As we know, the betting public prefers favorites and overs. While betting the total doesn’t get anywhere near the tickets that the spread bets do, there is value to be found in targeting unders.

Through Week 5 of the 2017 NCAAF season, unders have gone 186-147 (56%). We started off last week going 2-1 on our O/Us so let’s take a look at 3 games with potential under plays for us this week.

GEORGIA @ VANDERBILT

Using the ZCode Line Reversals Tool, we can see where the early bets have been going.  ... 

Sweep! Another 3-0 ATS in Week 4 which improves our YTD to 10-2. Let’s see if we can keep it going with a few potential plays for Week 5. The main strategy I want to implement is fading the public. Books are always looking to exploit public perception so hopefully we can find a few winners by fading the public in a few heavily public-bet games. Obviously, this is written on Wednesday (10/4) so always keep an eye on the changing lines and percentages.

BUFFALO @ CINCINNATI

The Bills are coming off an impressive win over Atlanta and  ... 

After a 3-0 ATS sweep in Week 5, let’s take a look at a few games for Week 6. The main strategy I want to implement is fading the public. NCAAF doesn’t have the betting volume that the NFL gets so we will have to be selective in our approach. But books are always looking to exploit public perception so hopefully we can find a few winners by fading the public in a few heavily public-bet games. Obviously, this is written on Tuesday (10/3) so always keep an eye on the changing lines and percentages.

LOUISVILLE @ NORTH  ...