NFL Picks November 15: Seahawks and Rams battle in NFC West

Entering the second half of the NFL season and teams are beginning to play for playoff positioning. There are several good matchups for this weekend, with the Seattle Seahawks and Los Angeles Rams highlighting the action.

Seattle Seahawks versus Los Angeles Rams

The Seahawks enter play with a 6-2 record and the Rams are at 5-3 in this NFC West matchup. The Rams are 1.75 to 2.10 favorites with a line at -2.5 and an over/under of 55.5. The team split the two meeting last season. Seattle has a +29 to +21 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average” versus “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Totals Predictor indicates that both teams are trending over the line, so betting “over” is a smart play. Both teams are showing moderate stability on the Team Volatility Oscillator. In the game of the day, look for Seattle to find a way to win late, probably by a field goal.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers versus Carolina Panthers

The Buccaneers are coming off a loss and are 6-3 on the season. Carolina has lost their last four and are 3-6, last in the NFC South. The Buccaneers are 1.41 to 2.975 favorites with the line at -6.5 and the over/under of 50.5 Tampa Bay has a +27 to +9 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average” versus “ice cold down” on the Team Strength Oscillator.  Best to avoid betting the over/under since the teams are trending on opposite sites of the line.  The Buccaneers have been more consistently performing according to their favorite/underdog status. They won the first meeting over the Panthers this season by the score of 31-17. Expect more of the same in this one.

Los Angeles Chargers versus Miami Dolphins

Miami is on a four-game winning streak and are 5-3 on the season. On the flip side, the Chargers have lost their last two and are last in the AFC west at 2-6. Miami is a 1.72 to 2.130 favorite with a line of -2.5 and over/under of 48.5  Miami has a +18 to +5 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “burning hot” versus “dead” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The over/under is best avoided in this contest according to the trends on the Totals Predictor.  The Chargers have been a little more consistent according to their favorite/underdog status. This looks like a nearly sure bet on the Dolphins. They will win and cover.

Buffalo Bills versus Arizona Cardinals

One of the surprise teams in the NFL, the Buffalo Bills are 7-2 so far this season. They take on the 5-3 Cardinals, who are second in the AFC West.  Arizona is a 1.75 to 2.10 favorite with a line of -1.5 and over/under of 56.5. The Bills have a +28 to +25 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator and “burning hot” versus “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Totals Predictor shows the teams trending on opposite sides of the over/under line indicating best to avoid that bet. Note that the Cardinals have been very inconsistently performing according to their favorite/underdog status. I am looking at the Bills to cover and win outright in a slight road upset.

Baltimore Ravens versus New England Patriots

The Ravens come in at 6-2 and two games behind the Steelers in the AFC North. The Patriots are 3-5 and third in the AFC East. Baltimore is a 1.3 to 3.66 favorite with a line of -7.5 and an over/under of 43.5. Despite a rating of only +19 on the Power Ranking Indicator, the Ravens have a substantial edge of the Patriots, who are at +5.  The Ravens are “average up” on the Team Strength Oscillator versus “dead up”.  Both teams have been consistent, coming in at +3 on the Team Volatility Oscillator. Expect a lower scoring game, so betting “under” is a smart play. The Ravens are too strong overall and I expect a win and cover.

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