NFL Predictions: Week 11

Detroit Lions versus Chicago Bears

In this NFC Central division match up, the 5-4 Lions take on the 3-6 Bears. The teams split last season with Detroit winning as home favorite and the Bears winning as a home underdog. The Lions are tied for 10th in Team Volatility, which bodes well being they are a 3-point favorite. They also hold a +17 to +11 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator and +5.89 to -7.7 advantage on the Team Strength Oscillator. I see the Lions staying in the middle of the playoff push, winning and improving to 7-4.

Los Angeles Rams versus Minnesota Vikings

Both teams enter at 7-2 in a battle of two of the top teams in the NFC. The Vikings won the last meeting between the teams in 2015 as a home favorite. Not surprisingly, both teams are “burning hot” on the Team¬† Strength Oscillator. They are also nearly even on the Power Ranking Indicator, with Minnesota holding a slight +29 to +28 edge. This game is a toss up, as the 2 point line for the Vikings indicates. I like the Vikings to defend home field, winning by a field goal.

Washington Redskins versus New Orleans Saints

Perhaps the hottest team in the NFL, the 7-2 Saints host the 4-5 Redskins. Washington won the last meeting as the home underdog in 2015. They are a 7.5 point underdog this time around. The Saints are a 7.5 point favorite and tied for first in Team Volatility. They also hold a +30 to +18 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and are “burning hot” versus “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator. There is no indication that the Redskins can keep pace with the Saints. I see the Saints in a blowout win in this one.

New England Patriots versus Oakland Raiders

New England heads to Oakland coming in at 7-2, while the Raiders are at 4-5. The last meeting between the teams was in 2014, with the Patriots winning as the home favorite. There is nothing in the oscillators that gives the Raiders much of a chance as a 6.5 point underdog. New England is “burning hot” versus “dead” on the Team Strength Oscillator and hold a commanding +27 to +4 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator. I see the Patriots winning and covering, pushing the Raiders further south in the AFC West.

Cincinnati Bengals versus Denver Broncos

Both teams come into play at 3-6 with the Bengals having lost two straight, while the Broncos have dropped their last five games. The Broncos are a 2.5 point favorite to end their losing streak. Denver won the game between the teams last season as a road underdog. The Bengals are -15.64 and “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator while the Broncos are +2.06 and “dead”. Not a surprise, both teams have plummeted in the Power Ranking Indicator, with the Bengals holdings a +9 to +4 edge. Denver is 3-2 at home versus the Bengals 1-4 mark on the road. Home field will make a difference in this one as the Broncos will end their skid.

Atlanta Falcons versus Seattle Seahawks

The Falcons are coming off a big win against the Cowboys to push them over the .500 mark, while the Seahawks are 6-3 following their win over the Cardinals. The teams split last season, with Atlanta winning in the playoffs. The Falcons are “ice cold down” while Seattle is “average”. In terms of the Power Ranking Indicator, both teams have been on a downward trend, with Seattle holding a +19 to +14 edge. While the Seahawks are a 3 point favorite, the loss of Richard Sherman in the secondary is big. Just going on a hunch, I see Atlanta keeping pace in the division, edging Seattle late in an upset.

 

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