NFL Preseason Predictions, 2015 AFC East Picks: Patriots, Bills

AFC East 2015 Preseason Predictions: New England Patriots, Buffalo Bills Few things are as certain season to season as the AFC East. This year, even with all the shaking up of the rosters, even with Tom Brady out for a well-deserved, four-game suspension, and even with the Buffalo Bills making all kind of moves, I still can’t bring myself to bet against the Pats.

1. New England Patriots (10-6): So, even if they come out “flat” you can sprinkle in a few losses with Tom Brady on the bench and maybe a little bit of adjustment once he comes back in, and I still think the New England Patriots are the best team in the AFC East this year. The Jets still don’t have a quarterback, the Bills are learning to win, and the Patriots will win the division – even if they don’t cruise to the title like in years past.

2. Buffalo Bills (9 – 7): I like the  ... 

2015 NFL Preseason Predictions, AFC North: Steelers, Bengals, Ravens

2015 AFC North Preseason Predictions: Baltimore Ravens, Pittsburgh Steelers, Cincinnati Bengals

With the Pittsburgh Steelers opening the 2015 NFL Preseason with a loss in the Hall of Fame Game to the Minnesota Vikings, and the Baltimore Ravens kicking off Week One of the NFL Preseason next week against the New Olreans Saints, this division was the obvious place to start our 2015 Preseason Predictions. The AFC North is a tight division, riddled with mediocrity. This one won‘t be easy.

1. Cincinnati Bengals (10-6): I don’t trust Andy Dalton and don’t expect the Bengals to ever deliver in a big  ... 

MLB Picks: Mark D’s Baseball Predictions, 2015 Results Update

MLB Picks and Predictions: Mark D’s Baseball Forum After another string of wins in our MLB Picks forum, I wanted to post an update about our progress so far – but first, we’re on the Kansas City Royals here in a possible progression opportunity with Johnny Cueto kicking off the series tonight.

Now, back to the recap. We’ve got one progression miss all season and it was on the San Francisco Giants who slumped away our perfect season. Most of our AB doubler losses have been rain outs and dropped progressions (I think all of them actually), and our flat  ... 

MLB Picks: Cardinals at Reds

MLB Picks: St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds

We’re on to the B bet here after a disappointing loss where both offenses sputtered for the majority of the game. The St. Louis Cardinals are the better team here, and they’ve got a huge pitching edge as far as I see it. The Cincinnati Reds are one of baseball’s worst teams, and as long as the Cards make contact they’ll find a way to win here.

I was disappointed yesterday, but I still think the Cardinals will be able to handle business on this progression on the road. We see significant conflict in the algorithm, so we have to temper our expectations a little bit here.

The computer sees 3.5 stars of value in a heavy road favorite that another parameter suggests will lose 60% of the time. As such, our normal advice is to stay away. In the context of a progression, however, I say we trust the system and  ... 

MLB Picks Contest ($100 Prize): Royals Tigers

Ventura and Sanchez are both having miserable years with ERAs approaching five. Sanchez, as a veteran, has never been this poor. Ventura, as an upstart young pitcher, is supposed to be doing more than this. Ultimately, either pitcher can implode, which is why I like this as a contest game so much.

The Detroit Tigers are having a disappointing year and sold off their ace, but I still think it’s too early to count this lineup out of the playoff race. The Kansas City Royals got better at the deadline and seem poised for a return to the playoffs despite a confusing offseason where they failed to add the right pieces by most accounts. Still, an active deadline has them poised to make a run at another World Series.

So, who ya got? As always, simply comment on this post to participate.

Congratulations to our few winners who got a very sloppy match between the Dbacks and Brewers right. We  ... 

MLB Picks: Washington Nationals at New York Mets, Sunday Night Baseball

MLB Picks: Sunday Night Baseball – Nats Mets

Where did the New York Mets come from? The New York Yankees had a huge losing streak earlier in the year and surged to take a big lead in the AL East. The New York Mets did the same with an epic skid of their own in the NL East, and have surged back to be a game behind the Washington Nationals. At home, they can send a real message by sweeping their way into a tie for the division lead. What’s more, the Mets were buyers at the deadline for the first time since their owner lost all his money to a Wall Street scheme.

If you’re the Mets, you have to be excited right now. While I avoided this series because I don’t like to bet against the Washington Nationals, I saw pitching match ups that made me very nervous. The Mets looked poised to make a dent in the  ... 

MLB Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

MLB Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds It’s always nice when the night games haven’t started and you’re already up money on the day, but the early games today gave us a victory behind Max Scherzer and we’re playing with a little bit of house money. I think the Pittsburgh Pirates have a ton of value in an ABC progression against the Cincinnati Reds, and we’re on them here.

The Pirates have their three best pitchers lined up for this one and the Reds traded away the only guy in the rotation that was worth fearing. Pittsburgh is the better team  ...