The MLB season is nearly a quarter of the way complete, and surprises keep surfacing throughout the league. There is a full schedule for May 11 with many top teams battling. The key game is a clash between two first-place teams in the NL as the Mets host the Cubs.
Chicago Cubs versus New York Mets
The Cubs enter play first in the NL Central, and the Mets sit on top of the NL East. Chicago is “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator after losing three of the last four, while the Mets are “average”, going 3-3 over the last six games. The Mets are +17 to +7 on the Power Ranks Indicator and have a 13-3 home record versus 12-7 on the road for the Cubs. The teams are trending in games on opposite sides of the “over/under” line, and the teams are nearly identical at +59 to +58 in scoring differential. Matthew Boyd is scheduled to pitch for the Cubs versus Griffin Canning for the Mets. Boyd is 3-2 with a 2.75 ERA and but is a poor bet at -$359 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Canning is 5-1 and with a 2.50 ERA and an excellent bet at +$454. The Mets are more consistent regarding their favorite/underdog status. I like the Mets in a game “under” the line.
Cincinnati Reds versus Houston Astros
These two teams are in separate leagues but are mirror images. Both are third in their division, sit at .500 for the season, and are “ice cold down” on the Team Strength Oscillator after going 2-4 over the last six. Houston is 11-7 at home and Cincinnati is 10-9 on the road. The Reds have a scoring differential edge of +30 to +16, but the Astros have a narrow edge of +18 to +16 on the Power Ranks Indicator. The scheduled pitching matchup is Andrew Abbott for the Reds versus Ronel Blanco for the Astros. Abbott is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA, while Blanco is 2-3 with a 4.98 ERA, but his home ERA is over a run lower at 3.74. Both pitchers are solid bets according to the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. The teams are trending in games on opposite sides of the line, so I will pass on that but I like the Astros at home to win.
Los Angeles Dodgers versus Arizona Diamondbacks
In this NL West battle, the Dodgers sit in first place while the Diamondbacks are six games out at 19-18. Los Angeles is “average up” versus “ice cold down” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +15 to +6 on the Power Ranks Indicator. The teams are trending on opposite sides of the “over/under” line, and the score prediction is 7-4 in favor of the Dodgers with 62 percent confidence. The Dodgers are 10-9 on the road, and the Diamondbacks are a game under .500 at home at 9-10. The Dodgers have a decided edge in scoring differential at +53 to +3 and have been much more stable at +15 to -1 on the Team Volatility Oscillator. I like the Dodgers in a road win by two runs, but I pass on the over/under bet.
Philadelphia Phillies versus Cleveland Guardians
The Phillies enter the series second in the NL East, and the Guardians are second in the AL Central. Both teams are “burning hot” after going 4-2 over the last six games. The teams are trending in games “over” the line with a score prediction of 3-1 in favor of the Phillies with 47 percent confidence. Despite being seven games over .500, the Guardians are -14 in scoring differential compared to +19 for the Phillies. Cleveland is 11-5 at home, and the Phillies are 8-9 on the road. The Phillies are more stable, as indicated by +14 to +5 on the Team Volatility Oscillator. Cleveland won two of three against the Phillies each of the last two years. I like the trend to reverse and have the Phillies in a game “over” the line.
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