The NFL season has reached the home stretch and playoffs positions and seedings are still up in the air. There are several key matchups for week 15 with the Bills hosting the Cowboys the featured game.
Dallas Cowboys versus Buffalo Bills
Dallas comes in winners of their last five and “burning hot” status, while the Bills are 4-2 over their last six. Buffalo is a 2.5-point home favorite with odds of -133 to +110 and an over/under of 50.5. The teams have been trending on opposite sides of the line and the score prediction is Buffalo 26-19 with 82 percent confidence. Low confidence underdog value pick on Dallas and there is a 67 percent success rate betting on Buffalo over the last six. Dallas has been extremely consistent about their favorite/underdog status. As hot as the Cowboys are, their win last week against Philadelphia might have been their Super Bowl. I like the Bills at home to win and cover but pass on the over/under bet.
Houston Texans versus Tennessee Titans
Tennessee comes in “ice cold up” following a win and a 2-4 stretch, while Houston is “average” after losing two of their last three games. Tennessee is a home favorite by 3.5 points with odds of -167 to +132 and an over/under set at 36.5. The teams have been involved in games “over” the line in seven of the last 12 combined. Note that Houston has covered in the last five games as an underdog. Houston is +23 to +3 on the Power Ranks Indicator. I like Houston to win and cover in a game “over” the line.
Baltimore Ravens versus Jacksonville Jaguars
Baltimore is the top team in the AFC and a legitimate Super Bowl contender. They are “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator, while the Jaguars have lost their last two. The Ravens are 3.5-point road favorites with odds of -169 to +137 with an over/under of 42.5. Baltimore has won 80 percent in their last five games as favorites. There is a high chance that this game is decided by one score. The teams have been trending in games “over” the line and the score prediction of 32-17 in favor of Baltimore would put this game over the line as well. I like Baltimore to handle the Jaguars by at least a touchdown in a game “over” the line.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Green Bay Packers
After losing three of their previous four, the Buccaneers have won two straight and are “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Green Bay is coming off a two-point loss to the Giants and 4-2 over their last six. The Packers are 3.5-point favorites at home with odds of -182 to +147 with an over/under of 41.5. I expect a shootout with both teams involved in games “over” the line recently. There is a 92 percent chance that the game is decided by one score, so expect a tight, exciting contest. Green Bay is +20 to +8 on the Power Ranks Indicator, but Tampa Bay is a good underdog value pick at 4.5 stars. I like the Packers to win by a field goal in a game “over” the line, so pick Tampa Bay to cover.
New York Jets versus Miami Dolphins
The Jets are just 1-5 over their last six games, while the Dolphins are 4-2 despite coming off a one-point loss to the Titans. Miami is a huge 9.5 favorite with odds of -476 to +342 with an over/under of 37.5. The score prediction is for Miami to rout the Jets, 45-18 with a high level of confidence of 87 percent. Miami won the first meeting between the teams by 21 points in New York. Picking Miami has been profitable, winning at a rate of 83 percent over the last six games. Both teams have been moderately stable, indicating their performance concerning their favorite/underdog status. I like Miami to win by at least two touchdowns in a game “over” the line.
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