NFL Predictions Week 1

The first week of the NFL season is always the most difficult to predict, as little is seen of starting teams during the preseason. There are methods to use, however, including point spreads, overall team trends, head-to-head match up, previous season’s performance and so on. Utilizing the Power Ranking Indicator, Team Strength Oscillator, Head-to-Head records from last season, among others, here is my breakdown for six games this week.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans

Jacksonville finished 3-13 last season, while Houston finished on top of the division at 9-7. The Texans come in as a 5.5 point favorite and won ...

NFL WEEK 1

The NFL season is finally here! Kansas City takes on New England Thursday September 7th to start things off and then there is a full slate of games over the weekend. The most heavily bet American sport presents many opportunities for us and I’m going to take a look at a few potential plays for week 1. Obviously, this is written on Tuesday (9/5) so always keep an eye on the changing lines and percentages.

The main strategy I want to implement is fading the public. Books will want to take advantage of the public ...

AFC EAST PREVIEW

With opening weekend (September 7th) right around the corner, now is the time to start digging deeper into expectations for each team. Today we will take a look at the AFC EAST.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

Last season: 14-2

BetOnline O/U wins: 12.5

New England has won the AFC East the last eight straight years and it doesn’t look like that will change in 2017. Losing Julian Edelman to a knee injury in the preseason is a big loss but the Patriots always find a way to make replacements work. It doesn’t hurt to have Tom Brady available for ...

AFC WEST PREVIEW

We’re heading into the 3rd week of preseason and with opening weekend (September 7th) right around the corner, now is the time to start digging deeper into expectations for each team. Today we will take a look at the AFC West.

OAKLAND RAIDERS

Last season: 12-4

BetOnline O/U wins: 9.5 ...

NFC NORTH PREVIEW

Opening weekend (September 7th) is right around the corner and with a few key injuries and suspensions already making headlines, now is the time to start digging deeper into expectations for each team. Today we will take a look at the NFC North.

GREEN BAY PACKERS

Last season: 10-6

BetOnline O/U wins: 10.5

As long as Aaron Rodgers is the Packers QB, it’s hard to consider any other team for the NFC North. Green Bay won the division for the 5th time in 6 years and it doesn’t look there is a team to challenge them this season. ...

NFC SOUTH PREVIEW

The first week of NFL preseason is in the books and opening weekend (September 7th) is right around the corner. With a few key injuries and suspensions already making headlines, now is the time to start digging deeper into expectations for each team. Today we will take a look at the NFC South.

ATLANTA FALCONS

Last season: 11-5

BetOnline O/U wins: 9.5

After a crushing loss in the Super Bowl, it’s easy to forget the Falcons had one of their best seasons ever in franchise history. The Falcons won the division for the first time since 2012, reached ...

NFC WEST PREVIEW

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Last season: 10-5-1

BetOnline O/U wins: 10.5

A typical Seahawks’ off season filled with drama has Seattle right where they want to be. Playing with a chip on their shoulder, ready to prove their doubters wrong. A playoff team last season, many still ...

NFC EAST PREVIEW

DALLAS COWBOYS

Last season: 13-3

BetOnline O/U wins: 9

2016 was a great regular season for the Cowboys as they cruised to a 13-3 record behind a pair of rookies in Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott. While Green Bay was able to knock them out ...

⚾ Your MLB picks for this weekend August 4 – 6

Baseball predictions August 4 – 6

Washington Nationals versus Chicago Cubs

Examining this battle between two first place teams, I take a look at overall team trends first. The Cubs and Nationals are nearly equal in terms of Power Ranking Indicator with the Cubs at +26 and the Nationals at +28. The Cubs have been on the increase lately, while the Nationals are holding steady. The MLB Team Strength Oscillator has a slight advantage for the Nationals at +2.92, while the Cubs are at +1.46. Being the favorite or underdog doesn’t mean much for the Nationals, who are ...

NFL MVP Futures: Tom Brady is the early favorite

The NFL preseason kicks off tonight with the Dallas Cowboys clashing with the Arizona Cardinals. It feels like a long time since Super Bowl 51 ended and the start of the 2017 preseason, but it has finally arrived. With it comes optimism for 32 teams vying for a Super Bowl ring. Only two will be good enough to play in the biggest NFL game of them all, however.

In our last NFL article, we looked at the futures for Super Bowl 52. Now we will look at the futures for NFL Most Valuable Player. Last year’s winner, ...

NFL 2017: Super Bowl 52 Futures Betting

The 2017 NFL preseason begins on August 4th, and the regular season kicks off just over a month later with the Super Bowl 51 champion New England Patriots hosting the Kansas City Chiefs. Although teams are currently in training camp, it is a great time for bettors to wager on this season’s NFL futures bets, including the Super Bowl 52 winner.

Sportsbooks all over the world have the odds for this season’s NFL futures, and punters can get great odds on their favorite teams before a ball is hiked in September. There are now less than 42 days ...

KNOW YOUR UMPIRE

While we should never place a wager based solely on the home plate umpire, knowing who is behind the plate can be an added filter when investing in MLB totals. Many umpires have tendencies that can be exploited given the right match up, weather and park.

In general, umpires with a tight strike zone are over-friendly while umps with large strike zones are beneficial to unders. MLB uses a 4 man umpiring crew for every series and usually the assignments aren’t announced until a few hours before the first game of a new series. After the first ...

MLB HOME RUN DERBY

With the field of eight set for Monday’s Home Run Derby, odds have been released and it’s worth taking a look to see if there are any opportunities for us. Here are the odds from BetOnline as of today (7/7):

Defending Champion Giancarlo Stanton is the favorite to defend his crown at home but the books peg Aaron Judge as a serious challenger to dethrone Stanton.

Here is the bracket: ...

REGRESSERS & IMPROVERS

Heading into the halfway point of the MLB season, a big storyline so far has been the number of homeruns and increased scoring. But some pitchers have somehow avoided the offensive barrage while others have been disproportionately hammered.

http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/starting-pitcher-era-siera-gaps-potential-era-regressers/" title="Fangraphs">Fangraphs has put together a list of pitchers that are primed for a regression and a list of pitchers that should improve during the 2nd half of the season. Understanding these stats can offer great potential for profit during the 2nd half of the MLB season.

Here are the potential ERA regressers whose ERA is significantly lower ...

USING THE ZCODE TOOL BOX

As we’ve seen, using the ZCode tools is a great way to maximize profits and set tighter filters for stronger plays. Today I want to incorporate a few tools for one game and try to single out one solid play.

The game we’ll be looking at is the Los Angeles Angels vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday 6/26. The first tool I want to use is the Line Value:

As you can see, the total over 9 has a 4 star ZCode value which is a relatively strong play. Now I want to get a better ...

ZCODE POWER RANKING INDICATOR

The Next ZCode tool I want to try out is the Power Ranking Indicator. As with any of the tools, using them as part of a group of filters can really help build profits. I’ll use two examples for tonight, one being fairly obvious and one that might be a little under the radar.

GAME #1:

New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Here is a screenshot of the Power Ranking Indicator: ...