NFL Picks Week 5: 49ers Host Cowboys in Headlined Matchup

The NFL season is nearly a quarter complete, and only two undefeated teams are left standing. One of them is the San Francisco 49ers, who host the Dallas Cowboys in this week’s featured game.

Dallas Cowboys versus San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers come in 4-0 and host the 3-1 Cowboys. San Francisco comes in “burning hot” versus “average up” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +28 to +20 on the Power Ranks Indicator. The 49ers are 3.5-point home favorites with odds of 1.55 to 2.465 and an over/under set at 44.5. The teams are trending on opposite sides of the over/under line and Dallas is given a 76 percent chance of covering despite the 49ers having a 66 percent chance of winning. The 49ers are five-star favorites this week and 67 percent winning rate picking the 49ers over the last six games. This game smells like a field goal difference in favor of San Francisco. Go with Dallas to cover in a game “over” the line.

Jacksonville Jaguars versus Buffalo Bills

The Bills come in “burning hot” after their 3rd straight win and host the Jaguars, who are “average up” after evening their record to 2-2 last week. Buffalo is a 5.5-point favorite with odds of 1.45 to 2.782 with an over/under of 48.5. The teams have been trending on opposite sides of the over/under line and the score prediction of 40-19 for the Bills falls in line with their 62 percent chance of winning the game. Note that the Bills have won four of their last five as favorites. The Bills are a five-star pick for this week as favorites. I like the Bills to win and cover in a game “over” the line.

Baltimore Ravens versus Pittsburgh Steelers

In this AFC North clash, the Steelers come in at 2-2, coming off a blowout loss to the Houston Texans. Baltimore dismantled the Browns last week and come in at 3-1. The Ravens are 4.5-point road favorites with odds of 1.46 to 2.735 and an over/under of 38.5. The teams are trending in games under the line but the score prediction of 32-16 in favor of the Ravens would easily go over. Be aware that the Steelers have covered the spread in four of their last five as the underdog. The teams split the two games last season, each winning on the road. I like that trend to continue, but see the Steelers covering in a game “under” the line.

New Orleans Saints versus New England Patriots

Both teams enter on a downward trend. The Saints have lost two in a row and “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator and the Patriots are “ice cold down” and 1-3. The Saints are 1.5-point road favorites with a 55 percent chance of winning and the over/under is 39.5. The teams have been involved in games “under” the line in all but one game this season. New Orleans has a +18 to +10 edge on the Power Ranks Indicator. New England has a 48 percent chance to cover at home. It’s hard to see a Bill Belichick-coached team start 1-4 no matter how dismal the Patriots look. Therefore, I like the Patriots to come out on top in this one in a game “under” the line.


Carolina Panthers versus Detroit Lions

Carolina comes in having lost all four games this season, while the Lions are 3-1 and “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Detroit is a huge favorite of 9.5 points with odds of 1.21 to 4.42 and an over/under of 44.5. Detroit has a 77 percent chance of winning with a score prediction of 42-19. Detroit is a five-star favorite and five-star favorites have gone 5-1 over the last 30 days. Detroit is +26 to +3 on the Power Ranks Indicator. The Panthers have a 72 percent chance of covering the spread. I am not buying it, going with the Lions by double digits in a game “over” the line.

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