The Bet of the day by Ron: NHL Pick for 17 January

NHL Spotlight

To recap: The ultimate streak reversal has been completed. The red hot Ottawa Senators were impeached at home by the struggling Jets. On the bright side, we get an example of how one game can prove current streaks absolutely meaningless. Also, what better motivation to move on and break down the league than starting 0-1 with a shutout! The Detroit Red Wings highlighted the night with their record setting 14th home win in a row at the Joe Louis Arena.

For tonight’s games we look at the televised match up Nashville Predators versus the New York Rangers at MSG.

It’s no secret that hockey fans everywhere are holding their breath for this Ranger team to fall apart. Currently #1 in the league and the best they’ve been this deep in the season in recent memory. They are still the slightly less skilled but terribly hard working Ranger team as old, with a Coach that makes Bobby Knight’s temperament on par with Gandhi. Questions in the air include, “will the Rangers fall as hard as they have risen?” Some have them going deep in the playoffs for a run at Lord Stanley’s cup. But most of us are quietly waiting for the recent cold streak outside to match the blue shirts inside. We don’t wish it but sense it coming all at once. The fact is the Rangers know all of this and are doing their best to keep it out of present mind. While they will be taking things one game at a time as all teams (all pro athletes for that matter) do, I still don’t see a better candidate for a snap-back win at home following a tough loss, this one 4-1 in Montreal. The Rangers have yet to shy away from the spotlight throughout the season. There’s nothing to hint they won’t be showing us again tonight they aren’t going away just yet.

Nashville arrives in the big apple riding a 5 game win streak. A meaningful game for them as they trail Detroit by three in the Central division. More importantly Nashville and Detroit both have a chance to pick up points on the division leading Hawks and Blues who have the night off. Nashville had a not such a breeze of a win over the Islanders last night while the Rangers were watching it on television. The Isles fought hard at home for two periods after a poor start.

It’s exciting to have a chance and beating a team on a streak for some revenge. We have to expect the Rangers to bring more to this game to be the first team to pass sixty points. Currently five teams are a win away from passing the mark, two of them tied with NY. We won’t attribute the “hunger theory” just yet, and the “rest theory” is not in our playbook. Let’s go with the “trend-setter theory” as the Rangers look to one-up the league in points tonight.

Suggested Play -
Rangers in Regulation -.5

NHL Picks and Hockey Predictions for Friday, January 6th

NHL Picks and Hockey Predictions for Friday, January 6th: New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins, Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils, Sabres Canes, Avs Blackhawks, Islanders Ducks

Check out the article by my friend Mark, professional NHL capper. I love his knowledge and humor.  We used to do a “Machine vs Man” challenge. The Machine won round 1 but Mark took a huge revenge in round 2. We are going to do more challenges in the nearest future!

http://www.thefastertimes.com/hockey/2012/01/06/nhl-picks-friday-16-rangers-penguins-panthers-devils/

Today Mark likes Devils (eh, did he ever bet against them?), Pittsburgh Penguins (I dont agree Rangers THAT tired. Remember your rocket science? Flyers beat Penguins 4-2. Rangers beat Flyers 3-2. Now Rangers should beat Penguins 3-1 :) , Sabres, Avalanche and Isles (we fully agree on that)

Good luck!

Starting fresh in 2012? NHL Hockey Picks and Predictions for Thursday, January 5th

NHL Hockey Picks and Predictions for Thursday, January 5th: Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers, Winnipeg Jets at Toronto Maple Leafs, Florida Panthers at New York Rangers, Flames at Bruins, Oilers at Blues, Coyotes at Kings, Blue Jackets at Sharks

Starting fresh in 2012?

Magic score 3-7 ? I was thinking a lot why road dogs (Jets and Tampa) got blown away 2 times in a row especially with such a big and similar score ? What’s different about those games?

Here is what was different. In both cases it was
1) FIRST GAME in 2012 for a home team
2) Home team stuck in a long dead losing streak and needed to break-through.

Why did they win? The motivation to start the fresh 2012 with a win at home in front of supporting fans was overwhelming. Lesson for future: Don’t bet against home team on the first games in 2013. These things can really make a difference.

What about Hawks today?
1) It’s not a first game in 2012 for any of the teams
2) Flyers don’t have a long losing streak.

Why Hawks can win today?
1. Emery is much better goalie than both Flyers goalies all together especially if struggling Bryzgalov takes the net after Bobrovsky took the Winter Classic
2. Jaromir Jagr is injured.

Why Flyers can win today?
1. They are a great team and they don’t usually get into long losing streaks
2. They are playing home and Hawks are unstable and frustrated (could not win over Oilers in the last game)

Idea: go Chicago ML, Chicago-1 Spread and CHI Team Total Over 2.5

Video Update: NHL Hockey Picks and Predictions for January, 2, 2012: Winter Classic 2012

Video Update: NHL Hockey Picks and Predictions for January, 2, 2012: Winter Classic 2012: Rangers vs Flyers, Sharks vs Canucks and more!

Winter Classic 2012: Is it really “Rangers and Under”?

I think on games like this the most obvious choices (Rangers & Under) are the wrong ones because of the amount of betting people do on such public events.

If we try to see what bookies want us to do (putting much stronger team rangers as underdog asking us to bet on them), keeping the Total at 5.5 and taking everyone on Under instead of moving it to 4.5 or 5 like they usually do when they REALLY expect the under.

4-2 Flyers win and Total will be the score that bookies will be happy with today and that is my personal fun bet.

(Zcode system does not have predictions on games like this when there is no statistical data to base it on)

On such games the motivation role is much more important and you can get goals from people who never score and want to prove something or get noticed.

Lundqvist is an awesome goalie but on the terrible outdoor ice condition the pucks will bounce big time in any direction.

I think most people will try to go Rangers. If we read the previews and articles everywhere everyone is screaming take Rangers and Under :)