Zсode System Automated Winning Sports Picks

Miami Marlins at Baltimore Orioles

Score prediction: Miami 4 - Baltimore 12
Confidence in prediction: 55.3%

As the MLB season heats up, fans are gearing up for an exciting matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Baltimore Orioles on July 11, 2025. Grounded in statistical prowess through extensive analysis, the odds are firmly in favor of Baltimore. The Z Code Calculations suggest that the Orioles hold a 62% chance of securing a victory, and this matchup carries a noteworthy 3.5-star rating in favor of the home team. Playing at home has been advantageous for the Orioles, as they currently boast a 21-5 record at Camden Yards this season.

This game marks the first in a three-game series, setting the stage for what should be a compelling clash. Miami, currently on a tough road trip that includes five games out of seven, will seek to rally despite their previous performance. The Marlins are stumbling out of the gate after losing their last two games against the Cincinnati Reds, unable to score a single run in their latest attempt. In contrast, Baltimore arrives at this matchup riding a solid streak, having won four of their last six games, demonstrating strong form notwithstanding their loss against the New York Mets in their last contest.

On the pitching front, Miami's Edward Cabrera will take the mound against the Orioles’ Dean Kremer. Cabrera has delivered this season with a commendable 3.33 ERA, although he falls outside the Top 100 Ratings. Dean Kremer, ranked 53rd among pitchers this season, carries a 4.53 ERA but offers Baltimore a dependable presence on the mound. This starting pitching matchup sets the backdrop for an exciting showdown.

Looking at previous encounters, Baltimore has had the upper hand against Miami, winning 9 out of the last 20 meetings. As for betting odds, the Baltimore moneyline stands at 1.790, marking them as solid favorites. Given the hot trends around them—including an 83% winning rate in their last six games—this could present an opportune betting event for those inclined to take favor with the Orioles.

In terms of predictions, confidence leans toward a high-scoring affair in favor of the home team. With Miami struggling offensively and Baltimore's recent successes, a score of Miami 4 - Baltimore 12 seems plausible, capturing the offensive power Baltimore has been showcasing throughout recent games. With a confidence prediction of 55.3%, fans would do well to watch closely as these teams face off at Camden Yards this evening. Overall, it promises to be a thrilling start to the series with the Orioles looking to assert their dominance early.

Miami injury report: A. Nardi (Sixty Day IL - Back( Mar 14, '25)), B. Garrett (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 11, '25)), G. Conine (Sixty Day IL - Arm( Apr 29, '25)), J. Tinoco (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 05, '25)), M. Meyer (Sixty Day IL - Hip( Jun 30, '25)), R. Brantly (Sixty Day IL - Lat( May 23, '25)), R. Weathers (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Jun 08, '25))

Baltimore injury report: A. Rutschman (Ten Day IL - Oblique( Jun 20, '25)), A. Suarez (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 06, '25)), C. Poteet (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jul 04, '25)), C. Povich (Fifteen Day IL - Hip( Jul 04, '25)), C. Tromp (Ten Day IL - Back( Jun 30, '25)), G. Rodriguez (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 26, '25)), G. Sanchez (Ten Day IL - Knee( Jul 05, '25)), J. Mateo (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jul 05, '25)), K. Akin (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jul 01, '25)), K. Bradish (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 20, '25)), M. Handley (Seven Day IL - Head( Jun 22, '25)), R. Mountcastle (Sixty Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 22, '25)), T. Wells (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 22, '25)), Z. Eflin (Fifteen Day IL - Back( Jul 04, '25))

Pittsburgh Pirates at Minnesota Twins

Score prediction: Pittsburgh 0 - Minnesota 10
Confidence in prediction: 54.4%

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Minnesota Twins Preview (July 11, 2025)

As Major League Baseball continues its thrilling season, the Minnesota Twins take the field today against the Pittsburgh Pirates for the first game of a three-game series at Target Field. According to Z Code Calculations, the Twins come in as solid favorites, with a 60% chance of emerging victorious. With a prediction rating of 4.00 stars attached to them, Minnesota's strong home performance, boasting a record of 26 wins at Target Field this season, adds to their confidence as they seek to enhance their playoff positioning.

This matchup is particularly significant for both teams. The Pittsburgh Pirates are in the midst of a grueling road trip, playing their 51st away game of the season, while Minnesota will be playing their 50th home game. Pittsburgh has struggled recently, losing their last six games, including back-to-back defeats against the Kansas City Royals. Conversely, the Twins are navigating through a home stretch, having won four of their last six games, despite experiencing alternating wins and losses.

On the pitching front, the game features two intriguing starting pitchers. Pittsburgh's Paul Skenes has made a notable impact this season with an impressive 1.94 ERA, recently ranked 1st in the Top 100 Ratings. Skenes’ performance could be a pivotal factor as the Pirates look to spark their offense and turn the tide on their current losing streak. On the other side, Minnesota's Joe Ryan commands respect with a 2.76 ERA and ranks 16th in the Top 100 Ratings. His ability to maintain form will be crucial for the Twins as they engage in this high-stakes matchup.

