The baseball season is flying by with nearly 40 percent of the MLB regular season schedule complete. There is a National League-heavy schedule for Monday, June 9, with 11 of the 18 teams playing from the National League. We will break down four of the games, with the Padres hosting the Dodgers in the featured game.
Chicago Cubs versus Philadelphia Phillies
The Cubs enter Philadelphia with the best record in the National League, while the Phillies are second in the National League East. Chicago is “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator after going 4-2 over the last six, and the Phillies are “dead” after a recent 1-5 stretch. Chicago is +19 to 0 on the Power Ranks Indicator and has the same road record (19-12) as Philadelphia’s home record. The teams are trending in games on opposite sides of the “over/under” line with a score prediction of 10-2 in favor of the Cubs with 70 percent confidence. Chicago has the top scoring differential in the league at +106 versus +18 for the Phillies. The Cubs lost two of three to the Phillies at home at the end of April. The Cubs are among the most stable teams in MLB, coming in at +23 on the Team Volatility Oscillator. If both teams were playing to their capabilities, I could take the Phillies at home, but they are struggling so I like the Cubs by a couple of runs, but pass on the over/under bet.
Atlanta Braves versus Milwaukee Brewers
Here’s a matchup with two teams heading in the opposite direction. The Braves are fourth in the NL East, 2-8 over the last ten games, and “dead” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Brewers are third in the NL Central, 9-1 over the last ten games, and in “burning hot” status. Atlanta’s biggest issue is winning on the road, posting a poor record of 10-20 for the season, while the Brewers are 18-10 at home. The teams are trending in games “under” the line, and Milwaukee has a slight edge of +25 to +6 in scoring differential. The Brewers won five of the seven games between the teams last season. Milwaukee is +15 to +4 on the Team Volatility Oscillator. The combination of recent trends and the Braves’ poor road record makes this an easy pick for the Brewers in a game “over” the line.
Los Angeles Dodgers versus San Diego Padres
The top two teams in the NL West face off, with the Dodgers holding a two-game lead over the Padres. Both teams are 6-4 over the last ten with the Padres “average” versus “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Dodgers are +18 to +13 on the Power Ranks Indicator and have a scoring differential edge of +76 to +16. The Padres have a decided edge in home versus road record at 20-10 compared to 15-14 for the Dodgers. Both teams are +11 on the Team Volatility Oscillator with similar trends throughout the season. The teams have been involved in games equally over and under over the last 12. The score prediction is 6-3 in favor of the Padres, but with a lower level of confidence at 41 percent. I favor the Padres due to them playing at home and pick them to win by at most two runs in a game “under” the line.
Tampa Bay Rays versus Boston Red Sox
In this AL East clash, the Red Sox host the Rays. Tampa Bay is second in the division and 12-10 on the road, while Boston is fourth and 17-16 at home. The Rays are “burning hot” versus “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +27 to +10 on the Power Ranks Indicator. The teams have been involved in games “under” the line in eight of the last 12 combined, and the score prediction is 6-5 in favor of the Rays with 65 percent confidence. Tampa Bay has a scoring differential edge of +47 to +13 and put up 16 in their lone win out of three at home against the Red Sox in mid-April. Take note that Boston is -1 on the Team Volatility Oscillator, indicating they are not consistently performing regarding their favorite/underdog status. I like the Rays at home but pass on the “over/under” bet.
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