NFL Playoffs Picks, NFC Championship: Green Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks (-7.5)
We had a perfect bracket in the NFC this year after an injured Aaron Rodgers led the Green Bay Packers through some controversy last round. Hell, the Dallas Cowboys were only there because of a similar officiating issue, so we feel like it all balanced out (in our favor). So, with nothing broken, why change a thing? We’ll stick to our original prediction here – especially given the health of Aaron Rodgers – and take the Seattle Seahawks at home.
Quite frankly, the Packers looked scared the first time they faced the Seahawks. They chose not to throw the ball at Richard Sherman’s side of the field and crippled their offense. I think it’s safe to think they won’t try to do that again. Still, I don’t think the Packers will have enough. Rodgers will be beaten down by a physical defense and without his mobility the Seahawks won’t have to deal with a moving target. This secondary will take away the pass, Eddie Lacy will struggle against a physical run front, and the Packers won’t be able to move the ball.
On the other side of the ball, the Seattle Seahawks can beat the Packers with physicality. They will run over them and use enough passing against a relatively weak secondary to keep the Pack off balance.
Throw in one of the best home field advantages in football and I don’t see how Green Bay will even keep this one close. I will buy the hook and tease this one down. My bigger play is with the teaser, but I am also in on this one against the spread. The computer agrees that the Seattle Seahawks will win, but doesn’t like them against the spread. Still, with a 67% chance of victory and an injured Aaron Rodgers, I like our chances for both.
Seahawks 30 – Packers 17
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