NBA Picks: Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors

NBA Picks: Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors

This is a tricky game, but it’s going to be one of my favorite to watch this year. Two of the more exciting teams in basketball face off. The Heat are tired, banged up, on a road trip out west, and playing mediocre basketball. Still, I think they win.

Whenever I’m given the opportunity to choose between consistency and volatility, I think the odds, especially at underdog lines like this, give a ton of value to the consistent team. Miami is tired, but after watching Lebron James take over the game last night and deliver us a great win, I don’t see how I can possibly bet against him.

The computer sees this as a coin flip, and I agree. The Warriors are a lights out shooting team that is either hot or cold. Depending on how they shoot tonight, they’ll decide this game… but we know what to expect from the Heat and I expect them to be competitive here and possibly steal one on the road.

VERY low confidence.

Heat 99 – Warriors 94

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