The Flames vs Preds: The game of the year?
Calgary Flames at Nashville Predators (NHL) Jan. 1th, 2012 6:00 PM EST
Only 1 game today and my wife is still sleeping so let me write a detailed opinion here to reveal my thinking process and philosophy.
Who else wakes up at 8 a.m on 1st January to analyse games and prepare predictions?
What I love about Zcode is that it is not a black box that throws out some numbers you can’t understand. It’s a fully transparent system that gives us a clear indication on what’s going on in a simple form of Statuses and percentages anyone can understand. Just by looking at the predictions and knowing nothing about hockey you can already pick the winner better than most “nhl experts” out there 🙂 Of course we get our upsets and nothing is a “sure-win” but in a long run the results are coming fine.
Okay, enough lyrics lets get back to the action. The prediction for Preds 🙂
First I check the background:Â Preds are coming out of two hard earned shootout wins while Calgary is playing really well lately but lost 2 times in a row.. The Preds are hot but they lack offense. They scored only 5 goals in the last 3 games. While Calgari has no problem scoring but lacks the defense. They blew 3-goal lead against Ottawa and “underestimated” Islanders.
What Zcode predicts: The system thinks it is a 3 star home favorite, obviously the status differential is not enough to give it more stars though the power rank differential is pretty high (6 and 20) and with a home field advantage the Preds can scratch some goals for a one more 2-1SO victory here over the Flames who have been drinking whole night 🙂 far away from their wives and families.
What does “incredible Oscilator thinks”? I LOVE our oscillator. It’s never good to base signals on it alone but in combination with Zcode statuses it’s really powerful.
http://zcodesystem.com/nhl_oscillator/?team1=Calgary&team2=Nashville
Oscillator agrees here – seems like the Preds are testing resistance and Calgari won’t hurt to lose one more time
Now lets check the goalies: Miikka Kiprusoff is Probable for CAL. He is solid with 2.40 GAA and .918 SV. If you have no clue what that means the smaller number goals you allow the better for you and your team 🙂 Pekka Rinne is probable for Preds. He is super solid as well 2.58 and .920 I see no goalie edge here and a possible low scoring tight game. Kiprusoff is 1-2-0 with a 1.36 goals-against average versus Nashville this season, and stopped 26 shots in a 1-0 home win over the Predators on Nov. 29.
Possible scenarios:
Preds win 2-1SO. Most likely a tight low scoring win.
Calgari wins 4-1. If Calgari can break through the defense and score more than 3 the Preds have no chance, they cant score. The only way they can win is to keep it low.
Or maybe that is all BS and the Preds will win 6-5 again ?
Ideas to bet: Honestly this game has no value and I used it only because there are no other games tonight and I wanted to show you how I am analysing games. However if you got a gun on your head and must be or die here then go Calgari+1 or PredsML small bet + Under 5.5. If you expect Preds to win you can add Calgari Team Total under 2.5 then.
Agree, disagree?
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