MLB Picks: New York Mets at San Diego Padres

MLB Picks: New York Mets at San Diego Padres

We’re riding the New York Mets heavy to start the year, but they haven’t let us down yet. The San Diego Padres have been a weak team in a weak division for a while, despite spending a good amount of money in free agency two seasons ago. Ultimately, you have one of the best teams in baseball playing really well and visiting an all around poor team. I think that’s a great time for a system progression.

The Mets have a big pitching edge here and will for the first two games. Yes, they might be a little bit travel weary after going all the way across the country, but I think superior talent will shine through here. The New York Mets are on a roll, and it’s hard to imagine them losing that momentum to the lowly San Diego Padres.

The computer agrees, with a confident 67% prediction on a 7-2 victory from the Mets. They see five stars of value in a sharp line, and the algorithm gives the Mets a 60% chance of winning straight up. While the parameters aren’t necessarily 100% aligned, I think there is enough strength in this signal to support a prediction that the New York Mets will win here. If not tonight, I like them to win tomorrow too. As such, we’re on a progression for this one.

New York Mets 6 – San Diego Padres 3Screen Shot 2016-05-05 at 7.34.28 PM

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