One of the commonly overlooked Zcode trends is 3 and 3.5 Star Home Winners in Burning Hot status
Lets talk about it to see it’s advantages over the traditional 4-5 Star Home Winner Trend
1. Games where the favorite is getting only 3 or 3.5 stars are commonly overlooked. They are less obvious (Rangers vs Capitals playing for 3.5 stars comparing to Detroit playing Columbus Blue Jacktes for 5 stars) which meas the odds are usually better.
2. If you limit the status to Burning Hot only the win rate of this trend is amazing. Just see the record: 38 Wins 14 Loss since November 2011. 73%!
So far after 2 weeks going into Mad February where everything else usually falls apart due to the fatigue factor and lack of motivation from the teams (playoff is still far), this trend stands and performs well. +$350 since All Star Break.
Download performance of this trend since November 2011:
zcodesystem.com/zcodesystem_com_3and35homewinnersburninghot.pdf
So what’s happening with NHL in Mad February?
Why most cappers are losing money every year in February on NHL. We decided to analyze teams performance and win rate based on bookie odds since 2008 without any zcode filtering at all. (to proof that the significant drop in win rate has nothing to do with zcode or any other system you follow).
See what we found:
The chart shows a signifcant drop in win rate for well-rested home favorites in February. Of course for tired teams it’s even worse.
Possible reasons:
1. Lack of motivation (playoff is still far)
2. Fatigue factor plays major role. After months and months of daily travels teams are tired if not physically but mentally.
3. Teams that are already in playoff mix have nothing to fight for while outsiders are surgingand mess the results.
Again, this drop has nothing to do with zcode or any other system or capper you follow. It’s just like NHL works. Same like betting in early October, the results of February games are usually messy and unpredictable. My goal here is to warn you about it and educate about the reasons it happens every year.
The good news? Everything gets back to normal in early March every year when the motivation for the final races for playoff kicks in again!
P.S. Upgrade to Zcode VIP Club and Unlock All Winning Picks. Instant Access.
