game. The Royals are in the middle of a rigorous road trip, having played six of their last seven games away from home, while the Diamondbacks are enjoying nine home matchups out of their last ten. Irrespective of Arizona’s overall improvement this season, their performances in recent outings have raised concerns, particularly after a disheartening loss against Kansas City on July 4.

When it comes to pitching, Michael Wacha takes the mound for Kansas City. He currently ranks 35th on the season's Top 100 Rating and boasts an impressive 3.62 ERA. On the opposing side, the Diamondbacks will rely on Ryne Nelson, who has not garnered a Top 100 ranking despite having a similar ERA of 3.61. While temperature differences in both players' standings are notable, the battle on the mound could lean in Wacha's favor given his higher ranking, infusing Kansas City with confidence.

In terms of betting lines, Kansas City’s moneyline sits at 2.184, presenting enticing odds for those willing to take a risk on a team recently showcased as a hot underdog. Notably, there’s a 75% calculated chance the Royals will cover the +1.5 spread, providing further allure to cautious bettors. Recent performance statistics reveal Kansas City's mixed streak of wins and losses—exemplified by their recent victories over Arizona and Seattle. Similarly, the Diamondbacks suffered two consecutive losses against formidable opponents, including their recent clash with the Royals and a previous encounter with the San Francisco Giants.

When factoring in the Over/Under line, set at 8.50, betting analyses suggest a projected likelihood of 60.28% for hitting the Over, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair that could leverage Kansas City’s recent offensive firepower. Furthermore, given past rivalries where Kansas City has clinched victory 9 out of the last 20 matchups, fans and analysts alike are eager to see how the team reinvigorates the seemingly wary Diamondbacks.

In conclusion, Kansas City demonstrates excellent underdog potential in this matchup, with various statistical affirmations to support a significant value bet. The confident score prediction stands at Kansas City 8, Arizona 4, which emphasizes the Royals' offensive momentum alongside the struggling form of the Diamondbacks. Be sure to keep an eye on this thrilling encounter across the diamond as it unfolds in the sun-drenched Arizona backdrop.

Kansas City injury report: A. Marsh (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 01, '25)), C. Ragans (Fifteen Day IL - Rotator Cuff( Jun 10, '25)), H. Harvey (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 04, '25)), J. McArthur (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 30, '25)), M. Massey (Ten Day IL - Ankle( Jun 09, '25))

Arizona injury report: A. Puk (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 30, '25)), B. Walston (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 22, '25)), C. Burnes (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 06, '25)), C. Carroll (Ten Day IL - Hand( Jun 23, '25)), C. Mena (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 09, '25)), C. Montes De Oca (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25)), G. Moreno (Ten Day IL - Hand( Jun 18, '25)), I. Vargas (Ten Day IL - Foot( Jun 24, '25)), J. Martinez (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 14, '25)), J. Montgomery (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 25, '25)), K. Graveman (Fifteen Day IL - Hip( Jun 08, '25))

Baltimore Orioles at Atlanta Braves

Score prediction: Baltimore 3 - Atlanta 4
Confidence in prediction: 59.6%

Game Preview: Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves - July 5, 2025

As the Baltimore Orioles take on the Atlanta Braves in the second matchup of their three-game series, an interesting controversy is shaping up around the prediction landscape. While the bookies have named the Braves as favorites, citing a moneyline of 1.778, advanced statistical models like ZCode are predicting the Orioles to be the actual winners of this contest based on historical performance. This scenario presents an intriguing conflict for bettors and fans alike, as analytics challenge conventional betting wisdom.

The Atlanta Braves enter this game with a solid home record of 24-21 this season, playing their 46th home game. However, despite their home-field advantage, they have showcased inconsistency lately, evident in their recent streak of L-L-W-L-L-W, which has raised questions about their current form. In contrast, the Orioles are playing their 49th away game this season and are currently on a road trip, having won 5 out of their last 6. This pattern of strong performance away from home could play a crucial role as they aim to build momentum coming off their recent 3-2 victory in Atlanta on July 4.

On the mound, the pitching matchup features Dean Kremer for the Orioles, who ranks 50th on ZCode's Top 100 Ratings and carries a 4.27 ERA. Contrast this with Braves' starter Aaron Bummer, who, despite not making the Top 100 rankings, shows a respectable but lower 2.86 ERA. This may give the Orioles an edge if Kremer can leverage the early momentum to keep his team competitive against the front-running Braves lineup.

Recent encounters between these two teams suggest an edge for Atlanta, who holds a 11-8 advantage in their last 19 meetings, although the dynamics appear to be shifting based on current form and performance metrics. Atlanta's immediate future looks challenging as they face a potentially hot Orioles lineup before heading to take on the Athletics.

In terms of betting trends, the model predicts a low confidence, underdog-value pick with the Baltimore Orioles rated at 3 stars against the Braves. The statistics supporting this side also underline that historically, teams rated similarly on the road in average status have shown an even split over the last 30 days, providing intrigue for fans considering betting on Baltimore.

As the game unfolds, confidence levels hover around 59.6% for Baltimore’s potential to pull off an upset, emphasizing the razor-thin margins on which this game hinges. Curiously, our predictive score ends with the Braves narrowly ahead at 4-3, accentuating what promises to be an exciting face-off between two competitive teams. Expect a game filled with tension, strategy, and passionate interpretations of the age-old debate between betting favorites and data-driven insights.

