Zсode System Automated Winning Sports Picks

Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners

Score prediction: Kansas City 0 - Seattle 6
Confidence in prediction: 60.7%

Game Preview: Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners (2025-07-02)

As the Kansas City Royals face off against the Seattle Mariners in the third game of their four-game series, both teams enter with critical momentum factors affecting their performance. The Mariners hold a solid 55% chance to grab the win according to the ZCode model, especially given their home-field advantage; they are currently 21-23 at T-Mobile Park this season.

As Kansas City embarks on their 47th away game of the season, they are looking to rebound from a recent loss, having split the first two games of the series. Meanwhile, the Mariners are in the middle of a seven-game homestand, and they'll be hoping to capitalize on their home crowd support to regain momentum. Seattle's last five games show an uneven performance, going W-L-W-L-W giving them some cause for optimism, but consistency is key moving forward.

On the pitching front, Noah Cameron will take the mound for the Royals. With a 2.79 ERA, Cameron has shown signs of promise, though he has not yet cracked the Top 100 Ratings this season. His performance against a competitive Seattle lineup will be crucial as Kansas City looks to turn things around. For the Mariners, Logan Gilbert steps onto the rubber owning a 3.55 ERA, also indicative of mid-tier performance this season. Both pitchers carry an opportunity to shine, and given the importance of this game, each will be under significant pressure.

The latest odds from bookmakers give the Mariners a moneyline of 1.557, hinting at their status as the favorites in this matchup. According to curated betting insights, there's a 63.65% calculated chance for the Royals to cover the +1.5 spread. The total projected for the game sits at an Over/Under of 7.5, with projections leaning towards the Over at a 58.05% likelihood.

In past meetings, Seattle holds an 11-9 advantage against Kansas in their last 20 encounters, underscoring the competitive nature of this rivalry. The Mariners will surely be steeling themselves after a recent 6-3 loss to Kansas City on July 1 but hope to learn from that misstep. Remaining games against Pittsburgh and Kansas City back-to-back pose further scheduling challenges, while Kansas City will soon engage in a series against Arizona that could either rebuild or further complicate their season.

Bringing everything into account, the prediction suggests a significant advantage for the Mariners, with a projected final score of Kansas City 0 - Seattle 6. There is a confident 60.7% confidence level in this forecast, making the Mariners clear favorites in this critical matchup. Fans can anticipate a battle as both teams look to solidify their positions, and no doubt, the intensity will be palpable under the lights of Seattle.

Kansas City injury report: A. Marsh (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 01, '25)), C. Ragans (Fifteen Day IL - Rotator Cuff( Jun 10, '25)), H. Harvey (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 04, '25)), J. McArthur (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 30, '25)), M. Massey (Ten Day IL - Ankle( Jun 09, '25))

Seattle injury report: B. Miller (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 09, '25)), C. Snider (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 03, '25)), G. Santos (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Apr 28, '25)), R. Bliss (Sixty Day IL - Biceps( Apr 12, '25)), V. Robles (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 22, '25))

Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets

Score prediction: Milwaukee 12 - New York Mets 0
Confidence in prediction: 51.2%

MLB Game Preview: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets (July 2, 2025)

As the Milwaukee Brewers face off against the New York Mets in the opening game of a three-game series, the Brewers enter the matchup as strong favorites. According to Z Code's statistical analysis and game simulations, Milwaukee holds a 60% chance to secure victory. With a current moneyline of 1.810, the expectations are high for the Brewers to capitalize on their statistical advantages.

This marks Milwaukee's 44th away game of the season, and they have won 20 of their previous outings on the road. Meanwhile, the Mets are gearing up for their 45th home game. The Brewers are currently on a road trip that consists of six games, and they are looking to regain momentum with a record of L-W-W-W-W-L in their last six games. New York, on the other hand, is struggling at home as they begin a similar six-game stretch.

Starting on the mound for Milwaukee will be Jacob Misiorowski, who is having a promising season despite not being in the Top 100 Ratings. He boasts an impressive ERA of 1.13, showcasing his ability to deliver strong performances when needed. The Mets will counter with Blade Tidwell, who has faced significant challenges this season, evidenced by his elevated ERA of 10.13, which may give the Brewers a notable advantage at the plate.

In terms of recent performance, Milwaukee has a strong historical edge over the Mets, winning 13 of the last 20 encounters between these two teams. Their latest outings reveal a mix of results, with the Brewers recently winning a significant game against Colorado (5-0) before absorbing a narrow loss (3-4). On the flip side, the Mets have been facing a tough stretch, experiencing two large defeats against the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-12 and 2-9) in their latest games.

Looking at the trends, Milwaukee appears to be on a positive trajectory, with a 67% winning rate in their last six games and a remarkable 80% success rate in covering the spread when favored. Historical data suggests that when playoff-bound teams, listed as favorites in an average range of 3-3.5 stars, face off, they tend to perform well, going 2-0 in the last month. This further solidifies Milwaukee's status as the team to beat on this day.

