MLB Picks Contest ($100 Prize): Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Picks Contest: Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

Well, this is how we want them to shake up, right? So many variables, so much to look at, and a coin flip line with conflicted computer parameters. Contest games are supposed to be just like this, and I’m always happy when I find them a week in advance. Good luck.

The Computer sees five-star value on the road dog here, but I don’t see it and find obvious conflict in the parameters here. The parameters are in conflict as they are less than 50% likely to win, and this is  ... 

MLB Picks: Texas Rangers at New York Yankees

MLB Picks: Texas Rangers at New York Yankees

I still view the Yankees as a liability right now. They’ve suffered key injuries in a rotation that was supposed to be anchored in experience and deep. The lineup is old and fragile, and nobody is really performing how they are supposed to.

That said, guys like Carlos Beltran are starting to get hot and consistent veteran players like Derek Jeter and Ichiro have steadied the storm. This is a crucial stretch for the Yankees, not just this week but going forward. Young arms have filled the holes left by the big-name pitchers  ... 

MLB Picks Sunday Night Baseball: LA Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals

MLB Picks: Sunday Night Baseball, LA Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals

Clayton Kershaw is unstoppable and he’s a hard guy to bet against. In fact, as a rule, I don’t do it. The question for me here is whether or not the line allows us to support him against a top team like the St. Louis Cardinals, particularly when the LA Dodgers have been so inconsistent.

The computer and I are in agreement here in that this game doesn’t have any value. I don’t bet against Kershaw, so I’m off this one, but the computer is on the Cardinals. Five-star  ... 

MLB Picks Contest: Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Picks Contest: Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays

Tuesday, July 22nd.

The All-Star Break is over, so let’s get back to our competition. I’ll feature a couple of mediocre teams, divisional rivals, in the back end of their pitching rotation for this one.

I avoid games where there is volatility like this. Bad teams create unpredictability. This game could go either way. Home edge, or a winning tradition in recent years? Both teams are playing pretty average baseball coming into the break, so Tuesday’s game looks like a toss up to me.

As always, just comment on the  ... 

MLB Picks: Mark’s ABC System Featuring ABC, AB, and Flat Bets

MLB Picks System: Mark’s ABC, AB Doubler, Flat Betting Hybrid

So today I get to feature my own system because, quite honestly, the only sport I follow is on a break.. but I think this is good opportunity to offer insights into the second half of the season, and key on what makes the Z-Code system so worthwhile. Last season we finished up almost 40 units, and this year we’ve peaked at around 20 units with about a half unit average bet size, finishing up 500 dollars the last two days of the season’s first half.

My system is simple and straightforward, and 100% transparent. It’s a filtration of key parameters I’ve developed over the year, and I’ve never had a losing season. My system was featured in our latest podcast, so if you have any questions check out our podcast for a bit more information.

The five parameters I use are:

1. Pitching advantage – of the two  ... 

MLB Picks Contest, All Star Break Standings Update: New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles

MLB All-Star Break: Baseball Picks Contest Standings, Yankees Orioles

Not a lot of participation in this round of the competition, but the Baltimore Orioles defeated the New York Yankees in a shortened game to take us to the All Star Break. Congratulations to our winners, which were few and far between. Hopefully when baseball returns we’ll have some more support. Our leaders can still be caught! That said, congratulations to Alex and Duane, who padded their leads.

Eight Wins

Duane Atkinson

Alex Dionne

Five Wins  ... 

MLB Picks Contest: New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles, Sunday Night Baseball

MLB Picks Contest: New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles

Vegas is taking a little extra time to post the line, which makes sense as this one feels like yet another contest coin flip.

The Yankees are winners. They find ways to win despite injuries and are always in the hunt. Last year their aging roster stumbled through the season and this year is more of the same. That said, they’re not too far back, even with their latest loss of Tanaka.

The Orioles are upstart. They’re loaded with young talent and have one of the best managers in baseball. They  ... 

MLB Picks Contest: New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles

MLB Picks Contest: New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles

Sunday Night Baseball

Last game before the All-Star Break, and two divisional rivals meet with AL East leadership implications in play in a big way. The Yankees need to finish strong after sputtering for two weeks, and the Orioles have all the momentum in the world. This should be an important game for sure. Who ya got?

As always, simply comment on the post pinned to our Facebook page to participate. First to ten wins $100 prize, it’s free and fun for everyone involved – especially me – when there’s more competition.

Good Luck!

MLB Picks: New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians

MLB Picks: New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians

I liked the Tanaka matchup yesterday, but the Yankee bats are a little cold. I also like this matchup with a newly acquired pitcher going against a middling AL Central team.

McCarthy hasn’t been great this year, but the Yankees see something in him that they didn’t see in Vlad Nuno before dealing him to the NL. I think McCarthy, on the road and away from the short porches he’s used to struggling with in Arizona and now New York, should be able to silence the Cleveland bats.

I see tremendous underdog  ... 

MLB Picks Contest: Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals

MLB Picks Contest: Baltimore Orioles at Washington Nationals

Not a lot of responses to the post pinned to the top of our Facebook page. Make sure you get on it ASAP.

For me, value is all on the Orioles. I think they have the better team to begin with, and Bud Norris is a solid Astros product. I think the Orioles can win here, and am surprised by the -150 line.

That being said, I’m not betting this one with real money. I’m just looking to it for a good contest pick. There is too much volatility here,  ...