NFL Free Pick – Thursday Night Football Featured Game: Steelers Titans 10/11

NFL FEATURED GAME: THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL – PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT TENNESSEE TITANS 10/11/12

As usual when there’s only one game, this is a low confidence pick. Z Code puts the odds for the Steelers to cover the spread at a coin flip 50%

. That’s exactly what Vegas wants. However, there is value on the moneyline here.

A near 70% moneyline favorite, the Pittsburgh Steelers are the far superior team in this matchup. Z Code recommends the moneyline here, and also likes the spread because of how cold the Titans have been. Z Code recognizes the spread is a coin flip wager, and has extremely low confidence in a spread bet.

The Titans have been inept this year. They rank in the bottom third in offense and defense, and are struggling. Chris Johnson headlines their struggles. The line isn’t opening holes for the running game, their home run back cannot hit the line hard, and their passing game has struggled as a result of their one-dimensional offense. Against a Steelers defense that has been extremely consistent despite injuries, it’s hard to expect a decent performance out of Tennessee.

Additionally, the Steelers are one of the best-coached teams in football. They’ll be ready to go and will exploit a weak Titans defense.

The spread makes us a little nervous, but the moneyline gets 3 stars.

Steelers ML, medium confidence
Steelers spread, very low confidence (fun bet if anything)

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