Baltimore injury report: A. Rutschman (Ten Day IL - Oblique( Jun 20, '25)), A. Suarez (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 06, '25)), C. Poteet (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 29, '25)), C. Povich (Fifteen Day IL - Hip( Jun 15, '25)), C. Tromp (Ten Day IL - Back( Jun 30, '25)), G. Rodriguez (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 26, '25)), J. Mateo (Ten Day IL - Elbow( Jun 09, '25)), K. Akin (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jul 01, '25)), K. Bradish (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 20, '25)), M. Handley (Seven Day IL - Head( Jun 22, '25)), R. Mountcastle (Sixty Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 22, '25)), T. Wells (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 22, '25)), Z. Eflin (Fifteen Day IL - Back( Jun 29, '25))

Atlanta injury report: A. Smith-Shawver (Sixty Day IL - Calf/Elbow( Jun 08, '25)), C. Sale (Sixty Day IL - Rib( Jun 30, '25)), J. Jimenez (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Mar 30, '25)), R. Lopez (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 02, '25)), S. Schwellenbach (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jul 01, '25))

Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins

Score prediction: Milwaukee 6 - Miami 2
Confidence in prediction: 70.3%

Game Preview: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins (July 5, 2025)

As the Milwaukee Brewers take on the Miami Marlins for the second game of their three-game series, all eyes will be on the field at LoanDepot park. According to Z Code statistical analysis, Milwaukee stands as a solid favorite with a 53% chance of emerging victorious. However, the matchup has a pronounced underdog angle for Miami, highlighted by a 3.00 Star Underdog Pick suggesting that they could keep the game competitive.

Both teams are nearing the halfway point of their respective seasons, with this game marking Milwaukee's 48th away outing and Miami's 48th home game. The Brewers are currently five games deep into a road trip, which may be playing a role in their overall performance. Conversely, the Marlins are on a home trip of six games, having successfully so far captured two of their last three matchups. Despite sustaining some losses, their recent performance indicates they are capable of rising to the occasion.

On the mound, Milwaukee will send Chad Patrick, ranked 31st in the league’s Top 100 Ratings, to start the game. With a respectable ERA of 3.51, Patrick has shown he can handle the pressure, especially during pivotal matchups like this one. Meanwhile, Miami will counter with Cal Quantrill, who has struggled this season with a higher ERA of 5.42 and currently is not ranked among the Top 100 pitchers. This pitching matchup could heavily influence the outcome, leading to a strategic battle that favors Milwaukee on paper.

Tidal patterns from the sportsbooks suggest Miami has a moneyline of 2.221, and they have covered the spread 100% of their last five games as underdogs. Additionally, the statistical analysis carries a very high chance—75%—that Miami can cover the +1.5 spread despite concerns about their starting pitcher. Historical performance also leans towards Miami’s competitive history against Milwaukee; in the last 20 encounters, the Marlins have emerged victorious 11 times.

To rehash the recent results, Miami lost a closely contested match against Milwaukee on July 4, trimming the gap 6-5, while they had previously won against the Minnesota Twins. For Milwaukee, they just claimed a road win against the Marlins but fell short to the New York Mets on July 3 in a narrowly-lost encounter. Each team is navigating their recent forms, indicating that the psychological momentum could heavily weigh on the outcome of today’s matchup.

As for the final predictions, sentiments lean towards a winning outcome for Milwaukee, estimated at 6-2, with a confidence level of 70.3%. Nonetheless, there exists a low-confidence underdog value right here at Miami. Expect this tightly contested game to showcase both flair and strategy, with the prospect of either team staying in the race deep into the ballgame. If Miami's recent underdog trend holds, they could certainly alter expectations and surprise the favored Brewers.

Milwaukee injury report: B. Perkins (Sixty Day IL - Shin( Apr 25, '25)), B. Woodruff (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 11, '25)), C. Thomas (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 17, '25)), G. Mitchell (Ten Day IL - Oblique( Apr 25, '25)), N. Cortes (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 19, '25)), R. Gasser (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 11, '25)), R. Zastryzny (Fifteen Day IL - Ribs( Jun 30, '25))

Miami injury report: A. Nardi (Sixty Day IL - Back( Mar 14, '25)), B. Garrett (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 11, '25)), G. Conine (Sixty Day IL - Arm( Apr 29, '25)), J. Tinoco (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 05, '25)), M. Meyer (Sixty Day IL - Hip( Jun 30, '25)), R. Brantly (Sixty Day IL - Lat( May 23, '25)), R. Weathers (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Jun 08, '25))

Pittsburgh Pirates at Seattle Mariners

Score prediction: Pittsburgh 7 - Seattle 4
Confidence in prediction: 50.8%

Game Preview: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Seattle Mariners – July 5, 2025

As the Pittsburgh Pirates face off against the Seattle Mariners for the second game of their three-game series, the Mariners enter as solid favorites with a 54% chance of victory according to the ZCode model. This matchup comes on the heels of an emphatic 6-0 win for Seattle, putting them in a strong position. The Pirates, playing their 46th away game this season, are looking to turn around their fortunes against a Mariners team that boasts a 23-24 home record in 2025.

Pittsburgh is currently on a challenging road trip, having lost their last game in downtown Seattle. Their starting pitcher, Mike Burrows, opens against the Mariners and carries a 4.15 ERA into this crucial game. Burrows has been a reliable arm but has struggled to secure a place among the league's best pitchers, as reflected by his absence from the Top 100 Ratings this season. On the other hand, the Mariners will counter with Luis Castillo, who ranks 34th in the Top 100 Pitchers and possesses a solid 3.55 ERA, positioning him to play a vital role in Seattle's efforts to maintain their momentum in front of their home crowd.

