NFL Picks: Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5)
I’m a little nervous about the line movement here. 82% of the public money is coming in on the Steelers, but Vegas took this down from 3 to 2.5. That suggests a trap where smart money is coming in on the Chiefs. Dangerous game.
That said, the Steelers are one of the hottest teams in football down the stretch, particularly at home. They can run the ball just as effectively as the Chiefs, and the difference here is Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers have the much better passing attack, and in Pittsburgh I don’t expect the Chiefs to be able to win this one going 10/12 for 108 yards passing.
Line movement is dangerous, but the Steelers at home only laying a field goal, I think Pittsburgh is the play.
Steelers 27 – Chiefs 17
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