CONTRARIAN INVESTING

In the financial world, Contrarian Investing is an investment strategy characterized by buying and selling in contrast to the prevailing sentiment at the time. This is also a basic investment strategy for sports betting. Fading the public, or betting against the majority, is a proven strategy to be profitable long term in every sport.

Knowing the public side of every game is important but that by itself will not tell the entire story. Monitoring line movement throughout the day and recognizing the books reaction to the market can offer great opportunities for profit.

We can look at  ... 

CLEVELAND vs GOLDEN STATE – NBA Finals

For the third straight year, Cleveland and Golden State will meet in the Finals after the Warriors cruised through the playoffs undefeated and the Cavs lost just once. After splitting the previous Finals matchups, we should see two teams looking to make a statement. Each team won on their home court to split the regular season series but both games were before the All Star break.

Obviously, LeBron James is the focal point for Cleveland. For the Cavs to have a shot at the upset, he will need to dominate on both ends. As good as Kyrie  ... 

ZCODE CASH CHAMPIONSHIP – MLB KING 2017 [LIVE!] – ROUND 6 RECAP

ROUND 6 RECAP – INCREDIBLE Nabil(101152***)WINS ROUND AND WINS ROUND 6 AND PRIZE FOR STAGE 2!!!

Fantastic play Nabil(101152***)! Amazing! It was close in the stage 2 between Nabil(101152***) and Vincent(olanrewajuv), but in the end current leader outscored Vincent(olanrewajuv) by $111 and won second stage and already has guaranteed prize in the contest. Well played guys! Keep it going!

Very good contest pace in last 3 rounds found finally also Gergely(geri.rulett) who extended his winning streak to 7 wins and currently has longest live winning streak. He needs one more win to beat  ... 

IMPLIED ODDS AND LINE SHOPPING

One of the many great tools on ZCode is the Odds Converter. Using this tool is a fantastic way to find value in a money line and be able to exploit lines that shade to a public-heavy side.

For example, the San Francisco Giants are playing at the Chicago Cubs. Most books have the Cubs a -191 favorite while the Giants are +171 underdogs. The first step we want to do is to convert those odds to break-even percentages:

Using the odds converter, you can see:

 ... 

CLEVELAND vs BOSTON – Eastern Conference Finals

The Boston Celtics finally closed out Washington in 7 games to set up this Conference Finals match-up. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers haven’t played in 9 days. Cleveland won the regular season series 3-1 although Boston has home court advantage in this series, having the better overall regular season record.

For Cleveland, these playoffs have been the LeBron James show. He has averaged 34 points, 9 rebounds and 7.1 assists while shooting 55.7% from the floor and 46.8% from three. He has been dominant and the Celtics will struggle to find an answer for him defensively.

The Cavs will  ... 

SAN ANTONIO vs GOLDEN STATE – Western Conference Finals

It has been a long time coming for this match-up in the playoffs. Over the last four seasons, Golden State and San Antonio have the two best records in the league and won 2 out of the 3 NBA championships. But they never met in the playoffs during that span until now.

The big question is whether or not Kawhi Leonard is 100%. He most likely will play Game 1 but it is unknown how healthy he is. Obviously, with Tony Parker already out for the season, losing Kawhi for any amount of time in this series would  ... 

BOTTOM FISHING

Bottom fishing in the financial markets is defined as investing in stocks that are cheap because of a problem with the company or the economy. A bottom-fishing investor speculates that the stock’s depressed price is temporary, will recover and make for a profitable investment.

Obviously, sports investing can incorporate the same principle. A great way to invest in MLB is to look at teams who made the playoffs the previous year and/or had high hopes for this season but have started poorly and are currently under .500. While they might not recover to compete for a playoff  ... 

UTAH VS GOLDEN STATE – Western Conference Semifinals

A dramatic contrast in styles highlights the 2nd round matchup between Utah and Golden State. Utah has a quick turnaround after closing out the Clippers on the road in a game 7 while Golden State dominated Portland in a sweep.