Seattle is currently on a home trip, winning 6 of their last 7 games, marking them as the team in better form heading into this matchup. The Mariners' recent performance includes a fluctuating streak reflective of a competitive season, with their latest three games having a win-loss-win pattern that speaks to their potential to dominate. Impressively, Seattle has won 12 of their last 20 encounters with the Pirates, further establishing a psychological edge in this matchup.

Bookmakers indicate a moneyline of 1.546 for Seattle, while recent trends lend credence to their position as favorites. Notably, Seattle has achieved a strong 67% winning rate in their last six games, while Pittsburgh has delivered an 80% success rate against the spread in their past five contests as underdogs, suggesting they remain competitive despite their recent struggles. However, due to the expected performance dynamics, we recommend caution and suggest avoiding placing bets on this game due to a lack of value in the line.

In terms of outlook, while both teams are trying to stay competitive within their respective contexts, the prediction leans towards a higher scoring event with Pittsburgh overcoming their previous lackluster performance. The final score is projected at Pittsburgh 7, Seattle 4, although there's only 50.8% confidence in this prediction. With the Pirates needing a response and the Mariners aiming to secure a series win, this promising matchup presents the potential for a thrilling showdown in Seattle.

Pittsburgh injury report: C. Holderman (Fifteen Day IL - Thumb( May 19, '25)), E. Rodriguez (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 12, '25)), E. Valdez (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 13, '25)), J. Jones (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 30, '25)), J. Lawrence (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 02, '25)), J. Oviedo (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 02, '25)), R. Borucki (Fifteen Day IL - Back( Jun 20, '25)), T. Mayza (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 23, '25))

Seattle injury report: B. Miller (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 09, '25)), C. Snider (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 03, '25)), G. Santos (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Apr 28, '25)), R. Bliss (Sixty Day IL - Biceps( Apr 12, '25)), V. Robles (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 22, '25))

Boston Red Sox at Washington Nationals

Score prediction: Boston 1 - Washington 4
Confidence in prediction: 54.8%

MLB Game Preview: Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals (July 5, 2025)

As the Boston Red Sox face off against the Washington Nationals in the second game of their three-game series, a significant controversy lies within the pre-game predictions. While bookmakers have installed the Boston Red Sox as the favorites, the ZCode calculations suggest that the Washington Nationals are the real contenders to win this matchup. This divergence highlights the unpredictability that often shapes baseball games, reminding fans to consider historical statistics over betting lines.

The Red Sox currently sport a road record of 25 wins and 21 losses this season as they prepare for their 47th away game. Meanwhile, the Nationals will be playing in their 48th home game of the season. Boston enters this contest riding a two-game road trip, having recently secured a decisive victory. In contrast, Washington is currently on their home stretch, coming off a loss to the same Red Sox team, who delivered a resounding 11-2 defeat yesterday, signaling low morale and further challenges ahead for the Nationals.

On the mound, the matchup appears favorable for Washington despite the defeat. Boston's Walker Buehler, though a known name, is struggling with a 6.45 ERA and is not among the top performers this season. Conversely, Washington's Mitchell Parker, ranked 61st in the Top 100 Ratings, offers more consistency with a 4.63 ERA. This contrasting pitching dynamic sets the stage for an intriguing game, especially given Boston’s relatively uninspiring performance from their starter thus far.

In terms of team form, the Red Sox have alternating results in their latest matchups, exhibiting a mixed streak (W-L-W-W-L-W), and recently lost to Cincinnati (8-4) before dominating the Nationals on the Fourth of July. Washington, on the other hand, needs to regroup after their lopsided loss, particularly since their most recent victory was against a struggling Detroit team, further complicating their confidence heading into this game.

Looking at the odds, Boston bears a moneyline of 1.930 and an impressive 78.10% chance to cover a -1.5 spread based on game predictions. However, considering the expected tight contest, a far more compelling outcome may be in store, with predictions suggesting a tight game could perhaps be dictated by only a single run. Historical meetings indicate that Boston has historically dominated this matchup, having won 15 out of the last 20 clashes.

As it stands, analysts forecast a final score of Boston 1, Washington 4, with a confidence rating of 54.8%. The stage is set for a compelling clash at the ballpark, a must-watch for fans and analysts attuned to the forces at play in this unpredictable sport.

Boston injury report: A. Bregman (Ten Day IL - Quad( May 23, '25)), H. Dobbins (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 21, '25)), J. Slaten (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 27, '25)), J. Winckowski (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 06, '25)), K. Crawford (Sixty Day IL - Knee( May 15, '25)), L. Guerrero (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 27, '25)), L. Hendriks (Fifteen Day IL - Hip( May 29, '25)), M. Yoshida (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 21, '25)), N. Burdi (Fifteen Day IL - Knee( Jun 02, '25)), P. Sandoval (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 14, '25)), T. Casas (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Jun 02, '25)), T. Houck (Fifteen Day IL - Flexor( May 13, '25)), Z. Kelly (Fifteen Day IL - Oblique( Jul 03, '25))

Washington injury report: D. Crews (Ten Day IL - Back( May 20, '25)), D. Herz (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 25, '25)), D. Law (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Mar 25, '25)), J. Gray (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 15, '25)), M. Thompson (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 18, '25)), O. Ribalta (Fifteen Day IL - Bicep( Apr 12, '25)), T. Williams (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jul 03, '25))

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Dodgers

Score prediction: Houston 3 - Los Angeles Dodgers 8
Confidence in prediction: 68.3%

Game Preview: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (July 5, 2025)

The stage is set for an exciting matchup as the Houston Astros visit the Los Angeles Dodgers for the second game of their three-game series at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers enter this contest as strong favorites, with Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations providing them a 58% chance to secure a victory tonight. With a solid showing at home this season, boasting a 33-15 record, Los Angeles will look to leverage their familiar surroundings to rebound from an embarrassing 1-18 loss against the Astros just yesterday.

