MLB Picks Contest: Minnesota Twins at Cincinnati Reds

MLB Picks Contest: Minnesota Twins at Cincinnati Reds

Tuesday, June 30th: Hughes v DeSclafani

Well, after Johnny Cueto’s start was pushed back for no reason, most of you got a pretty easy win from the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Cincinnati Reds never really stood a chance, and it was one of the biggest progression bets of the season for my forum. It ended up being a whacky game, so I figure we should give the Reds another chance.

The Minnesota Twins are another terrible team, and on the road they’re a tough team to trust. They definitely have a pitching edge here with Phil Hughes, but the Cincinnati Reds have home field advantage and I don’t think either team is really worth supporting. So, in a game that will never fit my forum because bad teams breed volatility, who do you have? As always, simply comment on this post to participate.

Here are our standings so far:

Three Wins  ... 

MLB Picks: Mark D’s 2015 Baseball Expert Forum Predictions Update

MLB Picks: Mark D’s 2015 Expert MLB Sports Betting Forum Update I just wanted to update you guys on our progress again in the Z-Code VIP Club expert forum for my picks. We’ve missed some low confidence progressions this month and had a couple drops, but we’ve been pretty careful to protect a season worth of impressive profits. As such, we’re still right around the 10 units mark on the year as we’ve mitigated those losses with high winning percentage days and some solid returns. For me that’s $1,000 in profit based on $100 units and $50 average A  ... 

MLB Picks: Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates, Progression Wager

We had this one pegged as an MLB Picks Contest game, but after Johnny Cueto got removed from this one suddenly I don’t see this as much of a coin flip. You have three games in a row now of a better team with a better pitcher playing better baseball at home. The line is reasonable, the Reds limp in with a spot starter, and I like the Pittsburgh Pirates in an ABC progression here against the Cincinnati Reds.

I have some issues trusting the Pittsburgh Pirates lineup sometimes, and they were a highly mediocre team at the beginning  ... 

MLB Picks: Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners

MLB Picks: Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners I know Felix Hernandez hasn’t exactly been dominant this year, but he has been winning games for the Seattle Mariners. The guy has a remarkable record so far, and any time he’s on the hill I think the Mariners have a great chance to win. Against a mediocre Kansas City Royals lineup that is slumping a bit and on the road, I think he’ll be in great form.

What’s more, the Kansas City Royals limp into this one in Seattle with Joe Blanton on the mound. The pitching edge would probably warrant  ... 

MLB Picks: San Francisco Giants at LA Dodgers

MLB Picks: San Francisco Giants vs LA Dodgers

I love Sunday Night Baseball, and this is one of the most intense rivalries in sports as two New York transplants to battle on the west coast. The San Francisco Giants have had a decent year so far, but they’ve been remarkably inconsistent. The LA Dodgers have had some trouble with injuries, but on the verge of being swept by the San Francisco Giants – can they find a way to win here?

The computer likes the underdog value here. Personally, I’m not going to touch this one for its volatility. That said,  ... 

MLB Picks: Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants

MLB Picks: Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants, ABC Progression

We’ve had a very strong season so far, which is why I was hesitant to post any games that didn’t really fit the system. We’ve seen the San Francisco Giants rise from the ashes a bit lately, and the Arizona Diamondbacks have fallen apart, losing four in a row and looking bad doing it.

First, the pitching matchup here is a huge edge for the Giants at home. Bumgarner is easy to trust and comes through in the big game. I know it’s the lowly Diamondbacks, but at home I think  ... 

MLB Picks: San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Picks: San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers

I’ll lead with why this is a risky pick. We have no statistical edge and are not promoting a progression here with only a flat bet option in the middle of the series. Further, this is a road favorite and the San Francisco Giants lineup is far from elite. The Milwaukee Brewers have been pesky, and this could be tricky. So, on the road and with only one stab at this, why bother?

Well, for me there is simply too much value in the line. At -145 with one of the  ... 

MLB Picks: Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Picks: Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves – ABC Progression We’ve been destroying the bookies this season. My forum has now won 21 ABC progressions to open the year and we’re up well over 10 units in the VIP Club. Here, we have another chase progression because I like the pitching matchup here between two teams that I think are relatively equal.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been something of a punching bag for us this season. They suffered a lot of injuries and they haven’t really been the mediocre team that this roster was built to be. They have decent  ... 

MLB Picks: LA Angels at Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Picks: LA Angels at Toronto Blue Jays All is not as it seems in this series, but it still fits my system. With tempered confidence, we move forward with an ABC progression as the Los Angeles Angels visit the Toronto Blue Jays with a great pitching edge and tons of momentum.

This game makes me a little bit nervous. The Toronto Blue Jays are not this bad. They have a lineup that can explode at any time, and while they lack pitching they still can win. The team is really struggling lately, but at home they can bounce back  ... 

MLB Picks: Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks

MLB Picks: Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks I have the Dbacks as a highly mediocre team this year, while the Nats are one of my favorites to win it all. The Washington Nationals have been much better since the lineup finally got healthy, and the opening line of -135 has a ton of value to kick off this series.

The Washington Nationals were dealing with injuries to open the season and it made one of the elite lineups in baseball look highly mediocre. They opened the season with a bunch of close games against an awful Phillies team, and it  ...