NHL Stanley Cup Game Five: Boston Bruins at Chicago Blackhawks
I’m going to outline my betting strategy through the series and what I’ll be doing going forward, but first, a little Z-Code analysis:
A mixed signal shows three-star underdog value on the Bruins, two-star odds to win favorites on the Blackhawks, and a 56/44 ML % odds to win on the Blackhawks. In short, this is a volatile game with a slight lean to the Hawks and conflicting parameters. The +1.5 line is 75% likely to hit, so the computer will continue to ride that bet. I won’t.
HEre is what I’ve done so far:
Game one: +1.5 W, ML L, Under L… down 1.1 units.
Game two: +1.5 W, ML W, Under W… up 3.3 units
Game three: +1.5 W, ML W, Under W… up 3 units
Game Four: +1.5 W, ML L, Under L… down 1.4 units
In a series where I said “Lets be conservative” we’re up 380 dollars, 3.8 units… This is now a 3 game series where the Hawks have home ice… that overtime stolen game on the road could prove pivotal.
I’m going easy here. I’m content with my +1.5 wins, but dont want to lose all our profits in one bad game. Game four was open and Im nervous about this strategy now.
Im not going with the under as I dont know how these teams will react. I suspect it to tighten up, but who really knows anymore.
1 unit, underdog ML, huge game… sit back, enjoy, and relax as our playoff profits have broken 16 units. A few wins and we hit 20. Im very happy with 15. Worst case scenario is 9 if props and series bets fail and Bruins lose consecutive games. Hell, if Bergeron gets MVP you can throw 10 more units of profit onto this. I’m having fun. I cant stress that enough. Up money, not gambling stupid, and having fun.
We wrap up another successful playoffs. That’s all I want.
Great series, but I’m not going to toss my money away in coin flip games. Le’ts make sure we come out on top here… still rooting for Bruins in six, Bruins series, Bergeron or Rask for MVP, and two more Bruins wins… but Im only putting one unit on all of them… 2 on the series line… thats it.
Bruins 3 – Blackhawks 2
Low confidence
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