For Houston, this game marks their 45th away outing of the season. Currently on a road trip that features five games in six days, the Astros are tasked with navigating the potential challenges of fatigue and recent momentum shifts. While they enjoyed a commanding victory in last night’s matchup, the test against the Dodgers' offense will require them to sustain focus and capitalize when opportunities arise.

On the mound, the Astros will rely on left-handed pitcher Framber Valdez, who ranks 16th in the Top 100 ratings this season with a commendable ERA of 2.72. Valdez's ability to keep the opposition at bay will be pivotal in maintaining the success that Houston experienced during the series opener. In contrast, the Dodgers will send Shohei Ohtani to the hill. Though not currently in the Top 100 ratings, Ohtani boasts a lower ERA of 2.25, showcasing his potential as a top pitcher capable of big moments in crucial games.

From a betting perspective, the odds for the Dodgers' moneyline sit at 1.729, further bolstered by their recent performance trends, including a 67% winning rate across their last six games. This gives bettors confidence, considering the Dodgers have won 80% of their last five outings when favored. Additionally, the Over/Under line for the game is set at 8.50, with a projected inclination towards the Over at 55.53%, pointing to a probable offensive showdown.

With insights drawn from the season's trajectory and the recent meeting between these two teams—where Los Angeles triumphed ten out of the previous twenty matchups—the outlook suggests the Dodgers could assert control. Despite the last game blowout loss, the experience, record, and pitching potential seem to favor them this time around.

In conclusion, while Houston aims to build on their morale-boosting victory, Los Angeles will seek retaliation and stronger performance at home. Our score prediction is Houston falls 3-8 to the Dodgers, with 68.3% confidence in the outcome, setting the stage for a thrilling evening at the ballpark.

Houston injury report: B. Rodgers (Ten Day IL - Oblique( Jun 17, '25)), C. Javier (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 31, '25)), C. McCormick (Ten Day IL - Oblique( May 30, '25)), H. Wesneski (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 19, '25)), J. France (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Mar 26, '25)), J. Melton (Ten Day IL - Ankle( Jun 13, '25)), J. Pena (Ten Day IL - Rib( Jun 29, '25)), L. Garcia (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 06, '25)), L. Guillorme (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( Jul 01, '25)), P. Leon (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Jun 23, '25)), R. Blanco (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 31, '25)), S. Arrighetti (Sixty Day IL - Thumb( Jun 13, '25)), S. Dubin (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 23, '25)), Y. Alvarez (Sixty Day IL - Hand( Jul 01, '25)), Z. Dezenzo (Ten Day IL - Hand( May 31, '25))

Los Angeles Dodgers injury report: B. Graterol (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Mar 16, '25)), B. Snell (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 16, '25)), B. Treinen (Sixty Day IL - Forearm( Apr 30, '25)), E. Phillips (Sixty Day IL - forearm( May 28, '25)), G. Stone (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Feb 10, '25)), K. Hurt (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 01, '25)), M. Grove (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Mar 16, '25)), M. Kopech (Fifteen Day IL - Knee( Jun 30, '25)), M. Muncy (Ten Day IL - Knee( Jul 02, '25)), R. Ryan (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 12, '25)), R. Sasaki (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 19, '25)), T. Glasnow (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 30, '25)), T. Gonsolin (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25))

Los Angeles Angels at Toronto Blue Jays

Score prediction: Los Angeles Angels 1 - Toronto 11
Confidence in prediction: 70.8%

Game Preview: Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays (July 5, 2025)

As we approach this exciting matchup on Independence Day weekend, the Toronto Blue Jays are poised to capitalize on their favorable home conditions against the Los Angeles Angels. According to Z Code Calculations, the Blue Jays hold a solid 63% chance of defeating the Angels in this contest, solidifying their position as the favorites for this game. With a star rating prediction of 3.50 on the home team, and 3.00 on the underdog denoting some potential for the Angels, implications suggest a competitive spirit but a likely edge for Toronto.

The Angels, currently on a challenging road trip that marks their 51st away game of the season, have faced inconsistency, demonstrating a mixed bag of results with a streak of alternating wins and losses. They recently succumbed to a closely contested 3-4 defeat against the Blue Jays on July 4 but managed to notch a win against the Atlanta Braves before that, indicating they can be a competitive force on any given day. Conversely, the Blue Jays have enjoyed the advantage of a home series and are currently riding a six-game win streak, reinforcing their status as a “burning hot” team at the moment.

