NBA Picks: Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors
Sorry for the delay today, folks. I was waiting for the line to post but it was held by Vegas, and there’s only three NBA games today. I love the shootout that’s brewing between the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors tonight. This should be a fun one if both teams come out firing.
For me, the Warriors are too inconsistent and, when facing elite teams at spreads like this, their volatility has been profitable when betting the other side. The Houston Rockets are the superior team and the spread is likely going to be inconsequential.
The computer is in a little bit of conflict, so again this is not a strong enough signal to qualify for any systems we run off the algorithm. That said, it does lend marginal support to my lean and I’m going to bet it outside my system. With 59% chance to win in one parameter, but only 49% to cover a one point spread, the computer is conflicted. Three stars of value suggests some reason to bet here.
I think the shooting of the Warriors can beat anyone, but against a team that is better inside and can score with more slashing that shooting, the Rockets will have an edge here. They’re hot, but both teams are hot, and this is a low confidence play.
Rockets 109 – Warriors 103
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