MLB Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers

MLB Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Progression

Well, we had a perfect night last night if not for the Pittsburgh Pirates choosing to completely fail to show up against a lowly Milwaukee Brewers team. I’m going to ride this progression out, despite that poor performance from a proven ace, and pick the Pittsburgh Pirates to come through before the series ends.

I recognize that the Milwaukee Brewers are not some pushover team right now. The lineup is healthy, possibly for the first time this year, and they’ve been getting serviceable pitching efforts at home. This can be a dangerous ...

MLB Picks Contest ($100 Prize): New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox

Monday, August 31st AND Tuesday, September 1st

The New York Yankees have squandered their AL East divisional lead, while the Boston Red Sox continue to float around the bottom. In addition to the improvements by the rest of the division, the Yankees are slumping a bit. Still, the Red Sox are awful. So, we’re going to get a little weird on this one, and make this a parlay.

Will the New York Yankees win BOTH games at Fenway to open this series?

As always, simply comment on this post to participate. The first participant to get to ten wins will get a FREE $100 prize. Good luck, and let’s keep winning together.

Six Wins ...

MLB Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates, LA Dodgers AB Doubler Progressions

MLB Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins, LA Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds I’m posting a little late today so I’m giving you guys two picks. Hopefully we can clear some more money. We’re killing it this month on the forum, and we’re up about six units (where average bets are around .5 units).

The LA Dodgers have the best pitcher in the league waiting in the wings, so I like an AB doubler against a mediocre Cincinnati Reds team. I think the Dodgers are simply the better team, so even on the road and with a little bit of a sharp line, I like to take a stab at this one knowing Zach Greinke is behind us in the next one and try to get ahead of the likely sharp odds that are coming.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been good to us this year. We got on them right as they started to turn their season around and they’ve been ...

MLB Picks: Mets Phillies

MLB Picks: New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies The computer isn’t very confident in this one and the line is kind of sharp, but for me when a pitcher of this caliber goes against a weak offense it’s too hard to stay away. With the New York Mets playing such good baseball right now, I think they will win tonight on the road.

The Philadelphia Phillies have been kind of streaky in the second half and certainly can be dangerous. In fact, with the pitching matchups shaking out the way they are this series looks like a dangerous progression. ...

MLB Picks: Mark D’s Baseball Predictions, 2015 Results Update

MLB Picks and Predictions: Mark D’s Baseball Forum After another string of wins in our MLB Picks forum, I wanted to post an update about our progress so far – but first, we’re on the Kansas City Royals here in a possible progression opportunity with Johnny Cueto kicking off the series tonight.

Now, back to the recap. We’ve got one progression miss all season and it was on the San Francisco Giants who slumped away our perfect season. Most of our AB doubler losses have been rain outs and dropped progressions (I think all of them actually), and our flat ...

MLB Picks: Cardinals at Reds

MLB Picks: St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds

We’re on to the B bet here after a disappointing loss where both offenses sputtered for the majority of the game. The St. Louis Cardinals are the better team here, and they’ve got a huge pitching edge as far as I see it. The Cincinnati Reds are one of baseball’s worst teams, and as long as the Cards make contact they’ll find a way to win here.

I was disappointed yesterday, but I still think the Cardinals will be able to handle business on this progression on the road. We see significant conflict in the algorithm, so we have to temper our expectations a little bit here.

The computer sees 3.5 stars of value in a heavy road favorite that another parameter suggests will lose 60% of the time. As such, our normal advice is to stay away. In the context of a progression, however, I say we trust the system and ...

MLB Picks Contest ($100 Prize): Royals Tigers

Ventura and Sanchez are both having miserable years with ERAs approaching five. Sanchez, as a veteran, has never been this poor. Ventura, as an upstart young pitcher, is supposed to be doing more than this. Ultimately, either pitcher can implode, which is why I like this as a contest game so much.

The Detroit Tigers are having a disappointing year and sold off their ace, but I still think it’s too early to count this lineup out of the playoff race. The Kansas City Royals got better at the deadline and seem poised for a return to the playoffs despite a confusing offseason where they failed to add the right pieces by most accounts. Still, an active deadline has them poised to make a run at another World Series.

So, who ya got? As always, simply comment on this post to participate.

Congratulations to our few winners who got a very sloppy match between the Dbacks and Brewers right. We ...

MLB Picks: Washington Nationals at New York Mets, Sunday Night Baseball

MLB Picks: Sunday Night Baseball – Nats Mets

Where did the New York Mets come from? The New York Yankees had a huge losing streak earlier in the year and surged to take a big lead in the AL East. The New York Mets did the same with an epic skid of their own in the NL East, and have surged back to be a game behind the Washington Nationals. At home, they can send a real message by sweeping their way into a tie for the division lead. What’s more, the Mets were buyers at the deadline for the first time since their owner lost all his money to a Wall Street scheme.

If you’re the Mets, you have to be excited right now. While I avoided this series because I don’t like to bet against the Washington Nationals, I saw pitching match ups that made me very nervous. The Mets looked poised to make a dent in the ...

MLB Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

MLB Picks: Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds It’s always nice when the night games haven’t started and you’re already up money on the day, but the early games today gave us a victory behind Max Scherzer and we’re playing with a little bit of house money. I think the Pittsburgh Pirates have a ton of value in an ABC progression against the Cincinnati Reds, and we’re on them here.

The Pirates have their three best pitchers lined up for this one and the Reds traded away the only guy in the rotation that was worth fearing. Pittsburgh is the better team ...

MLB Picks: Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins, AB Doubler

MLB Picks: Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins This game has a weak signal and some sharp line movement towards the road favorite, but I like it for a system play here. The Washington Nationals are the better team, and coming off a loss with Max Scherzer sitting in the wings, I like an AB doubler progression here.

The Washington Nationals are a strong team with versatility and depth up and down the lineup. What’s more, they have some of the best and most consistent pitching in baseball. With one of the best arms in the game coming in to ...