In summary, all signs point to a potential blowout in favor of the Brewers. The score prediction for this matchup is Milwaukee 12 - New York Mets 0, reflecting not only the statistical advantages but also the recent form of both teams. As Milwaukee aims to capitalize on their advantages and cement their place in the playoff picture, the Mets will need a remarkable turnaround to avoid disaster in their home opener against the Brewers. Hold on tight, because this promises to be an exciting matchup.

Milwaukee injury report: B. Perkins (Sixty Day IL - Shin( Apr 25, '25)), B. Woodruff (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 11, '25)), C. Thomas (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 17, '25)), G. Mitchell (Ten Day IL - Oblique( Apr 25, '25)), N. Cortes (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 19, '25)), R. Gasser (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 11, '25)), R. Zastryzny (Fifteen Day IL - Ribs( Jun 30, '25))

New York Mets injury report: A. Minter (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Apr 30, '25)), B. Raley (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 29, '25)), C. Scott (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 25, '25)), D. Smith (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 12, '25)), D. Young (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 03, '25)), G. Canning (Sixty Day IL - Achilles( Jun 26, '25)), J. Siri (Sixty Day IL - Shin( Jun 22, '25)), J. Winker (Sixty Day IL - Side( Jun 24, '25)), K. Senga (Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 12, '25)), M. Kranick (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25)), N. Madrigal (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Feb 23, '25)), S. Manaea (Sixty Day IL - Oblique( Apr 28, '25)), T. Megill (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 16, '25))

San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies

Score prediction: San Diego 1 - Philadelphia 9
Confidence in prediction: 67.7%

MLB Game Preview: San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies (July 2, 2025)

As the San Diego Padres visit the Philadelphia Phillies for the second game of a three-game series, the atmosphere is primed for another exciting matchup. The Phillies enter the game as solid favorites with a 57% chance of victory, buoyed by a strong home record of 27 wins this season. Meanwhile, the Padres are on a prolonged road trip, playing their 49th away game this season, a stretch that has proven to be challenging for them.

Tonight's matchup features pitchers with contrasting seasons. The Padres will hand the ball to Dylan Cease, rated 59th in the Top 100 for this season, sporting a relatively high ERA of 4.53. In contrast, Philadelphia will rely on Cristopher Sánchez, who boasts an impressive 2.79 ERA and ranks 18th in the Top 100. This significant edge in pitching is likely to play a crucial role in Philadelphia's efforts to capitalize on their home-field advantage.

Historically, the Phillies have fared remarkably well against the Padres, winning 16 out of the last 20 matchups. They have recently experienced a fluctuating performance, highlighted by a streak of wins and losses, including a recent 4-0 victory over San Diego on June 30. The current odds suggest a moneyline of 1.670 for the Phillies, aligning well with their recent success. Furthermore, when acting as favorites, Philadelphia has won an impressive 80% of their last five games.

In terms of trends, while Philadelphia is on a home trip of three out of six, San Diego continues to struggle away, having lost four consecutive games, including their last outing against the Phillies. Their upcoming schedule against Texas could become pivotal as they seek to turn their fortunes around. Although the betting line for the Over/Under is set at 7.5, projections indicate a 56.69% likelihood for the game exceeding this total.

Considering these various factors and the teams' current performances, the recommendation leans heavily towards Philadelphia. In addition to their favorable historic results, the team is trending up while San Diego itself is reeling from recent losses. A solid prediction indicates a decisive win for the Phillies, potentially stretching the score to San Diego 1, Philadelphia 9, showcasing their continuing dominance in this matchup. With a confidence level of 67.7% in this prediction, the stage is set for another strong performance from the Phillies at home.

San Diego injury report: J. Brito (Sixty Day IL - Forearm( May 11, '25)), J. Musgrove (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 19, '25)), M. King (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( May 24, '25)), R. Bergert (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 24, '25)), Y. Darvish (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 15, '25))

Philadelphia injury report: A. Nola (Sixty Day IL - Ankle( Jun 18, '25))

Los Angeles Angels at Atlanta Braves

Score prediction: Los Angeles Angels 7 - Atlanta 3
Confidence in prediction: 51.6%

MLB Game Preview: Los Angeles Angels vs. Atlanta Braves (July 2, 2025)

In a compelling matchup set for July 2, 2025, the Los Angeles Angels will face off against the Atlanta Braves in the second game of a three-game series. This game has attracted considerable attention due to a notable controversy regarding the predicted winner. While bookmakers have designated the Braves as the favorites based on odds, ZCode’s statistical calculations point to the Angels as the actual predicted victors, marking a divergence between perception and data-driven analysis.

