The NFL playoffs have reached the divisional round with eight teams remaining with a chance to win the Super Bowl. The Patriots host the Texans in the AFC battle. while the Rams head to Chicago to clash with the Bears in the NFC showdown.
Houston Texans versus New England Patriots
The Texans enter the game coming off a 30-6 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers in the Wild Card Round, while the Patriots took down the Los Angeles Chargers, 16-3. New England was 14-3 during the regular season and 6-3 at home, and Houston was 12-5 with a road record of 5-3. The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite with odds of 1.556 to 2.5 with an over/under of 40.5. The teams have been involved in games “over” the line in eight of the last 12 combined, and betting “over” is a 5-star pick at 90 percent. Both teams are “burning hot” on the Team Strength Oscillator, and Houston is +30 to +28 on the Power Ranks Indicator. The Patriots had the best scoring differential edge in the AFC at +170, while the Texans were at +109. New England has won the last five games as a favorite, covering the spread four times. The Texans have won the last nine. The score prediction is 26-20 in favor of the Patriots with 79 percent confidence. I like New England at home with the Texans covering in-game decided by a field goal in an exciting offensive game “over” the line.
Los Angeles Rams versus Chicago Bears
The Rams come into play after taking down the Panthers on the road last week, 34-31. The Bears came back against the Packers last week, winning at home, 31-27. The Bears were 11-6 during the regular season and 6-2 at home, while the Rams were 12-5 with a road record of 5-4. The Rams are a 3.5-point road favorite with odds of 1.5 to 2.650 with an over/under of 48.5. The Rams have been involved in games over the line in each of the last six, and betting the under is a 5-star pick at 96 percent. Los Angeles is “burning hot” with a 4-2 mark over the last six, while the Bears are “average” after a 3-3 record during the same period. The Rams have a large scoring differential edge of +172 to +26 and have won 80 percent over the last five games as favorites. The Team Volatility Oscillator shows the Rams as the more consistent team regarding their favorite/underdog status. Los Angeles has a 55 percent chance to win on the road. I like the Rams to end what was a surprisingly excellent season by the Bears, winning and covering in a game “under” the line.
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