NFL Picks: Thursday Night Football – Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings

NFL Picks and Predictions Week Ten: Washington Redskins at Minnesota Vikings, Thursday Night Football

The Washington Redskins had a goal-line stand last week that could come to define their season.  After a Danny Woodhead touchdown seemed to seal a crushing defeat, the play was reviewed and the Chargers had the ball on the half yard line.  The Redskins held the Chargers out of the endzone, forcing a field goal that led to overtime.  Washington would win the game after it felt like a ten point lead and possibly the season had slipped away.

The Minnesota Vikings aren’t playing for much.  ... 

NFL Picks Week Nine: Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins, Thursday Night Football

NFL Picks Week Nine: Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins

I never thought the Dolphins were all that good. I bet them for under on total wins, Ive bet against them for profit all year. I don’t think the Dolphins at 2.5 will cover.

The Bengals have a good team. Great defense, good running game, excellent deep threat passing game. Balance should be the key here. Cincy has an edge as long as they can play their game in this one, which will be tough on the road but I expect them to get it done.

Public money is coming in  ... 

Monday Night Football Predictions: New York Giants Vs Minnesota Vikings

NFL Picks Week Seven: Monday Night Football, Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants

The New York Giants are winless. Nobody saw it coming, but now that it’s here we can see why. They have no running game. They have a weak defense. The schedule hasn’t been particularly kind, and turnovers have killed the Giants.

Can the Minnesota Vikings get enough pressure on Eli Manning to keep him struggling? The Giants will be one-dimensional as usual, but how bad exactly are the Vikings? Is Jared Allen healthy?

So many questions. Two bad teams. After the computer got the better of me in  ... 

NFL Picks: Peyton Manning, Broncos Face Indianapolis Colts, Sunday Night Football

NFL Picks Week Seven: Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts – The Return of Peyton Manning to Indy, Sunday Night Football

The beauty of the Z-Code system, across all sports, is that it removes some of the emotion out of sports investing. If you can find a way to analyze this game without considering the highly emotional return of Peyton Manning to Indianapolis, I’d be impressed. I certainly can’t do it.

Manning had some glorious years is Indy, though he usually came up short in the big game. This is quite a big game. Will his jitters get the better of him, or will he dominate?

A great general rule is to never bet against Peyton Manning. A better rule is to never bet against him at night. He’s simply dominant.

I don’t think the Colts defense can shut down the Broncos here. They looked awful last week, they lack depth, and they’re battling injuries. I think the only play in  ... 

NFL Picks Week Seven: Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals, Thursday Night Football

NFL Picks Week Seven: Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals Thursday Night Football

I don’t usually challenge the computer, but I think I’m going to here. I’ll pull back my wager (that’s the beauty of this multifaceted system), but I’m still going to place a small one against Z-Code. Challenge accepted!

The Seattle Seahawks are a bad road team. They’ve got one of the greatest home field edges in football, but they struggle when they have to travel. Adding to this problem for Seattle is that Thursday Night Football always favors the home team. The short week to prepare comes with  ... 

NFL Picks Week Six: Monday Night Football, Indianapolis Colts at San Diego Chargers

NFL Picks Week Six: Monday Night Football – Indianapolis Colts at San Diego Chargers

Operating under the assumption that the Colts aren’t looking forward to next week’s matchup with an unbeaten Peyton Manning, I still don’t like this game very much.

Z-Code doesn’t either. This is a coin flip. A 50/50 moneyline projection with one-star of value on the road favorites. There’s a lot that goes into this game, but it’s a tough one.

The San Diego Chargers are the least predictable team in football. They beat the Dallas Cowboys fairly convincingly, but they also lost to the lowly Oakland  ... 

Monday Night Football Week Five: Atlanta Falcons Vs New York Jets

NFL Picks and Predictions Week Five: Monday Night Football – New York Jets at Atlanta Falcons

Z-Code is all over the dirty birds at home tonight, even with the ten point spread. There’s only a moderate amount of conflict in the line, which is rare when spreads get this out of control. In a battle between two mediocre teams (so far, at least), we side with the team we still have significantly higher expectations for.

I don’t think the Jets are very good. I know they’ve played well enough to win tight games against decent opponents, but I don’t know  ... 

NFL Picks Week Four: San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams, Thursday Night Football

NFL Picks and Predictions, Week Four: San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams – Thursday Night Football

There are two trends, three really if you consider the downward spiral of the 49ers to be a trend, that make me very nervous about this game. First, Thursday Night Football always favors the home team. Since its inception into the NFL, the lack of prep time and the travel considerations of a shorter week always favor the home team. Second, the Rams beat the Niners last year in two tight, divisional rivalry games.

First, I don’t think the Rams’ wins last year  ... 

NFL Picks 9/19: Thursday Night Football – Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles

NFL Picks and Predictions: Thursday Night Football – Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles

In a game with almost no Z-Code signal, I thought it would be fun to bring back one of my favorite forms of analysis – the bullet point organization of a tricky game. Unfortunately, I still can’t come to a decision. Let’s check out why:

1. Thursday Night Football always favors the home team. With less time to prepare, road teams historically have some serious difficulty adjusting to the short week with travel. Beware road teams on Thursdays! It’s a DEFINITE trend.

2. Both the Philadelphia  ... 

Week One NFL Picks: Monday Night Football – Houston Texans at San Diego Chargers

NFL Picks and Predictions: Monday Night Football – Houston Texans at San Diego Chargers

Monday Night Football features two seemingly obvious games, a seemingly valuable line, and a seemingly simple choice…

Monday Night Football is tricky, however, because Las Vegas has a lot of action on only a few games (usually one). They can control the intake and push the action – think back to that Seahawks Packers game from last year that was lost on a blown call hail mary…

I would not go high confidence on either of these “obvious plays” – but they do look pretty good.

 ...