The Atlanta Braves have maintained a formidable home record this season, securing 23 wins at their home ground. However, the Angels are no strangers to competitive play; they are set to take the field for their 48th away game of the year, and their current road trip includes two out of six games completed. Meanwhile, the Braves are also experiencing home-park momentum with their 43rd game at home this season.

August can often present challenges for team performance, as evidenced by Atlanta's recent struggles, showing a concerning trend reflected in their last six games, where they've experienced a sequence of losses interspersed with just a single victory. This recent form adds an extra layer of intrigue for this matchup against the Angels, who branded a strong identity with their 4-0 victory over Atlanta just the day before.

Pitching is primed to play a critical role in determining the outcome of today's game. On one side, Yusei Kikuchi takes the mound for the Los Angeles Angels; he has recorded a solid 2.79 Earned Run Average (ERA) this season and ranks 19th in the Top 100 of pitchers. Conversely, Atlanta's Didier Fuentes has faced challenges throughout the winning period of the season, *charting an ERA of 10.80* which indicates vulnerability and could play into the Angels' hands today.

As these two rivals take to the field once again, it's worth noting that historically, the matchup has been tightly contested, with Atlanta narrowly leading the series 10 wins to Los Angeles’ 10 over their last 20 encounters. Adding to the drama, the next contests for each team could further influence their状态: Atlanta will be facing both the Angels and Baltimore soon, while the Angels will look ahead to a series against the red-hot Toronto.

Hot trends show the Angels have covered the spread 80% of the time in their last five games when placed as underdogs. Furthermore, given their standing as a common underdog during these stretches, some analysts have indicated a low-confidence but notable value support for Los Angeles Angels as a 3.5-star pick in this matchup.

Looking ahead at key game predictions, the Los Angeles Angels are anticipated to outperform the Braves decisively, potentially creating a scoreline of 7 to 3. Boldly, this forecast underlines the margin of confidence in predictive standings at approximately 51.6%—planting the Angels firmly in competitive territory. With compelling pitching duels and differing narratives around team form, this matchup is poised to be a thrill for fans and analysts alike.

Los Angeles Angels injury report: A. Rendon (Sixty Day IL - Hip( Feb 14, '25)), B. Joyce (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 13, '25)), C. Taylor (Ten Day IL - Hand( Jun 09, '25)), R. Stephenson (Fifteen Day IL - Bicep( Jun 01, '25)), Y. Moncada (Ten Day IL - Knee( Jun 01, '25))

Atlanta injury report: A. Smith-Shawver (Sixty Day IL - Calf/Elbow( Jun 08, '25)), C. Sale (Sixty Day IL - Rib( Jun 30, '25)), D. Hernandez (Fifteen Day IL - Arm( Jun 05, '25)), J. Jimenez (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Mar 30, '25)), R. Lopez (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 02, '25))

Minnesota Twins at Miami Marlins

Score prediction: Minnesota 1 - Miami 6
Confidence in prediction: 38.2%

MLB Game Preview: Minnesota Twins vs. Miami Marlins (July 2, 2025)

The upcoming matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Miami Marlins on July 2, 2025, features a notable controversy in the betting world. According to the bookmakers, the Twins are favored, with a moneyline set at 1.830. However, the ZCode calculations present a different narrative, predicting the Marlins as the real potential winners of this encounter. This divergence stems from the historical statistical model utilized by ZCode, which diverges from the perception of odds set by bookmakers or crowd sentiment.

This game marks the 48th away game for the Minnesota Twins, who have struggled somewhat on the road this season with a record of 28 wins. They are currently on a road trip that sees them playing 5 out of 6 games away from home. On the contrary, the Marlins are hosting their 45th game at home and are embarking on a stretch that includes 2 games out of 6 at home. As the second matchup in this three-game series, both teams will be looking for a strong performance to establish momentum.

On the mound for the Twins is Simeon Woods Richardson, whose current season hasn’t placed him among the top 100 pitchers, sporting a 4.63 ERA. The Marlins, on the other hand, will counter with Janson Junk, also not ranked in the top echelon of pitchers, but holding a more favorable 3.73 ERA. The matchup of these two arms could significantly influence the game’s outcome, especially considering Woodson Richardson's struggles.

Recent performance snapshots paint contrasting pictures for both teams. The Twins enter this game on a streak of alternating victories and losses, having endured losses in two consecutive games against Miami and Detroit. Conversely, the Marlins have shown resilience, with recent wins against both Minnesota and Arizona. Over their last 20 encounters, the Twins have bested the Marlins 12 times, yet in this context, historical data might not entirely imply future outcomes.

Hot betting trends also contribute to the intrigue of this contest. The Marlins have covered the spread in 100% of their last five outings when labeled as underdogs. Additionally, 5-star home dogs in a “burning hot” status have demonstrated competitiveness, with a record of 16-15 in the past 30 days. With the calculated expectations of a tight game anticipated between these two teams—an estimated 81% chance that the Marlins will cover the +1.5 spread—betters may find underdog value in Miami a compelling choice.