Golden State has won 19 of their last 20 games – the lone loss being to Utah at the Oracle. But it’s hard to look at the regular season in this case. The Warriors won the season series 2-1 but key players were missing for one or both teams in every game.

The biggest and most obvious  ... 

WASHINGTON VS BOSTON – Eastern Conference Semifinals

Two teams with a history of bad blood will go at it in the 2nd round. Led by John Wall, the Wizards defeated Atlanta in the 1st round while Boston and Isaiah Thomas overcame major off-court adversity to cruise past Chicago. Wall and Thomas will be the focus as both dynamic guards run the show for their respective teams.

These two teams split in the regular season, each winning two games on their home court. The key to Boston’s success will be their ability to limit the Wizards fast break points. In their two regular season wins against  ... 

TORONTO VS CLEVELAND – Eastern Conference Semifinals

After meeting in the conference finals last season, these two teams get the rematch in the 2nd round this year. Toronto is coming off a tough series win over Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks while the Cavs breezed past Indiana.

Cleveland won the regular season series 3-1 although not much can be taken from that. The first three games were all before Christmas and in the lone Toronto win, Cleveland’s Big Three didn’t play.

It will be interesting to see if the Raptors continue their newfound small-ball movement in this series. After the 3rd game of the Milwaukee  ... 

HOUSTON VS SAN ANTONIO – Western Conference Semifinals

An all Texas matchup in what should be a very competitive second round series begins on Monday. The Spurs won the regular season series 3-1 – winning twice at Houston – but no game was decided by more than 6 points and the average margin of victory was 3 points.

James Harden and Kawhi Leonard each headlined the offense for their respective teams and it should be more of the same. The one glaringly obvious takeaway from the regular season meetings was the Spurs ability to limit Houston’s three-point shooting. This will be the key to this  ... 

MLB Steam Chasing

The MLB season is a long grind because of the sheer number of games but that also creates opportunity for value if you have patience and understand line movements. One profitable way to find value is to follow steam moves on MLB money line plays. A steam move is defined as a sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the entire sports betting marketplace. For the most part, a steam move originates from respected sharp money.

Basically, steam chasing is a way to be on the side with sharp money and get that number at the cheapest/most  ... 

NBA 1st Round Playoff Preview

EASTERN CONFERENCE

(1) BOSTON vs. (8) CHICAGO

With Cleveland’s late season problems, the Celtics were able to grab the East’s number one seed. Chicago somehow managed to hold on to the 8 seed while dealing with injuries and drama. While the teams split the regular season, I just don’t see a scenario where Chicago can win this series. The Bulls are prone to long stretches of not scoring and a match-up against the defensive-minded Celtics will only magnify that. I expect an ugly, physical series with lots of missed shots, fouls and free throws. For the Bulls to  ... 

SUPERBOWL 51: All the Bets From Zcode

SUPERBOWL 51: All the Bets From Zcode If you read last week’s article then you know we’re leaning on the Falcons. If not, be sure to check it out. As more and more of the public money funnels in on the Patriots -3 (currently 66%) and Vegas has made no moves to adjust the line, we feel even more confident in our early prediction. It appears Vegas is taking a stake in Atlanta and so should you.

For the more standard bets and predictions, please refer to last week’s article. Below, I will describe some of my favorite picks for  ... 

Betting SUPERBOWL 51: Falcons vs. Patriots

Betting SUPERBOWL 51: Falcons vs. Patriots Here is Z-Code’s early prediction for this year’s superbowl winner.

Falcons vs. Patriots This is giong to be an epic game to watch. The Patriots have been the AFC favorite since week 1 and have played accordingly. The Falcons, a team that missed the playoffs for the last 3 years in a row, have finally come into their own under Dan Quinn. This will be one of the better super bowl games in recent history. Here’s why.

The Falcons are best suited to take down the New England Patriots. The Patriots have talented weapons  ...