As we know, the betting public prefers favorites and overs. While betting the total doesn’t get anywhere near the tickets that the spread bets do, there is value to be found in targeting unders.
Through Week 4 of the 2017 NCAAF season, unders have gone 158-122 (56%) and we’re going to take a look at 3 games with potential under plays for us.
MIAMI (OHIO) @ NOTRE DAME
Using the ZCode Line Reversals Tool, we can see where the early bets have been going. ...
The English Premier League will be headlined by the top of the table clash between Chelsea and Manchester City on Saturday. Just three points separate the two teams, and Chelsea hope to close the gap in gameweek 7.
Both clubs are playing exciting, attacking soccer and both have the Premier League title in their sights. The clash between the two sides will be the first real test for either team this term. Chelsea was last season’s Premier League winners, while Manchester City has looked the strongest team to this point.
Chelsea
The reigning champions have rebounded nicely from an opening ...
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NCAAF is in full swing and it’s time to jump in on the action. The main strategy I want to implement is fading the public. NCAAF doesn’t have the betting volume that the NFL gets so we will have to be selective in our approach. But books are always looking to exploit public perception so hopefully we can find a few winners by fading the public in a few heavily public-bet games. Obviously, this is written on Wednesday (9/27) so always keep an eye on the changing lines and percentages.
OKLAHOMA STATE @ TEXAS TECH
Oklahoma State took ...
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New Orleans Saints versus Miami Dolphins
The Saints come in at 1-2, while the Dolphins are off to a 2-1 start. Despite having a worse record and playing on the road, the Saints are a 1.5 point favorite. In the last meeting between these teams in 2013, the Saints won as a home favorite. The Dolphins hold a +2.88 to -1.97 in the NFL Team Strength Oscillator and a +22 to +5 edge in the Power Ranking Indicator. Despite the underdog status, the oscillators have me leaning towards the Dolphins, which is my pick to win outright.
Tennessee Titans versus ...
Arizona Diamondbacks versus Kansas City Royals
Taking a look at the teams in this inter league match up, playoff bound Arizona Diamondbacks take on the Kansas City Royals, looking to finish at .500. According to the Power Ranking Indicator, the Diamondbacks hold a +22 to +15 advantage. They also hold a +6.62 to -4.31 advantage in the MLB Team Strength Oscillator. Neither teams ranks in the top 10 in Team Volatility, therefore the favorite and underdog status will play a deciding factor in my predictions this week.
Pitching match ups:
Friday, September 29: Taijuan Walker versus Ian Kennedy
Walker comes ...
Sweep! 3-0 ATS in Week 3 which improves our YTD to 7-2. Let’s see if we can keep it going with a few potential plays for Week 4. The main strategy I want to implement is fading the public. Books are always looking to exploit public perception so hopefully we can find a few winners by fading the public in a few heavily public-bet games. Obviously, this is written on Tuesday (9/26) so always keep an eye on the changing lines and percentages.
JACKSONVILLE @ NEW YORK JETS
While the Jets quietly beat a bad Dolphins team, the ...
There is just one week to go in the Major League Baseball regular season and the MLB playoffs begin on October 3rd. It’s just about time for the postseason to start and a made dash for the World Series trophy.
A few weeks ago, we wrote about the Cleveland Indians and why bettors should wager on the Tribe to win the World Series. This time, let’s look at the MLB playoffs and see if the Indians are still a team that, should not only be bet on, but is being undervalued by bookies.
Cleveland Indians +325
After a ...
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English Premier League week 6 has several big matches on the cards, and the league’s top two teams, Manchester United and Manchester City, could further increase their lead over the rest of the pack. Several teams have already fallen off the pace for a title this term, but that doesn’t mean they aren’t good value to bettors.
English Premier League week 6
Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace
Manchester City has been rolling along this season, and has won its last three matches by a combined 13-1 scoreline. The Blues host the league’s worst team, Crystal Palace this weekend. Not ...
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The following Top Automated Systems Rating is based on the Systems Power Ranking Formula. The advanced formula is calculating the position based on the recent 3 month performance. It will help the followers quickly decide which system is HOT right now and what to follow. If you click on the system in the list you can easily access its page and backtests. The rating is fully automated and has no human bias!
Cleveland Browns versus Indianapolis Colts
This match up features the 0-2 Browns from the AFC North versus the 0-2 Colts from the AFC South. The Browns come in as 2.5 point favorites on the road, making it the first time in three years the Browns are road favorites. The Colts won the last meeting in December 2014 as a road favorite. While both teams are without a win, the Colts hold decisive advantages in the NFL Team Strength Oscillator (+4.23 to -21.17) and Power Ranking Indicator (+22 and increasing to +15 and declining). Going against the spread, I see ...
New York Yankees versus Toronto Blue Jays
In this American League East battle, the Yankees are trying to secure a spot in the post season and an outside shot at the division, while the Blue Jays look to play spoiler. Examining the two teams, the Yankees hold the edge +4 to -3.32 in terms of the MLB Team Strength Oscillator. Similarly, the Yankees have a +21 to +14 advantage in the Power Ranking Indicator. Neither team cracks the top ten in Team Volatility, making the favorite/underdog status less important in predicting the outcome of this series.
Pitching match ups:
Friday, ...