Taking all these factors into consideration, the predictive confidence indicates a score line leaning favorably toward the Marlins, with a forecast of Minnesota 1, Miami 6. While the confidence rate in this prediction stands at 38.2%, the volatility in recent performances could signal an unpredictable outing, making this game an exciting one to watch as both teams battle for an advantageous position in the series.

Minnesota injury report: L. Keaschall (Sixty Day IL - Forearm( May 17, '25)), P. Lopez (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 10, '25)), Z. Matthews (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 07, '25))

Miami injury report: A. Nardi (Sixty Day IL - Back( Mar 14, '25)), B. Garrett (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 11, '25)), G. Conine (Sixty Day IL - Arm( Apr 29, '25)), J. Tinoco (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 05, '25)), M. Meyer (Sixty Day IL - Hip( Jun 30, '25)), R. Brantly (Sixty Day IL - Lat( May 23, '25)), R. Weathers (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Jun 08, '25))

Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers

Score prediction: Chicago White Sox 2 - Los Angeles Dodgers 11
Confidence in prediction: 64%

MLB Game Preview: Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (July 2, 2025)

As Major League Baseball gears up for SUMMER enthusiasts, the matchup between the Chicago White Sox and the Los Angeles Dodgers on July 2, 2025, promises to be an intriguing contest, particularly as both teams vie for momentum in this three-game series. Los Angeles enters the game as a solid favorite with a 55% chance of victory according to the ZCode model, showcasing their strength at home this season with an impressive 31 wins in 46 games played at Dodger Stadium.

The White Sox are facing a challenging stretch, embarking on their 45th away game of the season amidst a grueling 6-game road trip. Following a disastrous performance yesterday where they lost 6-1, Chicago looks to recover against a formidable adversary. Today, they’ll have Brandon Eisert on the mound, who is struggling with a 4.33 ERA, positioning him outside the Top 100 pitchers for this season. Conversely, the Dodgers are bolstered by the reliable Clayton Kershaw, who brings a more favorable 3.03 ERA to the table, despite also finding himself outside the rankings of elite pitchers this season.

The Dodgers come into this game riding a three-game winning streak before the previous match-up against Chicago, where their dominance was further highlighted by the 6-1 victory. Historically, the Dodgers have held a firm edge against the White Sox, winning 15 out of their last 20 encounters, reinforcing their strength. Compilation of recent performances reveals Los Angeles has a potent 80% win rate when they are favored in matches, making this a hot trend worth considering for bettors.

Additionally, following standardized betting lines, Los Angeles has a favorable moneyline set at 1.334. For those looking at point spreads, a calculated 68.75% chance for Chicago to cover the +2.5 spread may provide some margins, although they face an uphill battle against a team playing strong baseball at home. This makes a parlay play with the Dodgers mindful yet strategic, leveraging their current hot streak and advantageous position in the standings.

With expectations from both teams on the plate, the score predictions lean heavily in favor of Los Angeles. A likely forecast suggests a compelling offensive display resulting in a significant 11-2 victory for the Dodgers against the White Sox. As confidence in this prediction rests at 64%, it illustrates the disparity in current team form and performance metrics on display.

Fans and bettors alike should mark July 2 on their calendars; it promises to be a crucial moment in this series, potentially setting the stage for continued success for the Los Angeles Dodgers while the Chicago White Sox seek to reclaim their footing.

Chicago White Sox injury report: C. Booser (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 19, '25)), D. Martin (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 19, '25)), D. Thorpe (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 26, '25)), F. Ellard (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Jun 07, '25)), J. Scholtens (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 11, '25)), J. Shuster (Fifteen Day IL - Hand( Jun 07, '25)), K. Bush (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 16, '25)), L. Robert Jr. (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 25, '25)), M. Castro (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Jun 03, '25)), M. Perez (Sixty Day IL - Forearm( Apr 20, '25)), P. Berroa (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 22, '25))

Los Angeles Dodgers injury report: B. Graterol (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Mar 16, '25)), B. Snell (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 16, '25)), B. Treinen (Sixty Day IL - Forearm( Apr 30, '25)), E. Phillips (Sixty Day IL - forearm( May 28, '25)), G. Stone (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Feb 10, '25)), K. Hurt (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 01, '25)), M. Betts (Day To Day - Undisclosed( Jun 30, '25)), M. Grove (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Mar 16, '25)), M. Kopech (Fifteen Day IL - Knee( Jun 30, '25)), R. Ryan (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 12, '25)), R. Sasaki (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 19, '25)), T. Glasnow (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 30, '25)), T. Gonsolin (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25))

Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets

Score prediction: Milwaukee 11 - New York Mets 1
Confidence in prediction: 51.7%

MLB Game Preview: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets - July 2, 2025

As the Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets prepare for their first matchup in a three-game series, an intriguing controversy is set to dominate the narrative. While the bookies have earmarked the Mets as the favorites with odds sitting at 1.740 for their moneyline, ZCode calculations, derived from a historical statistical model, suggest that the Brewers hold the advantage. This underlines the reality that oddsmakers and statistical-based predictions can offer diverging views on outcomes.

