Surprising teams emerge as we head into week six of the NFL season. The Washington Commanders and Houston Texans sit at 4-1, while the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns are at 1-4. Let’s check four games this week with the Baltimore Ravens hosting the Commanders in the featured game.
Houston Texans versus New England Patriots
The Texans are one of the surprise teams in the NFL with a 4-1 record. They head to New England to take on the Patriots, losers of their last four. Houston is a 6.5-point road favorite with odds of 1.345 to 3.350 with an over/under of 37.5. Houston is “burning hot” versus “dead” and +22 to +5 on the Power Ranks Indicator. The score prediction is 32-11 in favor of Houston with 71 percent confidence. The Texans are 4-1 in their last five games as favorites. Both teams are moderately stable according to the Team Volatility Oscillator. The Patriots have lost their previous four. I see that streak reaching five with the Texans covering the spread in a game “over” the line.
Cleveland Browns versus Philadelphia Eagles
Cleveland enters play at 1-4 while Philadelphia comes off a bye at 2-2. The Eagles are “average down” versus “dead” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Philadelphia is an 8.5-point home favorite with odds of 1.222 to 4.5 with an over/under of 42.5.. The teams have been trending in games “under” the line, but the Eagles will return two key components on offense in DaVonta Smith and AJ Brown. The score prediction is Eagles 37-18 with 42 percent confidence. Both teams have a negative scoring differential with an edge to the Eagles at -10 to -42. I like the Eagles to bounce back at home, winning and covering in a game “over” the line.
Washington Commanders versus Baltimore Ravens
Both teams enter the week “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Ravens are 6.5-point home favorites with odds of 1.328 to 3.45 with an over/under of 51.5. The teams are trending in games “over” the line with a score prediction of 36-22 in favor of Baltimore with 74 percent confidence. The Ravens are a 5-star home favorite and have won 4 of their last 5 as favorites. Despite a 4-1 record, the Commanders are only +7 on the Power Ranks Indicator compared to +31 for Baltimore. I like the Ravens to take the Commanders down a notch with a win and cover in a game “over” the line.
Pittsburgh Steelers versus Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders come in off a loss and the Steelers have lost their last two. Both teams are “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator and Las Vegas has a +10 to +9 edge on the Power Ranks Indicator. The Steelers are a 2.5-point road favorite with odds of 1.606 to 2.400 with an over/under of 36.5. The teams are trending in games on opposite sides of the line, making the over/under pick a pass in this game. Neither team has been consistently playing regarding their favorite/underdog status. The Steelers have a +19 to -35 scoring differential edge. Pittsburgh won last year’s game between the teams in Las Vegas. I like the trend to continue with the Steelers winning and covering.
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