Recent matchups between these two teams have leaned slightly in favor of Minnesota, who have managed to win 9 of the last 19 encounters. The twins’ latest outings saw them suffer an 8-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs but bounce back to secure a narrow 4-2 victory the following day. Minnesota is also favored in terms of betting, with odds for their moneyline set at 1.848. The Over/Under line for this game is established at 6.5, with projections indicating a favorable 63.19% chance for the total to reach over that mark.

With the expectation strongly leaning towards Minnesota, predictions suggest a robust performance. Experts recommend betting on the Minnesota moneyline at odd 1.839. Given the Pirates’ recent struggles and Skenes taking the mound, the potential outcome could very well favor the twins. In light of these factors, a score prediction of Pittsburgh 0 - Minnesota 10 seems realistic, showcasing confidence levels at 54.4%. Fans eagerly anticipating this showdown will undoubtedly be keeping a close eye on both pitchers as the game unfolds.

Pittsburgh injury report: C. Shugart (Fifteen Day IL - Knee( Jul 07, '25)), E. Rodriguez (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 12, '25)), E. Valdez (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 13, '25)), J. Jones (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 30, '25)), J. Lawrence (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 02, '25)), J. Oviedo (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 02, '25)), R. Borucki (Fifteen Day IL - Back( Jun 20, '25)), T. Mayza (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 23, '25))

Minnesota injury report: B. Buxton (Day To Day - Hand( Jul 09, '25)), B. Ober (Fifteen Day IL - Hip( Jul 03, '25)), L. Keaschall (Sixty Day IL - Forearm( Jul 03, '25)), P. Lopez (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jul 03, '25)), Z. Matthews (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jul 03, '25))

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros

Score prediction: Texas 6 - Houston 2
Confidence in prediction: 32.6%

MLB Game Preview: Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros - July 11, 2025

As the Texas Rangers take on the Houston Astros in the first game of a three-game series this evening, the matchup is generating considerable interest among fans and analysts alike. According to Z Code statistical analysis and simulations, the Houston Astros enter the contest as solid favorites with a 56% chance of securing victory. With a 32-19 home record this season, the Astros are looking to maintain their advantage at Minute Maid Park.

For the Rangers, this game marks their 52nd away contest of the season, and they come into this matchup amidst an extensive road trip that includes eight games across ten outings. Conversely, the Astros are currently benefiting from home cooking, flourishing with a record over their last six games at home where they are 4-2. With the series opener looming, the stakes are high for both teams to establish momentum early.

On the pitching front, Texas is sending Jack Leiter to the mound. Despite being less renowned than some of his counterparts this season, Leiter carries a 4.32 ERA, but his presence alone will not guarantee success given his current performances. Houston counters with Lance McCullers Jr., who unfortunately has struggled as well, sporting a 5.82 ERA. While neither starting pitcher is in the top-rated echelon, each will look to make a statement as they fight to support their teams in the pivotal early matchup of the series.

Recent performances reveal a slight downward trend for the Astros, who have struggled significantly against Cleveland in their past outings, suffering two consecutive losses just prior to this game. Texas, on the other hand, arrives on a winning note after handling the Los Angeles Angels with an impressive 11-4 victory, although they lost to the same team in a close contest the day before. Notably, over their last 20 encounters, Texas leads the series against Houston 10-10, indicating a fierce and balanced rivalry that often hinges on close games.

Given the latest trends and dynamic fluctuations, betting on this matchup poses challenges. With Houston listed as strong favorites at a moneyline of 1.737 and Texas having a calculated chance to cover a +1.5 spread at 65.60%, it's evident that discerning fans may find it prudent to refrain from placing bets due to an apparent lack of value in the line as per bookmakers.

Despite the uncertainties surrounding the result, our score prediction for this game sees a surprising edge for Texas, placing them ahead at 6-2. However, confidence in this prediction hovers at 32.6%, showcasing just how closely contested this rivalry could remain. As both teams continue their campaigns, this matchup is eagerly anticipated as they duke it out under the lights.

Texas injury report: C. Bradford (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 07, '25)), J. Gray (Sixty Day IL - Wrist( Mar 17, '25)), J. Pederson (Ten Day IL - Hand( May 24, '25)), J. Sborz (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Feb 16, '25)), T. Mahle (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 30, '25))

Houston injury report: B. Rodgers (Ten Day IL - Oblique( Jun 17, '25)), C. Javier (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 31, '25)), C. McCormick (Ten Day IL - Oblique( May 30, '25)), H. Wesneski (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 19, '25)), J. France (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Mar 26, '25)), J. Melton (Ten Day IL - Ankle( Jun 13, '25)), J. Meyers (Day To Day - Calf( Jul 08, '25)), J. Pena (Ten Day IL - Rib( Jun 29, '25)), L. Garcia (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 06, '25)), L. Guillorme (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( Jul 01, '25)), P. Leon (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Jun 23, '25)), R. Blanco (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 31, '25)), S. Arrighetti (Sixty Day IL - Thumb( Jun 13, '25)), S. Dubin (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 23, '25)), Y. Alvarez (Sixty Day IL - Hand( Jul 01, '25)), Z. Dezenzo (Ten Day IL - Hand( May 31, '25))

Toronto Blue Jays at Athletics

Score prediction: Toronto 8 - Athletics 0
Confidence in prediction: 64.2%

Game Preview: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Oakland Athletics - July 11, 2025

On July 11, 2025, the Toronto Blue Jays face off against the Oakland Athletics in the first game of a three-game series at Oakland Coliseum. The Blue Jays enter this matchup as strong favorites, with Z Code Calculations giving them a 59% chance to secure the win. Toronto has shown solid performance on the road this season, maintaining a 23-23 record away from home and is currently on a road trip of 4 out of 6 games. In contrast, the Athletics are in the middle of a lengthy home stretch with their 50th home game of the season.

