MLB Picks: New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds
Normally this game would qualify as a no play for me. I don’t like betting where two bad teams are involved. For me, unreliability breeds volatility, and I traditionally just dismiss games like this as “two bad teams, no bet”…
But today is different.
Alfredo Simon has come on to have a great year, and the best part about the Reds rotation is that he goes in front of one of the best pitchers in baseball, Cy Young contender Johnny Cueto. This is basically a progression bettor’s dream – a high value line with a good pitcher followed by a strong favorite.
The computer issues an interesting challenge here, because I like this one for my system but there’s no signal. Another parameter missing for a forum wager is that the Reds are just too cold and lack the momentum to make a trustworthy wager.
Still – a weak team like the Mets on the road sounds good to me with a pitching lineup as strong as the Reds. I’m on it – momentum and Z-code aside. Low confidence, tempering my wager because of the lack of signal.
Reds 5 – Mets 2
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