MLB Picks July 8: Detroit hosts Cleveland in featured game

A week remains before the All-Star break and teams look for momentum for a second-half playoff run.  We will look at four of the seven games scheduled for July 8 with the Tigers at home against the Guardians in the headlined matchup.

Cleveland Guardians versus Detroit Tigers

In this AL Central battle, the Guardians hold a six-game lead over the Twins and the Tigers are 15 games off the pace. Both teams are 3-3 over the last six games. Detroit is “average” versus “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +21 to +9 on the Power Ranks Indicator.  The teams have been involved in games “over” the line in 11 of the last 12 and the score prediction is 6-5 in favor of Detroit with 48 percent confidence. Cleveland won two of the first three games between the teams this season while at home. Gavin Williams is scheduled to pitch for Cleveland. He enters the game with a record of 0-1 and an ERA of 11.25.  Detroit is 19-22 at home and Cleveland is 26-21 on the road. I like Detroit at home in this one by a single run in a game “over” the line.

New York Mets versus Pittsburgh Pirates

After a recent hot stretch, the Mets have lost three straight and “ice cold down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Pirates are 3-3 and “average” status over the last six. The teams are trending in games “over” the line with a score prediction of 7-2 in favor of Pittsburgh with 70 percent confidence. The Mets have won three of four games played between the teams this season. Christian Scott is scheduled to pitch for the Mets versus Mitch Keller for the Pirates. Scott is 0-2 with a 4.32 ERA and Keller is 9-5 with a 3.48 ERA. Both pitchers are negative and are poor bets on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. The Mets are 21-19 on the road, which is better than the Pirates’ 21-22 record at home. I like the Pirates at home behind Keller, but pass on the “over/under” bet.

Minnesota Twins versus Chicago White Sox

In this AL Central clash, the White Sox are last in the division and league and the Twins are second, six games behind the Guardians. Both teams are “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator and Minnesota has a +12 to +7 edge on the Power Ranks Indicator. The team have been involved in games “over” the line in all but one of the last 12 games. The score prediction is 6-2 in favor of Minnesota with 67 percent confidence. Minnesota has won all seven games between the teams this season. Chicago is one of the most stable teams in the league at +40 on the Team Volatility Oscillator. Minnesota has a +44 to -160 scoring differential edge. I like the Twins to continue their dominance over Chicago in a game “over” the line.

Atlanta Braves versus Arizona Diamondbacks

Atlanta is a distant 10 games behind the Phillies in the NL East and Arizona is two games under .500 and fourth in the NL West. Arizona is 4-2 over the last six games and “average” versus 2-4 and “ice cold down” for Atlanta over the same stretch. The teams are trending in games on opposite sides of the line, which will make me pass on the  “over/under” bet. Arizona is +13 to +6 on the Power Ranks Indicator but Atlanta is +49 to -2 in scoring differential.  The Diamondbacks are a game over .500 at home and the Braves are two games south of .500 on the road. Note that both teams are moderately consistent regarding their favorite/underdog status. I like the Braves on the road to get back on track in a game decided by three runs or less.

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