More than 40 percent through the MLB season, and over half the teams are in wild card position or within four games of wild card position. Races are starting to heat up along with the hotter weather, with summer looming. There are several games scheduled for June 13 with the Dodgers facing the Rays in the headlined matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays versus Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers are first in the NL West, and the Rays are only 0.5 out in the AL East. Despite contending, both teams are “average down” after each going 3-3 over the last six games. The teams are trending on opposite sides of the “over/under” line, with a total of nine runs predicted with 65 percent confidence. The Dodgers are +25 to +20 on the Power Ranks Indicator and have been far more consistent regarding their favorite/underdog status. Los Angeles is 22-10 at home, and has the top scoring differential in the league, at +143. While the Rays are solid, the Dodgers are a juggernaut. I expect the Dodgers to win in a game “over” the line.
San Diego Padres versus St. Louis Cardinals
In this matchup, both teams are coming in second in their respective divisions. The Cardinals are “average” versus “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +22 to +17 on the Power Ranks Indicator. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games, going “over” the line in the last 11 games combined. The Cardinals have a +13 to -13 scoring differential edge, while the Padres have been the more stable team, coming in at +7 to +3 on the Team Volatility Oscillator. The teams split the first four matchups this year, scoring only a combined 20 runs. St. Louis is three games over .500 at home, as is San Diego on the road. I like the Cardinals at home in another low-scoring game between these teams, so bet the “under” as well.
Minnesota Twins versus Texas Rangers
Both teams are third in their respective divisions, although the Rangers are only two games out of first in the AL West. The Twins are “ice cold up” after going 2-4 over the last six, and the Rangers are “average down” coming off two straight losses. The teams have been trending in games “over” the line with a total score prediction of ten runs, but with only 42 percent confidence. Minnesota has a considerable edge on the Power Ranks Indicator of +12 to +4, while the Rangers have a 47-run scoring differential edge. The Twins have struggled on the road, winning just 13 of 34, while the Rangers are +3 at home. I like the Rangers by a few runs in a game “over” the line.
Detroit Tigers versus Houston Astros
This matchup features two teams that need to get back on track to be contenders later in the season. Both teams are fourth in their respective divisions, and 3-3 over the last six games. Houston is “average” versus “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator, and the Tigers are +7 to +6 on the Power Ranks Indicator. Troy Melton is scheduled to pitch for the Tigers. He is 3-0 with an ERA of 2.81 and is a good bet at +$112 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. The teams are trending on opposite sides of the “over/under” line, and both are in the red in scoring differential for the season. Houston is only 16-19 at home, but Detroit is an abysmal 11-26 on the road. I like the Astros to win in a game “under” the line.
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