The Texans have been a breakout candidate for years now. They’ve had a stout defense and have developed some strong offensive weapons in the past year. Finally, their offseason moves have been impeccable. First, they may have finally filled the devastating void in the quarterback position that has plagued their offense for the last 5 years by stealing Brock Osweiler from Denver. Osweiler is young and inexperienced but, in the eyes of many, outplayed Peyton Manning last year when he was given the chance. Osweiler is far from a sure-bet, but he gives a breath of hope to a team whose only franchise quarterbacks have been Matt Shaub and David Carr.

The Texans have also replaced Arian Foster with Miami’s Lamar Miller. Miller was productive despite being seriously underused in Miami. For a guy with over 1,000 total yards and 10 tds on 12.1 carries a game last year, it’ll be interesting to see what he does with the 20 carries a game he’ll likely get in Houston.

With a solid defense, and the potential for an explosive offense in the hands of Osweiler, Hopkins, and Miller, Houston is primed for a breakout season.

Andrew Luck will be back and hopefully healthier than ever. He will probably throw for 5,000 yards, but he will probably also miss the playoffs. Here’s why.

The Colts are considered a high powered offense because they have one of the best quarterbacks in Luck and one of the best receivers in T.Y. Hilton. But, their offense is also one dimensional. They have almost no running game. Frank Gore Averaged 3.7 yards a carry last year- at the age of 32- and he didn’t get any younger in the offseason. The odds of Frank Gore breaking a hip in week 3 of the preseason are better than him breaking 1000 yards rushing in 2016. With Robert Turbin as the number 2, expect rookie, Josh Ferguson, to climb his way to the top of the depth chart before week 10.

The Colts are not only a one-dimensional team offensively, they’re a 0-dimensional team defensively. They are virtually incapable of stopping opposing teams from scoring and therefore rely too heavily on their offense to book wins. So, Andrew Luck will throw 5,000 yards- 2,000 of which is in garbage time- and the Colts will win some games 37-36 etc, but their terrible defense will also keep them from winning some.

Jacksonville is going to be one of my favorite teams to watch in the NFL- but probably not this year. They are a young team that is loaded with talent but absolutely desolate in terms of experience. Blake Bortles is getting better and better- and it helps to have one of the best receiving duos in football. The Allens (Robinson and Hurns) are both insanely good and will be good for a long time. The Jaguars even had a solid RB core in the capable rookie, TJ Yeldon, and productive veteran, Denard Robinson. The decision to bring in Chris Ivory confuses me as it seems like he’s not needed. The problem with Jacksonville’s running game wasn’t its running backs- it was that Jacksonville was always playing from behind and was throwing the ball basically the entire second half in most games. Usage- due to game flow- not talent – is what plagues Jax’s backfield. With that said, Chris Ivory is an absolute monster and he’s not going to do anything to hurt Jacksonville’s offense.

If Jacksonville can find a way to get their running game going and figure out how they want to use Julius Thomas, they’re going to win some games. However, I’m not sure they’re going to do that. Plus they still need to figure out how to play defense if they ever want to be a contender in this division.

The Titans had a rotating backfield of three mediocre-to-garbage running backs last year. They sought to fix that with the addition of underused stud Demarco Murray. Since the Titans receiving corps is currently lead by Rishard Matthews, expect Demarco to immediately jump into a heavy workload both running and receiving the football.

However, a stud veteran RB and a blossoming 2nd year qb will not be enough to get this team going. Expect them to struggle on both sides of the ball and to lose a lot of games.