NCAA March Madness Picks: North Dakota State Vs Oklahoma
If you followed us this year in the VIP Club, you know that my biggest win of my professional gambling career came when Oklahoma upset Alabama in the Sugar Bowl. Boomer Sooner, but my loyalties don’t cross sports. Oklahoma basketball means nothing to the Sooner faithful, and as such, it means nothing to me as a budding OU fan.
We already had our first big upset, as Ohio State fell to the much smaller, in-state “rival” Dayton. Epic as that game was, I’m still hunting for upsets. We’re looking for value in the first round, and with so many sharp spreads I really don’t see much left on the board.
Oklahoma has a few dynamic players, but they were a surprise this year as they flirted with top 25 rankings all year. They have a transfer that carries this team inside, but they’re very beatable. They’re not used to the pressure of being favorites, and I’m not impressed. I think they very well might fall.
The computer has a weak signal here, but it leans to the upset as well. There’s no safety here in the Oklahoma pick, so at the very least we’re advocating not hitting the Sooners here. With a 52% chance of keeping it within the 3.5 points, the underdog has value here with a 46% chance of the upset. This could be a sneaky game between a relatively unknown team and a big-name football school that will garner public money from nonsense gamblers.
Why not? I’m looking for NDSU to take out Oklahoma here. Maybe they don’t pull it off, but there’s value and there’s some fear in chasing the big-name school here. Remember, the last time the Sooners were relevant in basketball was 2002… or 1988…
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