The Mets come into this game sporting a home record of 29-15 and will be eager to reverse their fortunes after a disappointing stretch in their last few outings. They currently sit on a modest record of L-L-L-W-W-L, having just dropped two straight games to the Pittsburgh Pirates, which has conditioned them to enter this series feeling the pressure to perform. Their context at home this season has been relatively strong, making their recent losses starker. On the other hand, the Brewers are embarking on their 44th away game of the season, where they seek to secure a foothold on a challenging road trip, presently 1 of 6, after experiencing mixed results against Colorado.

On the mound, the matchup features two formidable pitchers: Freddy Peralta for Milwaukee and Clay Holmes for New York. Peralta, who is currently ranked 20th in the Top 100, boasts an impressive 2.90 ERA. He brings intensity and finesse that can deter even the most sturdy lineups. Opposing him, Clay Holmes sits at 23rd in the Top 100 with a 2.97 ERA, indicating that neither team has an easy path to putting runs on the board. As the teams look to break through each other's pitching strategies, fans are in for a well-fought affair.

Trends from both teams point to the unique pressures they face. Historically, the Mets have only emerged victorious 7 out of the last 20 encounters against the Brewers, suggesting a tighter rivalry than the odds may imply. Adding to the complexity, as underdogs, the Brewers have succeeded in covering the spread 80% of the time over their last five games. Furthermore, given their status as international perennial spoilers, this contest could very well exhibit the potential for an upset. The Over/Under line for this matchup is projected at 7.50, with an impressive 56.88% chance of exceeding that figure.

Taking into consideration the stats, trends, and pressures both sides face, our recommendation would lean toward Milwaukee as a low-confidence underdog. Although the oddsmakers may extend an invitation for betting on the Mets, the Brewers possess the strategic resources to rely on a solid pitching performance from Freddy Peralta, along with their recent success against the spread. Conclusively, our score prediction sits starkly at Milwaukee 11, New York Mets 1, yielding a confidence percentage in that outcome of 51.7%.

In what may turn out to be an unexpected evening of baseball, eyes will be glued on this season’s intriguing clash between the Brewers and the Mets as both teams battle for early series control.

Milwaukee injury report: B. Perkins (Sixty Day IL - Shin( Apr 25, '25)), B. Woodruff (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 11, '25)), C. Thomas (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 17, '25)), G. Mitchell (Ten Day IL - Oblique( Apr 25, '25)), N. Cortes (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 19, '25)), R. Gasser (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 11, '25)), R. Zastryzny (Fifteen Day IL - Ribs( Jun 30, '25))

New York Mets injury report: A. Minter (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Apr 30, '25)), B. Raley (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 29, '25)), C. Scott (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 25, '25)), D. Smith (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 12, '25)), D. Young (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 03, '25)), G. Canning (Sixty Day IL - Achilles( Jun 26, '25)), J. Siri (Sixty Day IL - Shin( Jun 22, '25)), J. Winker (Sixty Day IL - Side( Jun 24, '25)), K. Senga (Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 12, '25)), M. Kranick (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25)), N. Madrigal (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Feb 23, '25)), S. Manaea (Sixty Day IL - Oblique( Apr 28, '25)), T. Megill (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 16, '25))

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

Score prediction: New York Yankees 0 - Toronto 5
Confidence in prediction: 54.8%

Game Preview: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (July 2, 2025)

As the New York Yankees prepare to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays in the third game of their four-game series, an intriguing controversy brews among analysts and bettors alike. While the bookies have installed the Yankees as the favorites with odds set at 1.799, ZCode’s statistical model paints a different picture, predicting the Blue Jays to emerge victorious. This divergence highlights the complexity of baseball predictions, reminding fans and analysts alike that historical data often serves as a better gauge than the crowd-pleasing perceptions shaped by betting lines.

Traveling to Toronto, the Yankees have managed a lackluster road record of just 20 wins, making this a tough stretch for them, particularly as they approach their 47th away game of the season. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are gearing up for their 46th home game, metrics that could influence how the teams perform. Both squads are currently in different phases of their season arcs, with New York on a road trip comprising three out of their seven games, while Toronto is settled into a home trip spanning the same number of encounters. The recent form certainly doesn’t bode well for the Yankees, as they were on the receiving end of a stinging defeat just yesterday, falling 5-12 to a seemingly unstoppable Blue Jays offense.

