MLB Picks July 11: Yankees and Astros Battle to Close First Half

The MLB is nearing the All-Star break and teams want to enter on a high note. There is a full slate of games for July 11 with the Yankees and Astros headlining the action.

New York Yankees versus Houston Astros

The Yankees enter 4th in the AL East and the Astros are on top in the AL West. Both teams are “burning hot” and on winning streaks and the Astros have a +27 to +25 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator. The Totals Predictor shows the teams involved in high scoring games of late, making “over” a great bet. The scores predictor has the Astros winning by a score of 9-1 with 52 percent confidence. I don’t think the margin of victory will be as great, but the Astros will win and cover.

Atlanta Braves versus Miami Marlins

In this NL East battle, the 3rd place Braves face the last-place Marlins. Both teams are 6-4 over their last ten games. The Marlins are on a bit of a roll, winning their last three and have a +29 to +7 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Ian Anderson is scheduled to pitch for the Braves and Pablo Lopez will get the ball for the Marlins. Anderson is 5-4 with a 3.27 ERA and -11 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator, while Lopez is 4-5 with a 2.94 ERA and -858 dollars. The Totals Predictor shows that betting “under” is a smart play and the Scores Predictor gives the Marlins a 4-0 win, but only 40 percent confidence. The Marlins will win this game in a low-scoring battle.

Philadelphia Phillies versus Boston Red Sox

The Phillies head to Boston sitting 4th in the NL East and the Red Sox are leading the way in the AL East. Philadelphia has a +23 to +12 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average” versus “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Aaron Nola is scheduled to pitch for the Phillies versus former Phillies’ hurler Nick Pivetta. Nola is 6-5 with a 4.53 ERA and -111 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator and Pivetta is 7-3 with a 4.09 ERA and +686 dollars. The Totals Predictor shows the teams trending on opposite sides of the line, so it’s best to avoid the “over/under” bet. The Scores Predictor gives the Red Sox an 8-5 win with 45 percent confidence. Boston should win the game and cover, but expect a lower scoring game than 13 total runs.

Cincinnati Reds versus Milwaukee Brewers

In this NL West battle, the 1st place Brewers host the 2nd place Reds. Both teams have won seven of their last ten games. The Reds have a +22 to +8 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Luis Castillo is set to pitch for the Reds and Brandon Woodruff will get the ball for the Brewers. Castillo is 3-10 with a 4.81 ERA and a poor bet at -871 dollars. Woodruff is 7-4 with a 2.10 ERA and +452 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. The Scores Predictor gives the Reds an 8-7 win with 66 percent confidence. I go with the Reds to win in a road upset and take the “over”.

St. Louis Cardinals versus Chicago Cubs

Another NL Central battle has the 4th place Cardinals on the road to face the 3rd place Cubs. The Cardinals have a +28 to +3 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average down” versus “dead up” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Cubs just broke a double-digit losing streak and look to get back on track against Adam Wainwright, who is 7-5 with a 3.58 ERA. The Cubs have not yet named their starter. The Cardinals are predicted to win by a 6-5 score with 51 percent confidence, according to the Scores Predictor. I would check the wind conditions in Chicago prior to the game before betting the “over/under”. As for the outcome, I like the Cardinals on the road.

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