We are in the start of another successful MLB baseball season and
it’s a good timing to discuss the secrets of winning on MLB. I dont
care if you live and breath baseball or dont even know the rules, it’s
a fortune to be made by betting baseball professionally. ...
MLB Picks: Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs – AB Doubler
I like the Chicago Cubs this year. I think they have some dominant pitching at the top of the rotation and they look to have their lineup solidified. I expect them to be much better this season than last year and make the leap to being a competitive franchise.
I don’t like the Reds this season. I expect them to be sellers at the deadline and don’t think they will compete. I don’t think the lineup has enough depth and I don’t think they improved from last season. The rotation is ...
MLB Picks: Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies AB Doubler Progression
The Boston Red Sox lineup is loaded, the Philadelphia Phillies don’t have the pitching to contain them, and even if they did I don’t think they could keep up offensively. Rick Porcello might be something of a liability, but there’s so much value in this line it’s difficult to stay away. I know Boston is on the road, but this should be one of the best teams in the AL vs one of the worst teams in the NL. Further, this should be one of the best teams in ...
MLB Playoffs Picks: ALDS round, Kansas City Royals at Los Angeles Angels – ABC ProgressionThe Kansas City Royals rallied to pull off one of the most exciting playoff wins I can remember, and certainly one of the best in their franchise history. Unfortunately, they also burned their ace and enter this series a notch lower in their playoff pitching rotation than the Los Angeles Angels.
I think, as baseball intended when they came up with the play-in game, this is a tremendous edge. The Royals are scrappy, I love their brand of small ball and stealing bases, and I think ...
MLB Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta BravesTo be clear, there are no plays in my baseball system in the VIP Club forum today. With all the excitement of the MLB Playoffs right around the corner, I see no reason to really force it. I don’t feel strongly enough about any of the games, we’ve made money on a lot of the series already (like this one), and there’s no statistical edge opportunities for a progression.
The computer sees a nice underdog edge here in the Delta System. It makes sense, it’s basically the reason we launched an ABC progression on this ...
MLB Picks: Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox, AB Doubler
My forum won big on Game One, and normally I avoid games like this where buying back in can squander our profits. I like the big statistical edge of progressions and I usually like to sit on my money once I already have it. The Baltimore Orioles defeated the Boston Red Sox, and that’s typically good enough for me.
That said, this game still fits my system and the pitching matchup is even more lucrative. In this game we have Tillman, the ace of the Orioles staff, with an even ...
MLB Picks: New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds
Normally this game would qualify as a no play for me. I don’t like betting where two bad teams are involved. For me, unreliability breeds volatility, and I traditionally just dismiss games like this as “two bad teams, no bet”…
But today is different.
Alfredo Simon has come on to have a great year, and the best part about the Reds rotation is that he goes in front of one of the best pitchers in baseball, Cy Young contender Johnny Cueto. This is basically a progression bettor’s dream – a high value line with a good pitcher followed by a strong favorite.
The computer issues an interesting challenge here, because I like this one for my system but there’s no signal. Another parameter missing for a forum wager is that the Reds are just too cold and lack the momentum to make a trustworthy wager.
Still – a weak team like the ...
MLB Picks Contest, Standings Update ($200 in Prizes): Reds Cardinals
Congratulations to all our winners in the second round of our MLB Picks Contest. The Cincinnati Reds certainly gave the St. Louis Cardinals a game, but St. Louis pulled through at home. Here is what our standings look like after two rounds. Remember, first to ten wins $150, second gets $50, and most importantly, this contest shifts over to our NFL page after next week’s game. Cheers.
Two Wins
Mike Galanti
Martin Sayago
Pat O’Rielley ...
MLB Picks 8/16: Milwaukee Brewers at LA Dodgers
The computer has me a little bit nervous here. They see no value on the Dodgers, they see almost a 50/50 coin flip despite the -200 odds, and they expect the game to go over. I expect it to be a grind with clear value on Clayton Kershaw. And so it goes…
I don’t see the Brewers coming into LA and beating the Dodgers twice in a row with their two best pitchers. Greinke got tired and the game slipped away from the Dodgers yesterday, but I expect them to bounce ...
MLB Picks Contest ($150, $50 Prizes): First Round, Detroit Tigers at Pittsburgh Pirates
Tuesday, August 12th
This is the first round of our next MLB Picks Contest, featuring a $150 prize to the first participant to reach ten wins and a $50 prize for the person who gets there second. The contest is free to join, simply comment on this post to participate.
The Tigers and Pirates are two evenly matched teams with similar records. It’s an inter league game, which always adds a little volatility to the matchup. Further, if the Tigers do have a slight roster edge, it’s mitigated by having to travel to Pittsburgh to face the Pirates on their home turf. Get used to it, most of the games we feature will be very difficult, just like this.
Feel free to comment on this post to participate. Free money is the best kind of money, isn’t it?
Good luck to all our participants in this round ...
