Week 7 NFL DFS Recap- Player and Team Projections
Okay, this week was pretty good. We had some grand slams and some total busts, but mostly we picked the right players at the right prices. I’m going to start with my individual player analysis where every player who outperformed his value will be listed in bold. Those who were barely close to this margin or outperformed their value on one site but not the other are listed in italics.
QB:
Carson Palmer – 8200 / 6700 – 19.2 / 19.2
[Philip Rivers – 8000 / 6500 – 25 / 28
Blake Bortles – 7500 / 5400 13 / 13
Ryan Fitzpatrick – 7100 / 5200 – 20.7 / 21.7
RB:
Devonta Freeman 8700 / 7900 – 14 / 18
Todd Gurley 7400 / 5000 – 30.3 / 34.3
Arian Foster 8600 / 7500 26 / 28.5
Frank Gore 7100 / 4900 – 10 / 12.5
Chris Ivory 7800 / 5800 – 12.3 / 13.3
Lesean McCoy 7700 / 5500 – 11.4 / 13.4
Lamar Miller 6700 / 4600 – 40.1 / 41.6
Theo Riddick 5200 / 3400 – 6.3 / 7.8
Charles Sims 5400 / 3600 – 7.6 / 8.6
WR:
DeAndre Hopkins 9200 / 8600- 8 / 11
Brandon Marshall 8200 / 7800 – 8.7 / 10.7
TY Hilton 7700 / 6500 – 29/ 30
John Brown 6700 / 5500 – 14 / 16.5
Allen Robinson 7000 / 6400 – 18.8 / 21.8
Eric Decker 6200 / 5300 – 12.4 / 15.4
Willie Snead 6500 / 4300 – 4 / 5.5
Stefon Diggs 5800 / 4200 – 20.7 / 26.7
Michael Crabtree 5900 / 4300 – 15.3 / 18.3
Kamar Aiken 5600 / 4400 – 1.1 / 1.6
Malcom Floyd 5200 / 3600 – 1.2 / 1.7
TE:
Antonio Gates 5800 / 5000 – scratch didn’t play
Jason Witten – 10.3 / 13.3
Travis Kelce 6000 / 4900 – 9.8 / 12.3
Delanie Walker 5500 / 3900 – 9 / 12.5
Julius Thomas 5600 / 4500 – 0 / 0
DST
Arizona Cardinals 5100 / 3600 – 9
Atlanta Falcons 4700 / 3300 – 9
St. Louis Rams 4500 / 2400 – 25
Carolina Panthers 4800 / 3100 – 8
Lineups
As for the suggested lineups, it was a bittersweet win. As for our target numbers (111, and 125) we hit them by a nice margin in every lineup. However, this week was an uncharacteristically high scoring week and those target scores would not have been enough to win many matchups. The actual averages this week were 125 for fan duel and 165 for draftkings. This means on fan duel we went 3/3 and draftkings we went 1/3. If you were like me, you may have gotten lucky and gone 5/6 total but realistically we could have gone 4/6. Since we’re in this together, I’m going to call this a 4/6 week which isn’t a bad start. If you were betting 1 unit you are likely up 1 and if betting 2 you’re likely up 4 units. We had 2 units on each of our lineups and finished up 8 units on the week, but again, for purposes of this forum we beat the average 50/50 winning lineup score in four of six leagues and as such the forum starts the year up four units. I will be more clear about unit size per lineup in subsequent weeks, as I have been instructed to keep a running profit-loss sheet.
Here are the scores for the lineups I posted (winning lineups in bold):
Fanduel:
Carson Palmer -19.2
Devonta Freeman – 14
Todd Gurley – 30.3
TY Hilton – 29
Eric Decker – 12.4
John Brown – 14.5
Antonio Gates*sub Jason Witten – 10
Matt Prater – 7
Falcons DST – 9
145.4
Ryan Fitzpatrick – 20.7
Lesean Mccoy – 11.4
Todd Gurley – 30.3
Eric Decker – 12.4
DeAndre Hopkins – 8
John Brown – 14
Antonio Gates*sub Jason Witten – 10.3
Stephen Gostkowski – 13
Carolin Panthers DST – 8
128.6
Ryan Fitzpatrick – 20.7
Todd Gurley – 30.3
Chris Ivory – 12.3
DeAndre Hopkins – 8
Brandon Marshall – 8.7
Stefon Diggs – 20.7
Delanie Walker – 9
Matt Prater – 7
St. Louis Rams DST -25
141.7
Draftkings:
Carson Palmer -19.2
Chris Ivory – 13.3
Devonta Freeman – 18
Brandon Marshall – 10.7
John Brown -16.5
Willie Snead – 5.5
Delanie Walker – 12
Todd Gurley – 34
Carolina Panthers DST – 8
137.2
Ryan Fitzpatrick – 21.7
LeSean McCoy – 13.4
Chris Ivory – 13.3
Brandon Marshall – 10.7
DeAndre Hopkins – 11
Willie Snead – 5.5
Antonio Gates*sub Jason Witten – 13.3
Todd Gurley – 35.3
St. Louis Rams DST – 25
149.2
Carson Palmer -19.2
Lamar Miller – 41.6
Devonta Freeman – 18
DeAndre Hopkins – 11
John Brown -16.5
Willie Snead – 5.5
Antonio Gates*sub Jason Witten- 13.3
Todd Gurley – 34.3
St. Louis Rams DST – 25
185.4
Check with me tomorrow for QB, WR, and RBs that I love for week 8.
P.S. Upgrade to Zcode VIP Club and Unlock All Winning Picks. Instant Access.