The pitching matchup is intriguing, featuring Max Scherzer for the Blue Jays and Luis Severino for the Athletics. While Scherzer has logged a challenging season with a 4.76 ERA and isn't listed in the Top 100 Ratings, he brings experience and a competitive edge to the mound. On the other side, Severino, rated 67th in the Top 100, has slightly worse numbers this season with a 5.30 ERA. Both pitchers will need to perform effectively to give their teams the best chance to win, as the game is poised to have implications for both squads in their respective standings.

Toronto heads into this game with recent momentum, currently riding a wave of victories, with a recent record of six wins in their last seven games (L-W-W-W-W-W). In comparison, the Athletics' latest outings have been mixed, securing a narrow 5-4 victory against Atlanta on July 10, 2025, after suffering a 9-2 loss just a day prior. Historically, Toronto has dominated the matchup between these teams, winning 13 out of the last 20 meetings.

Betting odds currently favor Toronto with a moneyline set at 1.670. Given their recent form and the analysis suggesting a strong possibility of victory, a flat pick is not recommended due to the low chance of covering the spread. However, some betting enthusiasts might consider Toronto an attractive pick for those looking for strategic plays, such as simple progression betting models.

With hot trends supporting their success—Boasting an 83% winning rate among their last six games and an 80% win-rate as favorites over their last five—confidence in a Toronto victory remains high. As the teams prepare for this highly anticipated clash, expectations lean towards the Blue Jays executing a strong performance. The projected score favors Toronto decisively, with an anticipated final of 8-0 and a confidence level approaching 64.2%.

An exciting matchup lies ahead, and with staking on potential wins, fans and bettors alike will need to keep a close eye on both teams' performances from the outset.

Toronto injury report: A. Bastardo (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 11, '25)), A. Gimenez (Ten Day IL - Ankle( Jul 05, '25)), A. Manoah (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 16, '25)), A. Santander (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jul 03, '25)), B. Francis (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 16, '25)), D. Varsho (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( May 31, '25)), N. Sandlin (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jul 07, '25)), P. Schultz (Fifteen Day IL - Middle Finger( Jun 28, '25)), R. Burr (Day To Day - Shoulder( Jul 08, '25)), Y. Garcia (Fifteen Day IL - Ankle( Jul 04, '25))

Athletics injury report: B. Basso (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 06, '25)), G. Hoglund (Sixty Day IL - Hip( Jun 21, '25)), G. Holman (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 18, '25)), J. Leclerc (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 29, '25)), J. Wilson (Day To Day - Arm( Jul 09, '25)), K. Waldichuk (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 26, '25)), L. Medina (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 16, '25)), L. Urias (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( Jul 03, '25))

New York Mets at Kansas City Royals

Score prediction: New York Mets 3 - Kansas City 5
Confidence in prediction: 57%

In a compelling showdown at Kauffman Stadium on July 11, 2025, the New York Mets will face off against the Kansas City Royals for the first game of a three-game series. This matchup is intriguing not only for its statistical implications but also for the contrasting perspectives offered by betting odds and advanced analytics. Bookmakers favor the New York Mets, with a moneyline at 1.729, due to public sentiment and historical performances. However, according to ZCode calculations that focus on historical statistical models, the Kansas City Royals emerge as the predicted victors, creating a fascinating controversy for MLB fans and bettors alike.

The New York Mets have struggled when playing away this season, securing only 27 wins on the road as they approach their 49th away game. They are currently on a challenging four out of six-game road trip, with recent losses at the hands of the Baltimore Orioles. Their latest results have shown a mixed form, with the team’s streak indicating a lack of consistency: L-L-W-L-W-W. On the mound tonight will be Kodai Senga, who, despite boasting an impressive 1.47 ERA, does not rank within the Top 100 this season. This could be critical as they face a confident Kansas City roster.

On the other hand, the Kansas City Royals are sitting in a favorable position, enjoying their 49th home game this season. They have been riding a wave of momentum, recently winning both games against the Pittsburgh Pirates, demonstrating a timely spark. Their starting pitcher tonight, Michael Wacha, holds the 40th position in the Top 100 rankings and has a posted ERA of 3.83. With home underdog stats backing them—covering the spread in 80% of their last five games—the Royals appear poised for not just a competitive series but perhaps a larger statement against the Mets.

With regards to head-to-head performances, the Mets have historically found success against the Royals, winning 8 of their last 20 meetings. Nonetheless, given the recent form and ZCode's prediction analytics, the tables may very well turn in favor of Kansas City. As both teams prepare for what should be an intensely fought match, the advantage swings to the host Royals, revealing great underdog value—especially as they are considered in a "Burning Hot" status.

