NFL Picks: Week 3

The NFL season has been unpredictable thus far. After the first two weeks, the Philadelphia Eagles, New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers, who combined to go 39-9 last season, are a combined 2-3-1 to start 2018. Take a look at some of the match ups for this week!

New Orleans Saints versus Atlanta Falcons

In this NFC South battle, both teams enter coming off victories and a 1-1 start. The teams split last season, both winning as home favorites. Atlanta comes in as a three point favorite. The Saints hold a +8 to +3 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average down” versus “dead” on the Team Strength Oscillator.  The Falcons are tied for the sixth most unstable team in the league according to the Team Volatility Oscillator. Although the teams have an equal record, the Falcons have had much tougher competition in Philadelphia and Carolina. Take the Falcons minus the three points.

Indianapolis Colts versus Philadelphia Eagles

The big story in this game is the return of Carson Wentz from major knee surgery. While the Eagles are hurting with the loss of Alshon Jeffery, Mike Wallace and perhaps Jay Ajayi, the return of Wentz instantly boosts team morale and the Philadelphia crowd will be the 12th man.  The Eagles hold a +25 to +7 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Indianapolis is “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator and the Eagles are “ice cold down” following the loss to the Buccaneers. A six-point home favorite, the Eagles have been very good at home and tough defensively. The Eagles should win and cover.

New York Giants versus Houston Texans

The Giants come in starting off 0-2 and looking porous on the offensive line. Houston is also 0-2 but come in as a six-point home favorite. The Giants have a narrow +10 to +9 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator. Both teams are “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator.  New York is -12 point differential, while the Texans are -10.  Very closely matched, the edge has to go to the Texans, who will be motivated for their home opener. The Texans will win this game and drop the Giants to 0-3.

Denver Broncos versus Baltimore Ravens

The Broncos needed a strong fourth quarter to overtake the Raiders and improve to 2-0. Baltimore fell on the road after opening at home with a win. A five-point favorite, the Ravens hold a +31 to +21 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and both teams are “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator.  One of the most unstable teams in the league according to the Team Volatility Oscillator, betting according to Broncos’ favorite/underdog status is likely not wise. Denver is not nearly as strong on the road, but will go out on the limb a bit and pick them as the upset choice this week. Denver will not only cover, bit win outright.

Los Angeles Chargers versus Los Angeles Rams

The last time these two teams met in 2014, neither were playing in Los Angeles. The Chargers at 1-1 were in San Diego, while the Rams at 2-0 were in St. Louis. The Rams are +27 on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average” status, while the Chargers are +19 and “average up”.  The Rams have dominated defensively over the first two games, giving up only 6.5 points per game. They come in as a 6.5 point favorite. The Chargers have been solid offensively, but likely can’t keep up with the firepower or Jared Goff and Todd Gurley, among others. The Rams will win this high scoring game and cover.

Green Bay Packers versus Washington Redskins

Coming off a tie to the Vikings, the 1-0-1 Packers take on a Redskins team who fell to the Colts at home.  Green Bay won the last meeting in 2016 as a road underdog.  Coming in as a three-point road favorite, the Packers have a +22 to +20 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average” versus “ice cold up” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Both teams are among the most unstable in the league after the first two weeks, so proceed with caution when considering favorite/underdog status. As long as Green Bay can protect Aaron Rodgers and his injured knee, the Packers win the game. Green Bay will take this by at least a touchdown.

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