MLB Picks 9/18: Desperate New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

MLB Picks and Predictions 9/18: New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

The Yankees have owned the Jays this year, but they’re mired in a year-end slump that could end their push for the playoffs.

It’s been a horrible season for the Yankees. Injuries took away New York’s chances early on, but they battled through. Just when they looked like they were turning a corner in a tight wild card race, injuries seem to have hit them too hard once more.

When you look at this Yankees lineup, it’s just not the same team we thought they were. Then again, ...

MLB Picks 9/16: Free Cash Contest – Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays

MLB Picks and Predictions: September 16th – Featured $100 Contest Game – Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays

This is a rare opportunity to showcase two slumbering teams that are equally futile at the moment, but also the two teams tied for the wild card at the moment. The Rangers have lost ten of eleven, the Rays have sunk to within a few games of missing the playoffs. This is a battle – but not the type you’d expect from the current wild card placeholders.

With at least three teams nipping at their heels, this series could mean everything to ...

MLB Picks 9/11: Pittsburgh Pirates at Texas Rangers

MLB Picks and Predictions: Pittsburgh Pirates at Texas Rangers

Z-Code and I are in an epic battle in this one so I figured I’d feature it on the main page. Normally, when Z-Code and I disagree, it’s a good sign to stay away from a game. I’d have to continue with that advice on this game, but it’s fun to take a look at.

Z-Code likes the Pirates. With full five-star support on the underdog, the play looks to have some value. Still, Burnett is slumping and there’s sweep resistance here. I don’t trust AJ Burnett to snap out of ...

MLB Picks 9/1: Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros

MLB Picks and Predictions: 9/1 – Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros

There are a few reasons this game doesn’t fit my system, but I’m on the Mariners anyway with low confidence and I like this play.

First, why it doesn’t work:

I don’t like to bet when two “bad” teams meet. ...

MLB Picks 8/30: Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies

MLB Picks and Predictions 8/30: Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies

This is an interesting game and a rare occasion where a strong signal from Z-Code disagrees with my forum pick. There is a slight conflict in output by the computer calling for a 53% chance of victory by the Reds and a five-star underdog prediction for the Rockies. Still, I like this game.

After stealing a game-four progression win with the Tigers, I’m feeling pretty good about the stability of our system. Yes, we got lucky, but we hit another play and we continue to win. With NFL and ...

MLB Picks and Predictions 8/28: Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers

MLB Picks August 28th

There is a lot going on today. For starters, we have round seven of our MLB Picks contest, which features the Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox. Another exciting (read: scary) play here is the C bet we have on the Detroit Tigers. As good as they are and as streaky as the A’s are, I can’t see a sweep in Detroit… but it doesn’t look good after a six-inning game stole money from us in my mind. Here, I like to focus on another interesting game.

The Chicago Cubs stole a -300 game from ...

MLB Picks and Predictions: Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers

MLB Picks and Predictions: Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers, ABC Progression Opportunity

The Detroit Tigers are an elite team and they’re hitting their stride as the playoff stretch run comes together. Their pitching rotations lines up perfectly with the Athletics’ horrible play of late.

The Athletics aren’t hitting and the Tigers have burning hot pitchers that are far better than anything the Athletics lineup is ready for.

Decent pitching edge ...

MLB Picks and Predictions 8.24: Pittsburgh Pirates Vs San Francisco Giants

MLB Picks and Predictions: Pittsburgh Pirates Vs San Francisco Giants

This has been a tremendously profitable series for the Z-Code community so far. The lines have been dripping with value, the better team is prevailing on the road, and the pitching matchups have been easy to read. The result for my followers is a series win, a progression win, and for some, another flat bet win.

Here, we lack a statistical advantage but there’s value in continuing down this road. The Pirates are in the playoff mix and looking to maintain their momentum as they try to chase down a ...

MLB Picks and Predictions 8/23: Washington Nationals at Kansas City Royals

MLB Picks and Predictions, Friday 8/23: Washington Nationals at Kansas City Royals

This is a tricky game. I don’t think I’ve seen such a strong underdog prediction in some time, but beware the conflicting parameters of the algorithm here.

While Z-Code suggests that there is an 83% chance of a Nationals win, it also says there is only a 68% chance of the Nationals covering a +1.5 spread. There’s five star support, but obviously those numbers do not add up. The system is conflicted, and the read out is not nearly as strong as the first glance suggests.

I see ...

MLB Picks and Predictions 8/22: Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers

MLB Picks and Predictions: Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers

Yesterday we provided two winning picks in a dominant day for the Z-Code community. My forum in the VIP membership area went unbeaten again, and we’re rolling now as the baseball season comes down to its stretch run.

Today, I look at a sharp line that has limited value in my system as the possible best play on the board. It comes with full Z-Code support, a big pitching edge, a home edge, a roster edge, and a momentum edge… what’s not to like?

While Justin Verlander has been a ...