On the mound, the matchup heavily favors Toronto's starting pitcher, José Berríos, who boasts a strong ERA of 3.26 and stands 26th in the Top 100 Rating this season. Conversely, New York's Will Warren struggles to find form with an ERA of 4.37 and is notably absent from the elite pitching ranks this year. The slipping support for the Yankees adds to the pessimism surrounding their chances, particularly coming off consecutive losses in which they were unable to contain an inspired Toronto attack.

Historically, this matchup remains competitive, with New York claiming 10 of their last 20 clashes against the Blue Jays. However, recent outings show a starkly different narrative. The latest streak for the Yankees shows success only in two out of their last six. In contrast, Toronto has put together a commanding performance recently, winning their previous two games against New York, further signaling a shift in momentum.

As the Blue Jays remain in "Burning Hot" form, they’ve covered the spread an impressive 100% over their last five games as the underdog. Moreover, sportsbooks recognize five-star home dogs with this same status have experienced a near-even record of 16-15 in similar scenarios over the recent month. Specifically, the stats suggest good value on picking Toronto to fly high against the fading Yankees.

Given the context, score predictions favor the Blue Jays dominantly, projecting a solid outcome of New York Yankees 0 - Toronto Blue Jays 5, underpinned by statistical confidence of 54.8%. As fans prepare for what could easily mark another challenging day for New York, the stage is set for Toronto to showcase their talents in front of their home crowd.

New York Yankees injury report: F. Cruz (Fifteen Day IL - Oblique( Jun 29, '25)), G. Cole (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 21, '25)), J. Cousins (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 17, '25)), L. Gil (Sixty Day IL - Back( Mar 23, '25)), O. Cabrera (Sixty Day IL - Ankle( Jun 18, '25)), R. Yarbrough (Fifteen Day IL - Oblique( Jun 21, '25)), T. Grisham (Day To Day - Hamstring( Jun 30, '25)), Y. De Los Santos (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25))

Toronto injury report: A. Bastardo (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 11, '25)), A. Manoah (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 16, '25)), A. Santander (Ten Day IL - Shoulder( May 29, '25)), B. Bichette (Day To Day - Knee( Jun 30, '25)), B. Francis (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 16, '25)), D. Varsho (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( May 31, '25)), P. Schultz (Fifteen Day IL - Middle Finger( Jun 28, '25)), R. Burr (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 26, '25)), Y. Garcia (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( May 23, '25))

Chiba Lotte Marines at Rakuten Gold. Eagles

Game result: Chiba Lotte Marines 6 Rakuten Gold. Eagles 3

Score prediction: Chiba Lotte Marines 2 - Rakuten Gold. Eagles 5
Confidence in prediction: 43.6%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The Rakuten Gold. Eagles are a solid favorite with a 58% chance to beat the Chiba Lotte Marines.

They are at home this season.

Chiba Lotte Marines: 44th away game in this season.
Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 37th home game in this season.

Chiba Lotte Marines are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 2
Rakuten Gold. Eagles are currently on a Home Trip 2 of 4

According to bookies the odd for Rakuten Gold. Eagles moneyline is 1.760. The calculated chance to cover the -1.5 spread for Rakuten Gold. Eagles is 53.20%

The latest streak for Rakuten Gold. Eagles is W-W-L-L-L-L.

Next games for Rakuten Gold. Eagles against: Seibu Lions (Ice Cold Down), Fukuoka S. Hawks (Burning Hot)

Last games for Rakuten Gold. Eagles were: 0-6 (Win) Chiba Lotte Marines (Average Down) 1 July, 4-2 (Win) @Orix Buffaloes (Average Up) 29 June

Next games for Chiba Lotte Marines against: Orix Buffaloes (Average Up)

Last games for Chiba Lotte Marines were: 0-6 (Loss) @Rakuten Gold. Eagles (Average Up) 1 July, 2-1 (Loss) Fukuoka S. Hawks (Burning Hot) 29 June

The Over/Under line is 5.50. The projection for Over is 64.30%.

Chunichi Dragons at Yokohama Baystars

Game result: Chunichi Dragons 3 Yokohama Baystars 4

Score prediction: Chunichi Dragons 2 - Yokohama Baystars 6
Confidence in prediction: 61.6%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The Yokohama Baystars are a solid favorite with a 54% chance to beat the Chunichi Dragons.

They are at home this season.

Chunichi Dragons: 39th away game in this season.
Yokohama Baystars: 41th home game in this season.

Chunichi Dragons are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 2
Yokohama Baystars are currently on a Home Trip 2 of 2

According to bookies the odd for Yokohama Baystars moneyline is 1.832. The calculated chance to cover the +1 spread for Chunichi Dragons is 56.40%

The latest streak for Yokohama Baystars is W-L-L-L-L-W.