On the mound, tonight's starting pitchers are an essential consideration for fans and bettors alike. For Los Angeles, Jack Kochanowicz, under the 5.44 ERA threshold and unlisted in the top pitching rankings this season, faces a tough assignment. Toronto counters with the seasoned Max Scherzer, whose own 4.85 ERA does not reflect his experience and talent but may indicate an opening for the Angels to exploit. The matchup showcases two pitchers who have room for significant improvement, which could heavily influence game tempo and scores.

The odds are nuanced, with Las Vegas displaying a moneyline for the Angels at 2.487 and an impressive calculated chance of covering the +1.5 spread at 81.25%, underscoring the belief that this will be a close match. Over the history of encounters between these teams, with the Angels winning 7 out of the last 20, speculation continues about the capability of the Angels to pull through or the potential dominance of the Blue Jays, who are on a definitive upward trend.

Looking ahead, the Blue Jays are slated to face the Chicago White Sox after this series, placing increased relevance on today's performance to maintain momentum. In contrast, the Angels have a critical stretch ahead, facing Texas next – a matchup that could easily determine their fate heading into the latter half of the season. In summary, with the Blue Jays studying their surroundings, they compile the glories of home-field flight, backed by statistical metrics showing a solid opportunity to paint the sky blue.

Prediction

Ultimately, we quantify a score prediction of Los Angeles Angels 1 - Toronto Blue Jays 11, with a confidence of 70.8% in the Blue Jays' performance and conclusion. As such, bettors should consider placing a moneyline on the Blue Jays, savvy about betting against a sporadically underperforming underdog in the Angels. Amid this commanding atmosphere at Rogers Centre, fans can expect another gripping encounter filled with playoff implications as both teams threaten to use all available resources to snatch the victory.

Los Angeles Angels injury report: A. Rendon (Sixty Day IL - Hip( Feb 14, '25)), B. Joyce (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 13, '25)), C. Moore (Ten Day IL - Thumb( Jul 02, '25)), C. Taylor (Ten Day IL - Hand( Jun 09, '25)), R. Stephenson (Fifteen Day IL - Bicep( Jun 01, '25)), Y. Moncada (Ten Day IL - Knee( Jun 01, '25))

Toronto injury report: A. Bastardo (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 11, '25)), A. Gimenez (Day To Day - Ankle( Jul 03, '25)), A. Manoah (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 16, '25)), A. Santander (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jul 03, '25)), B. Francis (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 16, '25)), D. Varsho (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( May 31, '25)), P. Schultz (Fifteen Day IL - Middle Finger( Jun 28, '25)), R. Burr (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 26, '25)), V. Guerrero Jr. (Day To Day - Foot( Jul 03, '25))

New York Yankees at New York Mets

Score prediction: New York Yankees 3 - New York Mets 8
Confidence in prediction: 70.7%

As the New York Yankees prepare to take on their cross-town rivals, the New York Mets, in the second game of a pivotal three-game series on July 5, 2025, the stage is set for an intriguing matchup that has stirred controversy in the betting community. The bookmakers have installed the Yankees as the favorites, but predictive models, particularly from ZCode, suggest the Mets are the likely victors. This dichotomy speaks volumes about the uncertainties inherent in baseball and how betting odds can diverge from predictive analytics.

During the ongoing season, the Yankees have struggled on the road, presenting a modest record of 23 wins in 50 away games. The Bronx Bombers are currently deep into a road trip, playing their sixth game out of seven on the road, which could be contributing to their recent downturn; they have lost four of their last five matches. In contrast, the Mets are experiencing a surge of momentum at home, with this game marking their 49th contest at Citi Field — they have indeed capitalized on being back on familiar turf, as evidenced by their latest win against the Yankees in this same series.

On the mound, the Yankees will send out Carlos Rodón, who is enjoying a strong season so far with a solid ERA of 2.95 that puts him at 21st in the league's top 100 pitcher ratings. However, Rodón will face a tough test, particularly as his team's hitters have recently struggled against opposing pitching. On the other side, Frankie Montas takes the mound for the Mets, although he does not appear in the top rankings due to a lackluster ERA of 6.00. Nonetheless, Montas is looking to leverage the momentum from his previous performances, especially after securing a victory against the same New York squad just a day prior.

Recent head-to-head outcomes raise additional intrigue: over the last 19 matchups between these two teams, the Yankees have defeated the Mets 8 times. This historical context offers some solace for Yankees fans who hope to turn cultural dynasties around, but their recent form tells a different story as they attempt to bounce back from consecutive defeats — namely a close 5-6 loss in the opening game of the series.

Hot trends support the Mets' cause as the home underdogs with exciting odds, particularly their favorable 5 stars status paired with a "Burning Hot" designation. Betting on the Mets to cover the +1.5 spread shows a statistically sound chance of 59.10%, which could be an avenue for risk-taking bettors. As we assess potential outcomes, we've placed our score prediction at Yankees 3 - Mets 8, reflecting a 70.7% confidence in this forecast. With every element considered, the Mets have a clear opportunity to capitalize on their home turf as they look for another victory against their fiercest rivals.

