NFL Picks Week 13: Eagles host 49ers in featured game

The NFL season is down to the final month and teams are looking to get hot for a final push towards the playoffs. Six teams are on a bye this week but there are still plenty of important games with the Eagles hosting the 49ers heading the list.

San Francisco 49ers versus Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles enter at 10-1 and are coming off there straight difficult games in which they have had to come from behind to win. Although at home with a better record and higher power ranking than the 49ers, they are 2.5-point underdogs. Why? The difficult stretch, combined with more rest for the 49ers, Dallas up for the Eagles next week and the fact that San Francisco is also an excellent team, are factors. Both teams are trending in games “over” the line, which is set at 47.5 and the Score Prediction is Philadelphia, 27-26 with about 50 percent confidence. The 49ers also have revenge on their minds after last season’s loss in the NFC title game. The Eagles have found ways to win all season and could again this week. They are a good underdog value pick this week. However, don’t be surprised if the 49ers win and cover.

Denver Broncos versus Houston Texans

After a dismal start, the Broncos have been one of the hottest teams in the NFL. They have won five straight and head to face the Texans, who are 4-2 over their last six. Houston is a 3.5-point home favorite with odds of 1.62 to 2.358 with an over/under of 47.5. The teams have been trending in games “under” the line and the score prediction is for Houston to win by a 28-21 score with 53 percent confidence. Both teams have been climbing in the power rankings with Houston holding a +23 to +21 edge. I like the Texans to end the Broncos streak, but look for Denver to cover in a game “under” the line.

Cleveland Browns versus Los Angeles Rams

The Rams are 3-3 over the last six but “burning hot” after two consecutive wins. They are a 3.5-point home favorite with odds of 1.55 to 2.465. Cleveland is 4-2 over the last six and coming off a 17-point loss to the Broncos. The teams have been trending nearly evenly in games over and under the line, which is set at 40.5 for this game. Note that the Rams have won 4 of their last 5 games as favorites and the score prediction is for Los Angeles by a 31-23 score. Both teams have been moderately consistent with regard to their favorite/underdog status. There was a sharp movement in the money line in favor of the Rams earlier in the week followed by two sharp movements against. I like the Browns to cover but pass on the over/under.

Kansas City Chiefs versus Green Bay Packers

Green Bay is 3-1 over the last four games and “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator and Kansas City is 2-2 during the same stretch. The Chiefs are 6.5-point road favorites with odds of 1.41 to 2.974 with an over/under of 41.5. The teams have been trending in games on opposite sides of the line and the score prediction is 31-20 in favor of the Chiefs with 51 percent confidence. There is an 82 percent chance that the game is decided by less than one score, which makes betting on Green Bay to cover very attractive. Green Bay has been inconsistent concerning their favorite/underdog status. I like the Chiefs to win but the Packers to cover but pass on the over/under bet.

Detroit Lions versus New Orleans Saints

The Lions travel to New Orleans after coming off a difficult home loss to the Packers. Detroit is “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator and 4-2 over the last six, and New Orleans is “ice cold down” and 2-4 over the same period.  The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite with odds of 1.51 to 2.605 with an over/under of 45.5. The score prediction of 38-10 favoring the Lions indicated a huge bounce-back week expected for the NFC North leaders. Detroit has won 4 of their last 5 as favorites and New Orleans has covered 4 of their last 5 as underdogs. There is a 93 percent chance that the game is decided by one score, the question is whether that score is a touchdown, field goal, or safety? I like Detroit to win and cover in a game “over” the line.

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