NHL Picks: Vancouver Canucks at Washington Capitals
I’m beginning to think the Caps just aren’t a good team. They seem to have an abundance of talent, or at least enough talent to keep them in the hunt, but they aren’t putting together wins, 10-13 ML on the year. They’re 5-4-3 at home and on a bit of a skid at the moment. Somehow, still, they’re fourth in the East and giving away some serious value on lines lately, as we continue to bet against them to some decent profits.
Vancouver, on the other hand, has been a cash cow for us the other way. Ryan Miller has made them a viable threat in the West, despite trading away Ryan Kesler and seemingly doing very little to improve their roster. Vancouver is 9-4 on the road, and has twice as many wins as losses overall in terms of ML bets.
So, one of my favorite teams to bet for faces one of my highest value teams to bet against. How can I resist? The computer gives it a 51% chance that the underdog wins outright in this coin flip game. That sounds good to me.
We temper our wager because the Canucks are on the road, across the country, and facing a decent team. The computer doesn’t offer much support, either. This is my one play for my system for the day, but it’s low confidence.
Canucks 3 – Caps 2
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