New York Yankees injury report: C. Schmidt (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jul 03, '25)), F. Cruz (Fifteen Day IL - Oblique( Jun 29, '25)), G. Cole (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 21, '25)), J. Cousins (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 17, '25)), L. Gil (Sixty Day IL - Back( Mar 23, '25)), O. Cabrera (Sixty Day IL - Ankle( Jun 18, '25)), R. Yarbrough (Fifteen Day IL - Oblique( Jun 21, '25)), Y. De Los Santos (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25))

New York Mets injury report: A. Minter (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Apr 30, '25)), B. Raley (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 29, '25)), C. Scott (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 25, '25)), D. Nunez (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jul 02, '25)), D. Smith (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 12, '25)), D. Young (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 03, '25)), G. Canning (Sixty Day IL - Achilles( Jun 26, '25)), J. Butto (Fifteen Day IL - Illness( Jul 03, '25)), J. Siri (Sixty Day IL - Shin( Jun 22, '25)), J. Winker (Sixty Day IL - Side( Jun 24, '25)), K. Senga (Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 12, '25)), M. Kranick (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25)), N. Madrigal (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Feb 23, '25)), P. Blackburn (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 29, '25)), S. Manaea (Sixty Day IL - Oblique( Apr 28, '25)), T. Megill (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jul 03, '25))

Port Adelaide Power at Brisbane Lions

Game result: Port Adelaide Power 92 Brisbane Lions 120

Score prediction: Port Adelaide Power 39 - Brisbane Lions 115
Confidence in prediction: 37.9%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The Brisbane Lions are a solid favorite with a 81% chance to beat the Port Adelaide Power.

They are at home this season.

According to bookies the odd for Brisbane Lions moneyline is 1.180.

The latest streak for Brisbane Lions is W-L-L-W-W-L.

Next games for Brisbane Lions against: @Carlton Blues (Ice Cold Down)

Last games for Brisbane Lions were: 92-51 (Win) @Geelong Cats (Burning Hot Down) 20 June, 107-96 (Loss) Greater Western Sydney (Burning Hot) 13 June

Next games for Port Adelaide Power against: West Coast Eagles (Dead)

Last games for Port Adelaide Power were: 60-110 (Win) Carlton Blues (Ice Cold Down) 26 June, 71-52 (Loss) Sydney Swans (Average Down) 21 June

The Over/Under line is 169.50. The projection for Over is 95.63%.

Hawthorn Hawks at St Kilda Saints

Game result: Hawthorn Hawks 94 St Kilda Saints 74

Score prediction: Hawthorn Hawks 120 - St Kilda Saints 48
Confidence in prediction: 55.3%

According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations The Hawthorn Hawks are a solid favorite with a 75% chance to beat the St Kilda Saints.

They are on the road this season.

Hawthorn Hawks are currently on a Road Trip 1 of 2
St Kilda Saints are currently on a Home Trip 1 of 2

According to bookies the odd for Hawthorn Hawks moneyline is 1.325.

The latest streak for Hawthorn Hawks is W-W-W-L-L-L.

Next games for Hawthorn Hawks against: @Fremantle Dockers (Burning Hot)

Last games for Hawthorn Hawks were: 65-150 (Win) North Melbourne Kangaroos (Ice Cold Down) 28 June, 44-47 (Win) Adelaide Crows (Average Up) 13 June

Next games for St Kilda Saints against: Sydney Swans (Average Down)

Last games for St Kilda Saints were: 69-81 (Loss) @Fremantle Dockers (Burning Hot) 29 June, 74-108 (Loss) @Collingwood Magpies (Burning Hot) 21 June

The Over/Under line is 166.50. The projection for Over is 80.93%.

The current odd for the Hawthorn Hawks is 1.325 which gives a perfect chance to include it in 2-3 team parlay with similar odds.

Santos at Dorados

Score prediction: Santos 81 - Dorados 94
Confidence in prediction: 67.2%

According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations The Dorados are a solid favorite with a 92% chance to beat the Santos.

They are at home this season.

Santos are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 2
Dorados are currently on a Home Trip 4 of 4

According to bookies the odd for Dorados moneyline is 1.162. The calculated chance to cover the +10.5 spread for Santos is 51.19%

The latest streak for Dorados is W-L-L-W-L-W.

Last games for Dorados were: 69-90 (Win) Santos (Ice Cold Down) 4 July, 94-90 (Loss) Diablos Rojos (Burning Hot) 31 October

Last games for Santos were: 69-90 (Loss) @Dorados (Average) 4 July, 97-85 (Loss) Dorados (Average) 24 October

The Over/Under line is 166.50. The projection for Over is 57.77%.

El Calor de Cancun at Diablos Rojos

Score prediction: El Calor de Cancun 63 - Diablos Rojos 84
Confidence in prediction: 64%

According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations The Diablos Rojos are a solid favorite with a 67% chance to beat the El Calor de Cancun.

They are at home this season.

El Calor de Cancun are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 2

According to bookies the odd for Diablos Rojos moneyline is 1.410. The calculated chance to cover the +0 spread for El Calor de Cancun is 83.04%

The latest streak for Diablos Rojos is W-W-L-W-W-W.

Last games for Diablos Rojos were: 82-76 (Win) @Halcones de Xalapa (Dead) 5 December, 96-95 (Win) @Halcones de Xalapa (Dead) 3 December

Last games for El Calor de Cancun were: 69-74 (Loss) @Fuerza Regia (Average Up) 3 November, 70-56 (Loss) Fuerza Regia (Average Up) 31 October

The Over/Under line is 163.50. The projection for Over is 88.57%.

Rakuten Gold. Eagles at Nippon Ham Fighters

Score prediction: Rakuten Gold. Eagles 0 - Nippon Ham Fighters 11
Confidence in prediction: 77.1%

According to ZCode model The Nippon Ham Fighters are a solid favorite with a 62% chance to beat the Rakuten Gold. Eagles.

They are at home this season.

Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 46th away game in this season.
Nippon Ham Fighters: 44th home game in this season.

Rakuten Gold. Eagles are currently on a Road Trip 3 of 3
Nippon Ham Fighters are currently on a Home Trip 3 of 3

According to bookies the odd for Nippon Ham Fighters moneyline is 1.524.

The latest streak for Nippon Ham Fighters is W-L-L-L-W-L.

Last games for Nippon Ham Fighters were: 1-7 (Win) Rakuten Gold. Eagles (Ice Cold Down) 4 July, 1-4 (Loss) @Fukuoka S. Hawks (Average) 3 July

Next games for Rakuten Gold. Eagles against: Seibu Lions (Ice Cold Up), Fukuoka S. Hawks (Average)

Last games for Rakuten Gold. Eagles were: 1-7 (Loss) @Nippon Ham Fighters (Ice Cold Up) 4 July, 6-3 (Loss) Chiba Lotte Marines (Ice Cold Down) 2 July

The Over/Under line is 6.50. The projection for Over is 56.30%.

Wests Tigers at Sydney Roosters

Score prediction: Wests Tigers 18 - Sydney Roosters 63
Confidence in prediction: 86.8%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The Sydney Roosters are a solid favorite with a 98% chance to beat the Wests Tigers.

They are at home this season.

Wests Tigers are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 3
Sydney Roosters are currently on a Home Trip 2 of 2

According to bookies the odd for Sydney Roosters moneyline is 1.210.

The latest streak for Sydney Roosters is W-W-L-W-L-W.

Next games for Sydney Roosters against: @St. George Illawarra Dragons (Average)

Last games for Sydney Roosters were: 8-42 (Win) North Queensland Cowboys (Ice Cold Up) 22 June, 12-8 (Win) @Newcastle Knights (Average Down) 14 June

Next games for Wests Tigers against: @New Zealand Warriors (Average Down)

Last games for Wests Tigers were: 10-28 (Loss) @Manly Sea Eagles (Average) 27 June, 16-12 (Loss) Canberra Raiders (Burning Hot) 20 June

The Over/Under line is 49.50. The projection for Under is 95.30%.

The current odd for the Sydney Roosters is 1.210 which gives a perfect chance to include it in 2-3 team parlay with similar odds.

Chiba Lotte Marines at Orix Buffaloes

Score prediction: Chiba Lotte Marines 0 - Orix Buffaloes 4
Confidence in prediction: 48.6%

According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations The Orix Buffaloes are a solid favorite with a 54% chance to beat the Chiba Lotte Marines.

They are at home this season.

Chiba Lotte Marines: 47th away game in this season.
Orix Buffaloes: 42th home game in this season.

Chiba Lotte Marines are currently on a Road Trip 5 of 5
Orix Buffaloes are currently on a Home Trip 3 of 3

According to bookies the odd for Orix Buffaloes moneyline is 1.760. The calculated chance to cover the +1.5 spread for Chiba Lotte Marines is 52.20%

The latest streak for Orix Buffaloes is W-W-W-L-W-W.

Next games for Orix Buffaloes against: @Chiba Lotte Marines (Ice Cold Down)

Last games for Orix Buffaloes were: 6-8 (Win) Chiba Lotte Marines (Ice Cold Down) 4 July, 6-2 (Win) @Seibu Lions (Ice Cold Up) 2 July

Next games for Chiba Lotte Marines against: Orix Buffaloes (Burning Hot)

Last games for Chiba Lotte Marines were: 6-8 (Loss) @Orix Buffaloes (Burning Hot) 4 July, 6-3 (Win) @Rakuten Gold. Eagles (Ice Cold Down) 2 July

The Over/Under line is 6.50. The projection for Over is 56.69%.

Hanwha Eagles at Kiwoom Heroes

Score prediction: Hanwha Eagles 9 - Kiwoom Heroes 4
Confidence in prediction: 35.9%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The Hanwha Eagles are a solid favorite with a 61% chance to beat the Kiwoom Heroes.

They are on the road this season.

Hanwha Eagles: 48th away game in this season.
Kiwoom Heroes: 54th home game in this season.

Hanwha Eagles are currently on a Road Trip 3 of 3
Kiwoom Heroes are currently on a Home Trip 3 of 3

According to bookies the odd for Hanwha Eagles moneyline is 1.448.

The latest streak for Hanwha Eagles is W-D-L-W-L-W.

Last games for Hanwha Eagles were: 2-1 (Win) @Kiwoom Heroes (Average Down) 4 July, 7-7 (Win) NC Dinos (Average Down) 3 July

Last games for Kiwoom Heroes were: 2-1 (Loss) Hanwha Eagles (Average Up) 4 July, 2-6 (Loss) @KT Wiz Suwon (Burning Hot) 3 July

The Over/Under line is 7.50. The projection for Over is 59.45%.

South Sydney Rabbitohs at Manly Sea Eagles

Score prediction: South Sydney Rabbitohs 24 - Manly Sea Eagles 48
Confidence in prediction: 59.7%

According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations The Manly Sea Eagles are a solid favorite with a 73% chance to beat the South Sydney Rabbitohs.

They are at home this season.

South Sydney Rabbitohs are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 2
Manly Sea Eagles are currently on a Home Trip 2 of 2

According to bookies the odd for Manly Sea Eagles moneyline is 1.370.

The latest streak for Manly Sea Eagles is W-L-L-W-L-W.