Ultimately, as we anticipate tonight's contest, we forecast a competitive edge leaning towards Kansas City, culminating in a predicted score of New York Mets 3 - Kansas City 5. With a confidence level in this predictive model at 57%, it presents both an exciting opportunity and analysis for ardent followers of this season’s MLB action.

New York Mets injury report: A. Minter (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Apr 30, '25)), B. Raley (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 29, '25)), C. Scott (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 25, '25)), D. Nunez (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jul 02, '25)), D. Smith (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 12, '25)), D. Young (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 03, '25)), G. Canning (Sixty Day IL - Achilles( Jun 26, '25)), J. Butto (Fifteen Day IL - Illness( Jul 03, '25)), J. Siri (Sixty Day IL - Shin( Jun 22, '25)), J. Winker (Day To Day - Back( Jul 09, '25)), K. Senga (Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 12, '25)), M. Kranick (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25)), N. Madrigal (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Feb 23, '25)), P. Blackburn (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 29, '25)), S. Manaea (Sixty Day IL - Oblique( Apr 28, '25)), S. Marte (Ten Day IL - Knee( Jul 07, '25)), T. Megill (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jul 07, '25))

Kansas City injury report: A. Marsh (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 01, '25)), C. Ragans (Sixty Day IL - Rotator Cuff( Jul 07, '25)), D. Lynch IV (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jul 05, '25)), H. Harvey (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 04, '25)), J. McArthur (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 30, '25)), M. Canha (Ten Day IL - Elbow( Jul 07, '25)), M. Massey (Ten Day IL - Ankle( Jun 09, '25))

Atlanta Braves at St Louis Cardinals

Score prediction: Atlanta 0 - St. Louis 9
Confidence in prediction: 71.3%

Game Preview: Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals (July 11, 2025)

As the Atlanta Braves and St. Louis Cardinals kick off their three-game series, the Cardinals enter this matchup as solid favorites. According to the ZCode model, St. Louis carries a 54% likelihood of securing a victory. However, the Braves, who find themselves in the underdog position, boast a 3.00-star rating in this contest, suggesting there’s potential for an upset.

Atlanta is playing its 51st away game of the season, and their first outing on this road trip was a hopeful sign with a split of their last six games. However, Atlanta has experienced a recent downturn in performance, characterized by a disappointing 3-3 record in their past six contests, including serious defeats. Their latest encounter resulted in a narrow 4-5 loss to the Athletics, improving on the previous two games with a 9-2 win against the same team.

On the other hand, the St. Louis Cardinals are also on a home trip, having played their 50th game at home. The Cardinals flexed their muscles recently with an impressive win against the Washington Nationals, boasting an 8-1 record, which demonstrates their capability to capitalize on home-field advantage. Most recently, however, they fell 2-8 in their second game against Washington, which may add a sense of urgency to their performance.

Grant Holmes takes the mound for Atlanta, ranked 30th in the Top 100 Ratings this season, holding a solid 3.44 ERA. Conversely, Matthew Liberatore, positioned at 37th in the same rankings, comes in with a slightly higher ERA of 3.70. This matchup could hinge on the ability of Holmes to exploit St. Louis hitters while aiming to improve upon Atlanta's subpar result streak.

As per the betting lines, Atlanta's moneyline is set at 2.020 and they have a notable 78.10% chance to cover the +1.5 spread. Given the close nature of these contests, this prediction suggests a high likelihood of a nail-biter down to the final outs. With Atlanta having covered the spread an impressive 80% in its last five games as an underdog, a competitive contest seems probable. The over/under line is pinpointed at 8.5, with a projection that leans toward the over at 61.54%.

Ultimately, while the ZCode model paints a picture of St. Louis prevailing, recent trends hint that Atlanta is not to be underestimated. Expect this tight encounter could easily swing in favor of either team, setting the stage for what may be a close and pivotal duel in the standings.

*Score prediction: Atlanta 0 - St. Louis 9, with 71.3% confidence in this forecast.*

Atlanta injury report: A. Smith-Shawver (Sixty Day IL - Calf/Elbow( Jun 08, '25)), C. Sale (Sixty Day IL - Rib( Jun 30, '25)), J. Jimenez (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Mar 30, '25)), R. Lopez (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 02, '25)), S. Schwellenbach (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jul 05, '25))

St. Louis injury report: I. Herrera (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 19, '25)), J. Walker (Ten Day IL - Appendicitis( Jun 24, '25)), Z. Thompson (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Apr 06, '25))

Chicago Cubs at New York Yankees

Score prediction: Chicago Cubs 5 - New York Yankees 6
Confidence in prediction: 54.4%

MLB Preview: Chicago Cubs vs. New York Yankees – July 11, 2025

As the Chicago Cubs visit the New York Yankees for the first game in a three-game series, fans can expect an exciting match-up at Yankee Stadium. Statistical analysis leans heavily in favor of the Yankees, who boast a 54% chance of securing victory against the Cubs. With the Yankees holding a 29-20 record at home this season, they're looking to capitalize on their home-field advantage, particularly as they continue a six-game homestand.