Last games for Yokohama Baystars were: 2-3 (Win) Chunichi Dragons (Ice Cold Down) 1 July, 0-1 (Loss) @Yomiuri Giants (Average Down) 29 June

Last games for Chunichi Dragons were: 2-3 (Loss) @Yokohama Baystars (Ice Cold Up) 1 July, 2-1 (Loss) Hiroshima Carp (Burning Hot) 29 June

Yakult Swallows at Hiroshima Carp

Game result: Yakult Swallows 1 Hiroshima Carp 2

Score prediction: Yakult Swallows 0 - Hiroshima Carp 6
Confidence in prediction: 42.6%

According to ZCode model The Hiroshima Carp are a solid favorite with a 59% chance to beat the Yakult Swallows.

They are at home this season.

Yakult Swallows: 38th away game in this season.
Hiroshima Carp: 40th home game in this season.

Yakult Swallows are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 2
Hiroshima Carp are currently on a Home Trip 2 of 2

According to bookies the odd for Hiroshima Carp moneyline is 1.566. The calculated chance to cover the +1.5 spread for Yakult Swallows is 53.00%

The latest streak for Hiroshima Carp is D-W-W-L-W-W.

Last games for Hiroshima Carp were: 2-2 (Win) Yakult Swallows (Average) 1 July, 2-1 (Win) @Chunichi Dragons (Ice Cold Down) 29 June

Last games for Yakult Swallows were: 2-2 (Win) @Hiroshima Carp (Burning Hot) 1 July, 6-0 (Loss) Hanshin Tigers (Burning Hot) 29 June

The Over/Under line is 5.50. The projection for Over is 56.45%.

Yomiuri Giants at Hanshin Tigers

Game result: Yomiuri Giants 0 Hanshin Tigers 1

Score prediction: Yomiuri Giants 0 - Hanshin Tigers 3
Confidence in prediction: 56%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The Hanshin Tigers are a solid favorite with a 57% chance to beat the Yomiuri Giants.

They are at home this season.

Yomiuri Giants: 44th away game in this season.
Hanshin Tigers: 39th home game in this season.

Yomiuri Giants are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 2
Hanshin Tigers are currently on a Home Trip 2 of 2

According to bookies the odd for Hanshin Tigers moneyline is 1.752. The calculated chance to cover the +1.5 spread for Yomiuri Giants is 53.20%

The latest streak for Hanshin Tigers is W-W-W-L-L-W.

Last games for Hanshin Tigers were: 1-2 (Win) Yomiuri Giants (Average Down) 1 July, 6-0 (Win) @Yakult Swallows (Average) 29 June

Last games for Yomiuri Giants were: 1-2 (Loss) @Hanshin Tigers (Burning Hot) 1 July, 0-1 (Win) Yokohama Baystars (Ice Cold Up) 29 June

Orix Buffaloes at Seibu Lions

Score prediction: Orix Buffaloes 4 - Seibu Lions 0
Confidence in prediction: 59.3%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The Orix Buffaloes are a solid favorite with a 53% chance to beat the Seibu Lions.

They are on the road this season.

Orix Buffaloes: 41th away game in this season.
Seibu Lions: 46th home game in this season.

Orix Buffaloes are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 3
Seibu Lions are currently on a Home Trip 5 of 5

According to bookies the odd for Orix Buffaloes moneyline is 1.647. The calculated chance to cover the +1.5 spread for Seibu Lions is 53.67%

The latest streak for Orix Buffaloes is W-L-W-W-W-L.

Next games for Orix Buffaloes against: @Chiba Lotte Marines (Average Down)

Last games for Orix Buffaloes were: 3-0 (Win) @Seibu Lions (Ice Cold Down) 1 July, 4-2 (Loss) Rakuten Gold. Eagles (Average Up) 29 June

Next games for Seibu Lions against: @Rakuten Gold. Eagles (Average Up)

Last games for Seibu Lions were: 3-0 (Loss) Orix Buffaloes (Average Up) 1 July, 2-1 (Loss) Nippon Ham Fighters (Average Down) 29 June

Samsung Lions at Doosan Bears

Score prediction: Samsung Lions 5 - Doosan Bears 2
Confidence in prediction: 49.6%

This game has an interesting controversy. According to the bookies the favorite based on the odds is Samsung Lions however based on ZCode calculations the real predicted game winner is Doosan Bears. Let this not confuse you. We base our predictions on the historical statistical model not on what bookies or fan crowd think of the odds.

Samsung Lions are on the road this season.

Samsung Lions: 40th away game in this season.
Doosan Bears: 42th home game in this season.

Samsung Lions are currently on a Road Trip 5 of 5
Doosan Bears are currently on a Home Trip 2 of 2

According to bookies the odd for Samsung Lions moneyline is 1.713. The calculated chance to cover the +1.5 spread for Doosan Bears is 53.80%

The latest streak for Samsung Lions is W-L-L-L-L-W.