Last games for Manly Sea Eagles were: 10-28 (Win) Wests Tigers (Dead) 27 June, 8-28 (Loss) @Gold Coast Titans (Dead) 13 June

Last games for South Sydney Rabbitohs were: 28-50 (Loss) @Dolphins (Average Up) 28 June, 25-24 (Loss) Melbourne Storm (Burning Hot) 21 June

The Over/Under line is 46.50. The projection for Under is 57.09%.

The current odd for the Manly Sea Eagles is 1.370 which gives a perfect chance to include it in 2-3 team parlay with similar odds.

Hanshin Tigers at Yokohama Baystars

Score prediction: Hanshin Tigers 5 - Yokohama Baystars 3
Confidence in prediction: 86.8%

This game has an interesting controversy. According to the bookies the favorite based on the odds is Yokohama Baystars however based on ZCode calculations the real predicted game winner is Hanshin Tigers. Let this not confuse you. We base our predictions on the historical statistical model not on what bookies or fan crowd think of the odds.

Yokohama Baystars are at home this season.

Hanshin Tigers: 44th away game in this season.
Yokohama Baystars: 45th home game in this season.

Hanshin Tigers are currently on a Road Trip 3 of 3
Yokohama Baystars are currently on a Home Trip 6 of 6

According to bookies the odd for Yokohama Baystars moneyline is 1.895. The calculated chance to cover the +1 spread for Hanshin Tigers is 53.81%

The latest streak for Yokohama Baystars is L-W-W-W-L-L.

Last games for Yokohama Baystars were: 7-1 (Loss) Hanshin Tigers (Burning Hot) 4 July, 5-8 (Win) Chunichi Dragons (Dead Up) 3 July

Last games for Hanshin Tigers were: 7-1 (Win) @Yokohama Baystars (Average Down) 4 July, 2-3 (Win) Yomiuri Giants (Average) 3 July

The Over/Under line is 5.50. The projection for Over is 56.45%.

Lotte Giants at KIA Tigers

Score prediction: Lotte Giants 4 - KIA Tigers 8
Confidence in prediction: 19.5%

This game has an interesting controversy. According to the bookies the favorite based on the odds is Lotte Giants however based on ZCode calculations the real predicted game winner is KIA Tigers. Let this not confuse you. We base our predictions on the historical statistical model not on what bookies or fan crowd think of the odds.

Lotte Giants are on the road this season.

Lotte Giants: 44th away game in this season.
KIA Tigers: 44th home game in this season.

Lotte Giants are currently on a Road Trip 3 of 3
KIA Tigers are currently on a Home Trip 6 of 6

According to bookies the odd for Lotte Giants moneyline is 1.671. The calculated chance to cover the +1.5 spread for KIA Tigers is 61.00%

The latest streak for Lotte Giants is L-W-W-L-W-L.

Last games for Lotte Giants were: 5-7 (Loss) @KIA Tigers (Burning Hot) 4 July, 0-2 (Win) LG Twins (Dead) 3 July

Last games for KIA Tigers were: 5-7 (Win) Lotte Giants (Average Down) 4 July, 2-3 (Win) SSG Landers (Average) 3 July

SSG Landers at NC Dinos

Score prediction: SSG Landers 7 - NC Dinos 4
Confidence in prediction: 38.7%

This game has an interesting controversy. According to the bookies the favorite based on the odds is NC Dinos however based on ZCode calculations the real predicted game winner is SSG Landers. Let this not confuse you. We base our predictions on the historical statistical model not on what bookies or fan crowd think of the odds.

NC Dinos are at home this season.

SSG Landers: 43th away game in this season.
NC Dinos: 33th home game in this season.

SSG Landers are currently on a Road Trip 6 of 6
NC Dinos are currently on a Home Trip 3 of 3

According to bookies the odd for NC Dinos moneyline is 1.399. The calculated chance to cover the +0 spread for SSG Landers is 68.00%

The latest streak for NC Dinos is L-D-W-L-L-W.

Last games for NC Dinos were: 4-0 (Loss) SSG Landers (Average) 4 July, 7-7 (Win) @Hanwha Eagles (Average Up) 3 July

Last games for SSG Landers were: 4-0 (Win) @NC Dinos (Average Down) 4 July, 2-3 (Loss) @KIA Tigers (Burning Hot) 3 July

The current odd for the NC Dinos is 1.399 which gives a perfect chance to include it in 2-3 team parlay with similar odds.

Leeds Rhinos at Hull KR

Score prediction: Leeds Rhinos 10 - Hull KR 61
Confidence in prediction: 86.8%

According to ZCode model The Hull KR are a solid favorite with a 78% chance to beat the Leeds Rhinos.

They are at home this season.

Hull KR are currently on a Home Trip 2 of 2

According to bookies the odd for Hull KR moneyline is 1.260.

The latest streak for Hull KR is W-W-W-W-W-W.

Last games for Hull KR were: 48-0 (Win) @Castleford Tigers (Ice Cold Down) 19 June, 6-68 (Win) Catalans Dragons (Dead Up) 13 June

Last games for Leeds Rhinos were: 4-18 (Loss) @St Helens (Burning Hot) 20 June, 12-36 (Win) Warrington Wolves (Ice Cold Up) 14 June

The Over/Under line is 53.5. The projection for Under is 58.18%.

The current odd for the Hull KR is 1.260 which gives a perfect chance to include it in 2-3 team parlay with similar odds.