The Cubs are on their own road trip, heading into their 47th away game of the season, which could challenge their consistency as they face a potent Yankees roster. Chicago enters this matchup after winning convincingly against Minnesota just a day earlier, despite a loss to the same team the day prior. They will be managing fatigue levels as they navigate through this crucial series against a formidable opponent.

On the mound, the Cubs have Chris Flexen, an intriguing pitcher whose 0.83 ERA indicates that he has performed exceedingly well despite not ranking in the Top 100 this season. This will be a significant test for him, given the lineup he faces and the pressure of pitching in New York. On the other side, Carlos Rodón takes the hill for the Yankees. Ranked 25th in the Top 100 rankings with a 3.30 ERA, Rodón has shown considerable skill and will be looking to build on the Yankees’ recent victories, including their last four games after a brief two-loss slump.

Historical trends suggest a favorable outcome for the Yankees; in their last 19 encounters with the Cubs, New York has emerged victorious 14 times. Furthermore, they have demonstrated impressive resilience when listed as favorites, winning 80% of the time in such scenarios over their last five games. While lingering doubts may affect their status as favorites due to their recent streak, the pressure remains on the Cubs to maintain their form and exploit the opportunity provided by Flexen's recent performances.

Bookmakers currently list the Yankees at 1.546 on the moneyline, with calculated odds suggesting a 59.10% chance for the Cubs to cover the +1.5 spread. Given their recent performance patterns and valuations, this clash has the makings of a strategically significant contest for both teams as they push toward the backend of the season.

As a score prediction, the match could see a nail-biting finish, with the Cubs potentially pushing the Yankees while ultimately falling short. The forecast suggests a narrow win for New York by a score of 6-5, reflecting the ongoing competitive dynamics and changing momentum within these formidable squads.

Chicago Cubs injury report: E. Morgan (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 09, '25)), J. Assad (Sixty Day IL - Oblique( Apr 29, '25)), J. Steele (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 22, '25)), J. Taillon (Fifteen Day IL - Calf( Jul 03, '25)), M. Amaya (Ten Day IL - Oblique( May 24, '25)), P. Hodge (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jul 08, '25))

New York Yankees injury report: C. Schmidt (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jul 04, '25)), F. Cruz (Fifteen Day IL - Oblique( Jun 29, '25)), G. Cole (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 21, '25)), J. Cousins (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 17, '25)), L. Gil (Sixty Day IL - Back( Mar 23, '25)), M. Leiter Jr. (Fifteen Day IL - Fubular( Jul 07, '25)), O. Cabrera (Sixty Day IL - Ankle( Jun 18, '25)), R. Yarbrough (Fifteen Day IL - Oblique( Jun 21, '25)), Y. De Los Santos (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25))

Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers

Score prediction: Washington 2 - Milwaukee 11
Confidence in prediction: 69.3%

As the 2025 MLB season continues to heat up, the Milwaukee Brewers are set to host the Washington Nationals for the first game of a three-match series at American Family Field on July 11. The Brewers have established themselves as solid favorites in the matchup, with a 73% chance to clinch a victory according to the ZCode model. With a 5.00-star rating as home favorites, they boast a robust home record of 30 wins this season, which adds credence to their status as strong contenders for tonight's game.

On the other side, the Washington Nationals will be entering this series on their fourth road game out of a six-game trip. Pitcher Mitchell Parker, who has a 4.72 ERA and ranks 57th among the Top 100 pitchers this season, will take the mound for Washington. Given the pressure of their current travel schedule, the Nationals aim to break through after a tough 1-8 loss against the St. Louis Cardinals, despite managing an 8-2 win against the same team a day earlier. This discrepancy in performance casts shadows on their momentum heading into this crucial series opener.

Countering Parker is Quinn Priester for Milwaukee, who may not be rated within the Top 100 but has an impressive ERA currently resting at 3.59. His consistent performances have contributed to Milwaukee's recent success, as evidenced by their recent stretch of victories, which includes a series of wins that boosted team morale. The Brewers’ last matches highlighted a strong foundation built on pitching and timely bat offense, establishing their current form as they pursue playoffs contention.

Some analytical trends suggest that while Milwaukee has enjoyed a strong run, they face an event he statistic: 5-star home favorites categorized as “Burning Hot” have shown a tendency to come up short recently, posting a record of 0-2. However, given that Milwaukee has been on a win streak, including four consecutive triumphs, they’ll look to defy this narrative. Washington's chances to cover the +1.5 spread appear viable, calculated at 56.25%, but they’ll need a stellar performance to dethrone their more dominant opponents.

In summary, as the showdown looms between the Nationals and the Brewers, the odds and past performance heavily favor Milwaukee, emphasizing their probability for a win. The recommended moneyline for Milwaukee floats at 1.566, presenting a compelling opportunity for those looking to back a hot team. A score prediction aims for a dominating showcase from Milwaukee, tabulating an 11-2 result against Washington. The confidence in such a prediction stands impressively at 69.3%, signaling a well-rounded belief in the Brewers' capability to extend their winning ways at home tonight.