Last games for Samsung Lions were: 4-1 (Win) @Doosan Bears (Ice Cold Down) 1 July, 7-10 (Loss) @Kiwoom Heroes (Burning Hot) 29 June

Last games for Doosan Bears were: 4-1 (Loss) Samsung Lions (Ice Cold Up) 1 July, 7-3 (Win) @NC Dinos (Average Down) 29 June

Los Angeles at New York

Score prediction: Los Angeles 88 - New York 100
Confidence in prediction: 51.6%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The New York are a solid favorite with a 91% chance to beat the Los Angeles.

They are at home this season.

Los Angeles are currently on a Road Trip 1 of 2
New York are currently on a Home Trip 1 of 8

According to bookies the odd for New York moneyline is 1.150. The calculated chance to cover the +11.5 spread for Los Angeles is 59.47%

The latest streak for New York is L-L-W-L-L-W.

Next games for New York against: Seattle (Average), Las Vegas (Average)

Last games for New York were: 81-90 (Loss) @Atlanta (Average) 29 June, 91-106 (Loss) @Phoenix (Burning Hot Down) 27 June

Next games for Los Angeles against: @Indiana (Burning Hot), Minnesota (Average)

Last games for Los Angeles were: 92-85 (Loss) Chicago (Ice Cold Up) 29 June, 85-75 (Win) @Indiana (Burning Hot) 26 June

The Over/Under line is 171.50. The projection for Under is 97.00%.

Las Vegas at Indiana

Score prediction: Las Vegas 73 - Indiana 90
Confidence in prediction: 61.9%

This game has an interesting controversy. According to the bookies the favorite based on the odds is Las Vegas however based on ZCode calculations the real predicted game winner is Indiana. Let this not confuse you. We base our predictions on the historical statistical model not on what bookies or fan crowd think of the odds.

Las Vegas are on the road this season.

Las Vegas are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 5
Indiana are currently on a Home Trip 1 of 5

According to bookies the odd for Las Vegas moneyline is 1.755.

The latest streak for Las Vegas is W-L-W-W-L-L.

Next games for Las Vegas against: @Connecticut (Dead), @New York (Ice Cold Down)

Last games for Las Vegas were: 84-81 (Win) @Phoenix (Burning Hot Down) 29 June, 94-83 (Loss) Washington (Average) 26 June

Next games for Indiana against: Los Angeles (Dead), Golden State Valkyries (Burning Hot)

Last games for Indiana were: 74-59 (Win) @Minnesota (Average) 1 July, 94-86 (Win) @Dallas (Average Up) 27 June

The Over/Under line is 163.50. The projection for Under is 78.46%.

Phoenix at Dallas

Score prediction: Phoenix 77 - Dallas 76
Confidence in prediction: 24.3%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The Phoenix are a solid favorite with a 79% chance to beat the Dallas.

They are on the road this season.

Dallas are currently on a Home Trip 4 of 4

According to bookies the odd for Phoenix moneyline is 1.298. The calculated chance to cover the +7.5 spread for Dallas is 59.13%

The latest streak for Phoenix is L-W-W-W-W-W.

Next games for Phoenix against: Dallas (Average Up), Minnesota (Average)

Last games for Phoenix were: 84-81 (Loss) Las Vegas (Average) 29 June, 91-106 (Win) New York (Ice Cold Down) 27 June

Next games for Dallas against: @Phoenix (Burning Hot Down), @Chicago (Ice Cold Up)

Last games for Dallas were: 71-79 (Win) Washington (Average) 28 June, 94-86 (Loss) Indiana (Burning Hot) 27 June

The Over/Under line is 167.50. The projection for Under is 71.77%.

The current odd for the Phoenix is 1.298 which gives a perfect chance to include it in 2-3 team parlay with similar odds.

Washington at Minnesota

Score prediction: Washington 75 - Minnesota 88
Confidence in prediction: 38.6%

According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations The Minnesota are a solid favorite with a 97% chance to beat the Washington.

They are at home this season.

Washington are currently on a Road Trip 3 of 3
Minnesota are currently on a Home Trip 3 of 5

According to bookies the odd for Minnesota moneyline is 1.146. The calculated chance to cover the +11.5 spread for Washington is 51.45%

The latest streak for Minnesota is L-W-W-L-W-W.

Next games for Minnesota against: Golden State Valkyries (Burning Hot), Chicago (Ice Cold Up)

Last games for Minnesota were: 74-59 (Loss) Indiana (Burning Hot) 1 July, 63-102 (Win) Connecticut (Dead) 29 June

Next games for Washington against: Chicago (Ice Cold Up), Las Vegas (Average)

Last games for Washington were: 71-79 (Loss) @Dallas (Average Up) 28 June, 94-83 (Win) @Las Vegas (Average) 26 June

The Over/Under line is 159.50. The projection for Under is 56.55%.