MLB Predictions – September 21 – 23

Entering the final two weeks of the season and there are still playoff positions yet to be determined. Here’s some of the key match ups for September 21 – 23. Note that all information is for games played through September 17.

Boston Red Sox versus Cleveland Indians

The Red Sox enter with the best record in the Major Leagues, while the Indians are the AL Central champions. The Red Sox hold a +29 to +19 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “burning hot” versus “ice cold up” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Indians are the 10th most unstable team in the league, so be cautious betting according to their favorite/underdog status. Four of the six starters for this series have been named and only Rick Porcello for the Red Sox on Friday and Shane Bieber for the Indians on Saturday are in the green on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Boston has a better road record than Cleveland does at home, so Boston will take this series two games to one.

Milwaukee Brewers versus Pittsburgh Pirates

In this NL Central match up, the Brewers are still within striking distance for the division title, while the Pirates are hovering around .500.  Milwaukee is +26 on the Power Ranking Indicator compared to +15 for the Pirates. Both teams are “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Beware of picking for or against the Brewers based on favorite/underdog status because they are the 8th most unstable team in the league. Milwaukee goes with Zach Davies, Jhoulys Chacin and Wade Miley versus Ivan Nova, Trevor Williams and Joe Musgrove for the Pirates. Davies and Williams are the best bets according to the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. While both Miley and Musgrove as in the red in terms of pitcher profit, the Brewers have the edge. Look for them to win the series two games to one.

Philadelphia Phillies versus Atlanta Braves

At one point this series could have meant something in terms of the playoff race. However the Phillies are now 6.5 games out and all but out of it. They are +17 on the Power Ranking Indicator compared to +24 for the Braves.  The Braves are “burning hot down” on the Team Strength Oscillator, while the Phillies are “average down”. Atlanta is undecided on the mound this weekend, while the Phillies have Nick Pivetta, Jake Arrieta and Aaron Nola are scheduled for the Phillies. The eighth most unstable team in the league, the Braves are still playing much better than the Philies, who have all but checked out for the season. Atlanta will win this series.

Seattle Mariners versus Texas Rangers

Although the Mariners are 16 games over .500, they are likely to miss the playoffs. The Rangers look for some positives entering the off season. As far as stability, the Rangers are ninth most stable and the Mariners are the ninth most unstable. Not surprisingly, the Mariners hold a large +23 to +11 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Of the six scheduled starters in this series, only the Rangers’ Adrian Sampson is in the red on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Seattle is 6-4 over their last ten and the Rangers are 3-7 during the period. There nothing indicating that the Rangers can pull off the upset, so go with the Mariners in a two-to-one weekend series win.

Los Angeles Angels versus Houston Astros

Houston holds the top spot in the AL West and the Angels look to play spoiler and get back to the .500 mark.  The Angels are “ice cold down” and +8 on the Power Ranking Indicator, while the Astros are +27 and “average up”.  Both teams are among the most stable team in the league according to the Team Volatility Oscillator.  Andrew Heaney, Jaime Barria and Tyler Skaggs are scheduled to pitch for the Angels versus Charlie Morton, Justin Verlander and Framber Valdez for the Astros. Only Barria and Valdez are profitable according to the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Houston is only eight games over .500 at home compared to 30 over on the road. However, they are simply too talented to lose this series.

Colorado Rockies versus Arizona Diamondbacks

The Rockies are battling the Dodgers for first in the NL West, while the Diamondbacks still have an outside shot in the division. Colorado holds a +18 to +12 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Arizona is just 2-8 over their last ten and “ice cold down” on the Team Strength Oscillator.  Colorado is 5-5 during the same stretch and “average down” status. Zack Godley, Zack Greinke and Patrick Corbin are all very profitable and are scheduled to go for the Diamondbacks. The Rockies look to counter with German Marquez, Antonio Senzatela and Jon Gray. The Diamondbacks have the edge in  all three match ups according to the Pitcher Profit Oscillator.  Arizona will break out of their slump, win the series to keep their slim playoff hopes alive.

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