Washington injury report: D. Crews (Ten Day IL - Back( May 20, '25)), D. Herz (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 25, '25)), D. Law (Sixty Day IL - Forearm( Jul 04, '25)), J. Gray (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 15, '25)), K. Ruiz (Seven Day IL - Concussion( Jul 07, '25)), O. Ribalta (Fifteen Day IL - Bicep( Apr 12, '25)), T. Williams (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jul 07, '25))

Milwaukee injury report: B. Perkins (Sixty Day IL - Shin( Apr 25, '25)), C. Thomas (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 17, '25)), G. Mitchell (Sixty Day IL - Oblique( Jul 05, '25)), N. Cortes (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 19, '25)), R. Gasser (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 11, '25)), R. Hoskins (Ten Day IL - Thumb( Jul 06, '25)), R. Zastryzny (Fifteen Day IL - Ribs( Jun 30, '25))

Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds

Score prediction: Colorado 1 - Cincinnati 8
Confidence in prediction: 34.4%

MLB Game Preview: Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds (July 11, 2025)

As the MLB season unfolds, today’s matchup between the Colorado Rockies and Cincinnati Reds promises to be an intriguing contest. According to the ZCode model, the Cincinnati Reds are emerging as strong favorites with a 62% chance of victory over Colorado. Cincinnati currently boasts a four-star pick as they play at their home turf, where they have secured a solid 26 wins this season.

This evening's game marks the first in a three-game series, with Colorado set to play their 52nd away game of the season, while Cincinnati is welcoming them for their 51st home appearance. The Rockies are in the midst of a tough road trip, having played four of six games away, whereas the Reds are enjoying a homestand, currently amidst a stretch of five home games out of seven.

On the pitching front, Germán Márquez will take the mound for the Rockies. While featuring prominently in the Rockies' rotation, Márquez has struggled to make an impact this season, possessing a 5.84 ERA which places him outside the top-tier ratings. The Reds will counter with Chase Burns, also lacking notable performance metrics this season with a higher 8.10 ERA. This matchup, featuring two pitchers who have seen better days, could lead to some unexpected offensive opportunities for either team.

Recent performances for both squads offer further context. The Reds have had shared fortunes lately, boasting a streak of three wins and three losses in their last six outings. Their most recent games culminated in an impressive 6-0 and then a 7-2 victory against Miami, showcasing potent offensive capabilities. In stark contrast, the Rockies have faced challenges themselves; they suffered back-to-back 10-2 losses against a highly competitive Boston team, placing them in a vulnerable position entering this clash.

The bookmakers currently provide the moneyline odds for Cincinnati at 1.475, presenting a viable betting opportunity for those considering a wager on the Reds. Additionally, projections for the Over/Under line sit at 9.5, with a 57.03% likelihood favoring the Over, indicating a possible high-scoring encounter given both pitchers' current struggles.

In light of the trends and statistics at hand, it’s reasonable to predict a clear outcome in favor of Cincinnati. With their recent home form and a historical head-to-head advantage, the score prediction stands at Colorado 1, Cincinnati 8. This prediction carries a confidence level of 34.4%, reinforcing the expectation of a strong showing from the home team in tonight's contest.

Colorado injury report: E. Tovar (Ten Day IL - Oblique( Jun 05, '25)), J. Criswell (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 13, '25)), K. Bryant (Sixty Day IL - Lumbar( May 10, '25))

Cincinnati injury report: B. Williamson (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 25, '25)), C. Spiers (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 22, '25)), H. Greene (Fifteen Day IL - Groin( Jun 03, '25)), I. Gibaut (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 29, '25)), J. Aguiar (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 12, '25)), J. Fraley (Ten Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 26, '25)), R. Lowder (Sixty Day IL - Forearm( Jun 03, '25)), T. Callihan (Sixty Day IL - Forearm( May 08, '25)), W. Miley (Fifteen Day IL - Flexor( Jun 19, '25))

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers

Score prediction: Seattle 3 - Detroit 7
Confidence in prediction: 60.8%

MLB Game Preview: Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers (July 11, 2025)

As the MLB heads into the heart of summer, the Seattle Mariners face off against the Detroit Tigers in the first game of a three-game series. With the Tigers carrying a compelling 60% chance to win, according to Z Code statistical analysis, they emerge as the solid favorite for this matchup. This prediction garners a 3.00 star pick for home team Detroit, who has maintained a strong home record this season at 32 wins.

Seattle, set to play their 50th away game of the season, arrives in Detroit amid a tough road trip where they have lost ground over the last couple of contests against the New York Yankees. Their recent form is concerning, as evidenced by their sliding performance, highlighted by back-to-back losses (6-5 and 9-6) against a high-caliber Yankees team. Conversely, Detroit is currently on a positive trend at home, having won four of their last six games.

The on-mound matchup features intriguing storylines as both teams put forth top-rated pitchers. Seattle’s Luis Castillo, ranked 26th in the Top 100 this season, holds a respectable 3.31 ERA. Meanwhile, the Tigers counter with Tarik Skubal, ranked second overall with an impressive 2.02 ERA. This pitching duel adds a key dimension to this game, as both offenses will need to work hard against elite arms.

