NFL Picks Week Three: Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints
This spread looks tricky to me. It’s a little too big for me to feel comfortable. The New Orleans Saints defense has been sloppy, and the offense hasn’t quite done enough. This game against the Minnesota Vikings could be tough, but 11 points seems like too many – with or without Adrian Peterson.
That said, the money line has some value for me. The computer says the New Orleans Saints have an 80% chance to win this game straight up. It’s their home opener, they won’t open 0-3, and the Saints are the much better team.
Ultimately, the Saints always struggle on the road but are awesome at home. The dome will be rocking, WhoDat Nation will be going wild, and the Saints will get their first win. I’m not completely sold on their ability to run away with this one, but with the noise helping out this defense it’s certainly possible. I expect a blowout, I just have my money in other places.
I’ve teased this one down to 2.5 points, I’ve got ML parlays out, and I’ve got small wagers on the spread at 9.5 before the spike to ten. I think this is a good game to buy points.
With the Saints offense getting things going at home and the dome helping out a defense that has disappointed in their first two games, I think the Saints win this one. Baromir-style parlays and the money line have the most value for me, but I also have a small -9.5 bet.
Saints 38 – Vikings 16
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