With a little less than a third of the baseball season remaining, the divisional and wild card races are heating up. Here’s some of the more interesting match ups for the weekend of August 10-12. Note that all information is for games played through August 7.
Washington Nationals versus Chicago Cubs
Washington looks to maintain within striking distance in the NL East, while the Cubs hold a small lead over the Brewers in the NL Central. Chicago holds a +21 to +16 advantage over the Nationals on the Power Ranking Indicator and both clubs are 6-4 over their last ten games. Washington is the fifth most unstable team in the league according to the Team Volatility Oscillator, so be wary on placing bets for or against Washington strictly on their favorite/underdog status. Jeremy Hellickson, Tanner Roark and Max Scherzer are scheduled to go against Kyle Hendricks, Jon Lester and Cole Hamels. The Cubs hold the edge on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator for Friday and Saturday. Both Scherzer and Hamels have been excellent bets, but Scherzer has a +2422 to +1198 advantage. This should be an entertaining series, with the Cubs pulling it out, two games to one.
Milwaukee Brewers versus Atlanta Braves
Both teams are second in their respective divisions. Evenly matched, the Brewers hold a slight +25 to +22 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator, while both teams are “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Another factor to consider is that both clubs are among the ten most unstable teams according to the Team Volatility Oscillator. Milwaukee is scheduled to send Freddy Peralta, Wade Miley and Chase Anderson to the mound versus Kevin Gausman, Julio Teheran and Sean Newcomb. Only Peralta (+383) and Teheran (+277) are in the green on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Altanta is five-over .500 at home and the Brewers are a solid 30-28 on the road. Neither team will walk away with a sweep. The edge goes to Atlanta for a two-to-win series win.
Seattle Mariners versus Houston Astros
Houston has taken control of the AL West, while the Mariners have dipped to 7.5 games back. This shift is evident on the oscillators, as the Astros have a +27 to +16 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “burning hot” versus “dead up” status. Houston is also the third most stable team in the league, making them a smart pick as the favorites this weekend. Mike Leake, Wade LeBlanc and Felix Hernandez are the scheduled starters for the Mariners. The Astros are undecided for Friday, but have Gerrit Cole and Charlie Morton slated for Saturday and Sunday. Cole has been the best bet (+772) out of all the starters this weekend. Houston will continue it’s winning ways this weekend, increasing their lead in the division.
Los Angeles Dodgers versus Colorado Rockies
Although in first place in the NL West, the Dodgers are just 5-5 over their last ten, contributing to their “ice cold down” status on the Team Strength Oscillator. Colorado has not been playing great either of late, as their “ice cold up” status indicates. The Dodgers hold the narrowest +16 to +15 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. One must try to avoid betting strictly on favorite/underdog status since both teams are among the ten most unstable teams in the league. Kenta Maeda, Walker Buehler and Rich Hill are scheduled for the Dodgers. The Rockies plan to counter with Jon Gray, Kyle Freeland and Chad Bettis. Freeland and Bettis have been excellent bets in terms of pitcher profit, while only Rich Hill has been a moderately good bet for the Dodgers. Colorado will take two at home this weekend.
Philadelphia Phillies versus San Diego Padres
Philadelphia is holding on to a slim lead in the NL East, while the Padres are just looking to improve over the final seven weeks of the season. The Phillies hold a +27 to +2 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “burning hot” versus “dead” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Padres are the sixth most stable team in the league, making them a good bet when favorites and poor bet as underdogs. The Phillies intend to sent Zach Eflin, Aaron Nola and Jake Arrieta to the mound. All have been very solid bets according to the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. The Padres are undecided for Saturday and schedule to send Joey Lucchesi to the mound Friday and Clayton Richard on Sunday. The Phillies are under .500 on the road and appear to have more difficulty beating the poor teams than the good teams. For that reason, the Phillies will not come away with a sweep. However, as clearly the better team, a two-to-one series victory seems almost certain.
Cleveland Indians versus Chicago White Sox
The Indians hold a commanding nine-game lead over the Twins in the NL Central. The White Sox have been playing better, going 5-5 over their last ten, but are still 41-72 for the season. Not surprisingly, the Indians have a huge +25 to +8 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator, while both teams are “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Shane Bieber, Trevor Bauer and Carlos Carrasco are scheduled to pitch for the Indians this weekend, while the White Sox plan to send Carlos Rodon, James Shields and Dylan Covey to the mound. Only Cover (-35) is in the red on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator, however the Indians have the advantage in terms of pitcher profit on Friday and Saturday. Cleveland is much too strong for the White Sox to overcome, but Chicago should be able to win one to avoid a sweep.
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