From a betting perspective, the odds favor Detroit with a moneyline set at 1.466. Recent trends have further strengthened Detroit's case, as they’ve historically been successful against Seattle, winning 11 of their last 20 matchups. Along with having an 80% success rate when favored over the last five games, the Tigers’ current momentum presents them as a strong pick to continue their winning streak.

With an Over/Under line sitting at 6.5, projections suggest a strong likelihood of hitting the Over at 57.71%. The atmosphere surrounding this game reflects a potential Vegas trap; heavy public betting might influence the line movement, warranting close observation as more betting action comes in closer to the game.

In summary, this matchup favors Detroit, especially with their recent form and the advantage of home field. With all factors considered, the score prediction leans towards the Tigers prevailing 7-3 over the Mariners, and a confidence level of 60.8% suggests solid backing for Detroit in this fine summer showdown.

Seattle injury report: B. Miller (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 09, '25)), C. Snider (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 03, '25)), G. Santos (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Apr 28, '25)), R. Bliss (Sixty Day IL - Biceps( Apr 12, '25)), V. Robles (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 22, '25))

Detroit injury report: A. Cobb (Sixty Day IL - Hip( May 29, '25)), A. Lange (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Feb 11, '25)), J. Foley (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 03, '25)), J. Jobe (Sixty Day IL - Flexor( Jun 11, '25)), J. Urquidy (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 23, '25)), K. Carpenter (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 30, '25)), S. Gipson-Long (Fifteen Day IL - Neck( Jul 01, '25)), S. Guenther (Sixty Day IL - Hip( Jul 05, '25)), T. Madden (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Mar 27, '25))

Hiroshima Carp at Chunichi Dragons

Score prediction: Hiroshima Carp 1 - Chunichi Dragons 0
Confidence in prediction: 53.9%

According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations The Hiroshima Carp are a solid favorite with a 54% chance to beat the Chunichi Dragons.

They are on the road this season.

Hiroshima Carp: 45th away game in this season.
Chunichi Dragons: 48th home game in this season.

According to bookies the odd for Hiroshima Carp moneyline is 1.782. The calculated chance to cover the +1.5 spread for Chunichi Dragons is 67.68%

The latest streak for Hiroshima Carp is L-L-L-W-D-L.

Last games for Hiroshima Carp were: 6-3 (Loss) Hanshin Tigers (Burning Hot) 10 July, 3-1 (Loss) Hanshin Tigers (Burning Hot) 9 July

Last games for Chunichi Dragons were: 3-2 (Win) @Yomiuri Giants (Average Down) 9 July, 4-5 (Loss) @Yomiuri Giants (Average Down) 8 July

The Over/Under line is 4.50. The projection for Over is 58.73%.

Orix Buffaloes at Nippon Ham Fighters

Score prediction: Orix Buffaloes 1 - Nippon Ham Fighters 9
Confidence in prediction: 82.9%

According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations The Nippon Ham Fighters are a solid favorite with a 57% chance to beat the Orix Buffaloes.

They are at home this season.

Orix Buffaloes: 42th away game in this season.
Nippon Ham Fighters: 45th home game in this season.

Orix Buffaloes are currently on a Road Trip 1 of 2

According to bookies the odd for Nippon Ham Fighters moneyline is 1.566. The calculated chance to cover the -1.5 spread for Nippon Ham Fighters is 52.80%

The latest streak for Nippon Ham Fighters is W-W-W-W-W-L.

Last games for Nippon Ham Fighters were: 13-1 (Win) @Chiba Lotte Marines (Ice Cold Down) 9 July, 5-4 (Win) @Chiba Lotte Marines (Ice Cold Down) 8 July

Next games for Orix Buffaloes against: @Chiba Lotte Marines (Ice Cold Down)

Last games for Orix Buffaloes were: 0-4 (Win) Fukuoka S. Hawks (Average) 10 July, 1-0 (Loss) Fukuoka S. Hawks (Average) 9 July

The Over/Under line is 5.50. The projection for Over is 59.94%.

Yakult Swallows at Hanshin Tigers

Score prediction: Yakult Swallows 1 - Hanshin Tigers 4
Confidence in prediction: 63.8%

According to ZCode model The Hanshin Tigers are a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat the Yakult Swallows.

They are at home this season.

Yakult Swallows: 43th away game in this season.
Hanshin Tigers: 41th home game in this season.

According to bookies the odd for Hanshin Tigers moneyline is 1.432.

The latest streak for Hanshin Tigers is W-W-W-W-W-W.

Last games for Hanshin Tigers were: 6-3 (Win) @Hiroshima Carp (Ice Cold Down) 10 July, 3-1 (Win) @Hiroshima Carp (Ice Cold Down) 9 July

Last games for Yakult Swallows were: 4-4 (Win) Yokohama Baystars (Average) 9 July, 4-0 (Loss) Yokohama Baystars (Average) 8 July

Collingwood Magpies at Gold Coast Suns

Score prediction: Collingwood Magpies 128 - Gold Coast Suns 67
Confidence in prediction: 89.6%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The Collingwood Magpies are a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat the Gold Coast Suns.

They are on the road this season.

Collingwood Magpies are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 2

According to bookies the odd for Collingwood Magpies moneyline is 1.730.

