Philadelphia Eagles versus New England Patriots
In a rematch of Super Bowl XXXIX in which the Patriots defeated the Eagles, 24-21, this is a much more even match than many initially saw it. Both teams finished 13-3. The Patriots scored 458 points and allowed 296, while the Eagles scored 457 and allowed 295. On the oscillators, New England holds a slight +30 to +29 advantage, while the Eagles are +7.78 to +7.11 on the Team Strength Oscillator. Both teams are in the top ten in Team Volatility. The Patriots have an obvious edge at quarterback, although Nick Foles played excellent last week against the Vikings. Once a 7 point line favorite the Patriots, the line is down to 4, as people are starting to realize the Eagles have a solid shot to pull off a win. How can the Eagles win? New England is 20th in the league against the run. The Eagles should be able to move the ball, the key is taking advantage of red zone opportunities. They are near the top at converting in the red zone, while New England’s defense is one of the stingiest in the red zone. Another key will be to put heavy pressure on Tom Brady, which is entirely possible as the Eagles lead the NFL in the number of quarterback pressures. If the Eagles can win the time of possession battle and pressure Brady, they may just win their first Super Bowl. Take the Eagles plus the points. Not confident enough to pick a win outright, but it will not be a surprise if they pull it off.
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