Anti public bet “by the book” case study

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (NFL) (14November).

All these discussions were posted BEFORE the game in VIP comments

Spread was Browns-3 despite their “dead state” (one win in the last 5 games) and Steelers going red hot (5 wins out of 6).

Question was:
Why 77% of ML bets on pittsburgh but line move I favor of Cleveland ?

Based only on this i think brows will win and cover easily

Because there is almost 80% on underdog odds and they became even better. This make no sense. If people put so much money on the dog, then the bookies would need to move the line to balance it out but they are sure that all those bets will lose.

With almost 80% of people on underdog the line is becoming better and better for PITT.. 2.4 now. It’s almost looking like selling tickets to the Titanic in the “Vegas Ice Berg” bookie

Game Result: Pittsburgh Steelers 7 : Cleveland Browns 21

As expected Brows not only won but covered easily. Under hit as well!

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NFL2 big wins BIG WINS eduwon3

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28 thoughts on “Anti public bet “by the book” case study

  1. I use also line reversals tool from zcode a lot.. just find teams with tons of public percentage and bet opposite runline or puckline!! works like magic!!

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