The latest streak for Collingwood Magpies is W-W-W-W-W-W.

Next games for Collingwood Magpies against: Fremantle Dockers (Burning Hot Down)

Last games for Collingwood Magpies were: 115-59 (Win) @Carlton Blues (Ice Cold Down) 4 July, 59-88 (Win) West Coast Eagles (Dead) 28 June

Next games for Gold Coast Suns against: @Adelaide Crows (Burning Hot)

Last games for Gold Coast Suns were: 115-74 (Win) @Essendon Bombers (Dead) 4 July, 85-104 (Win) Melbourne Demons (Dead) 27 June

The Over/Under line is 170.50. The projection for Over is 61.25%.

TSG Hawks at Fubon Guardians

Score prediction: TSG Hawks 10 - Fubon Guardians 2
Confidence in prediction: 16%

This game has an interesting controversy. According to the bookies the favorite based on the odds is TSG Hawks however based on ZCode calculations the real predicted game winner is Fubon Guardians. Let this not confuse you. We base our predictions on the historical statistical model not on what bookies or fan crowd think of the odds.

TSG Hawks are on the road this season.

TSG Hawks: 29th away game in this season.
Fubon Guardians: 30th home game in this season.

Fubon Guardians are currently on a Home Trip 3 of 3

According to bookies the odd for TSG Hawks moneyline is 1.600.

The latest streak for TSG Hawks is L-W-W-W-L-W.

Last games for TSG Hawks were: 6-3 (Loss) Chinatrust Brothers (Ice Cold Down) 5 July, 0-2 (Win) Chinatrust Brothers (Ice Cold Down) 4 July

Last games for Fubon Guardians were: 4-1 (Loss) Wei Chuan Dragons (Burning Hot) 8 July, 2-7 (Loss) @Rakuten Monkeys (Ice Cold Up) 6 July

Wei Chuan Dragons at Chinatrust Brothers

Score prediction: Wei Chuan Dragons 3 - Chinatrust Brothers 4
Confidence in prediction: 26.8%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The Chinatrust Brothers are a solid favorite with a 54% chance to beat the Wei Chuan Dragons.

They are at home this season.

Wei Chuan Dragons: 31th away game in this season.
Chinatrust Brothers: 31th home game in this season.

Wei Chuan Dragons are currently on a Road Trip 3 of 3
Chinatrust Brothers are currently on a Home Trip 3 of 3

According to bookies the odd for Chinatrust Brothers moneyline is 1.640. The calculated chance to cover the +0 spread for Wei Chuan Dragons is 57.00%

The latest streak for Chinatrust Brothers is L-W-L-L-L-W.

Last games for Chinatrust Brothers were: 8-2 (Loss) Uni Lions (Average Up) 8 July, 6-3 (Win) @TSG Hawks (Average) 5 July

Last games for Wei Chuan Dragons were: 4-1 (Win) @Fubon Guardians (Ice Cold Down) 8 July, 12-16 (Win) Uni Lions (Average Up) 6 July

Connecticut at Seattle

Score prediction: Connecticut 65 - Seattle 93
Confidence in prediction: 49.2%

According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations The Seattle are a solid favorite with a 95% chance to beat the Connecticut.

They are at home this season.

Connecticut are currently on a Road Trip 1 of 2
Seattle are currently on a Home Trip 1 of 4

According to bookies the odd for Seattle moneyline is 1.056. The calculated chance to cover the +18.5 spread for Connecticut is 51.69%

The latest streak for Seattle is L-W-W-L-W-L.

Next games for Seattle against: Washington (Burning Hot), Golden State Valkyries (Average)

Last games for Seattle were: 83-93 (Loss) @Connecticut (Dead Up) 9 July, 79-70 (Win) @New York (Average) 6 July

Next games for Connecticut against: @Los Angeles (Ice Cold Down), Indiana (Average Down)

Last games for Connecticut were: 83-93 (Win) Seattle (Average Down) 9 July, 86-68 (Loss) Las Vegas (Ice Cold Down) 6 July

Adelaide Crows at Western Bulldogs

Score prediction: Adelaide Crows 84 - Western Bulldogs 120
Confidence in prediction: 81.6%

According to ZCode model The Western Bulldogs are a solid favorite with a 57% chance to beat the Adelaide Crows.

They are at home this season.

According to bookies the odd for Western Bulldogs moneyline is 1.640. The calculated chance to cover the +10.5 spread for Adelaide Crows is 50.80%

The latest streak for Western Bulldogs is W-W-W-W-L-L.

Next games for Western Bulldogs against: @Brisbane Lions (Burning Hot)

Last games for Western Bulldogs were: 134-85 (Win) @North Melbourne Kangaroos (Ice Cold Down) 3 July, 105-96 (Win) @Sydney Swans (Average) 27 June

Next games for Adelaide Crows against: Gold Coast Suns (Burning Hot)

Last games for Adelaide Crows were: 77-90 (Win) Melbourne Demons (Dead) 6 July, 122-54 (Win) @Richmond Tigers (Dead) 29 June

The Over/Under line is 179.50. The projection for Over is 79.43%.