MLB Predictions: June 22-24

As we approach the middle of the MLB season, the divisional and league races are heating up. Check out the menu for the weekend of June 22 – 24.

Note that all standings and information from the oscillators is for games played through Tuesday, June 19.

Philadelphia Phillies versus Washington Nationals

The Nationals and Phillies are part of a three-team race in the NL East. Washington is just 3-7 over their last ten, “dead” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +14 on the Power Ranking Indicator. The Phillies are 6-4 over that span and are “burning hot” and +25 on the Power Ranking Indicator. Washington is just 17-17 at home, while the Phillies are only 15-20 on the road. Washington is undecided on the mound with the exception of Tanner Roark for Friday, coming in with a mediocre -89 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. All three scheduled starters for the Phillies, Zach Eflin, Aaron Nola and Nick Pivetta are in the green on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Look for the Phillies to come out of this weekend with a two-to-one series win.

Seattle Mariners versus Boston Red Sox

Two of the top teams in the American League battle in this series. The Red Sox hold a slim +25 to +24 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator and both teams are “average”  on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Red Sox are the second most stable team in the league and the Mariners are the ninth most unstable, according to the Team Volatility Oscillator. In terms of the Pitcher Profit Oscillator, the Mariners have the advantage on Friday and Sunday with Wade LeBlanc and Marco Gonzales, however Chris Sale goes for the Red Sox on Sunday. Eduardo Rodrgieuz (+607) versus Mike Leake (-968) in Saturday’s game is largely in favor for a Boston win. It’s difficult to envision Boston losing two of three at home, so the nod goes to the Red Sox in this series.

Los Angeles Dodgers versus New York Mets

After a poor start, the Dodgers have battled back and are second in the NL West. They are +18 on the Power Ranking Indicator and “burning hot down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. The Mets are eight games below .500, +10 on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average down” status. The Dodgers are undecided on the mound for Saturday, while the other two scheduled starters Alex Wood and Kenta Maeda, have been terrible bets according to the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. On the other hand, Jacob deGrom (+393) and Jason Vargas (+1429) have been very good bets. The Dodgers come in as the second most unstable team in the league, meaning looking at their favorite/underdog status is often futile. I see the Mets edging the Dodgers in an close series.

St. Louis Cardinals versus Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers are clinging on to the top spot in the NL Central, while the Cardinals are not far off the pace.  However, St. Louis is just 4-6 over their last ten, “dead” on the Team Strength Oscillator and +13 on the Power Ranking Indicator. The Brewers are +23 and “average down” and are 5-5 over their last ten. In terms of pitcher profit, Jack Flaherty and the Cardinals have the edge over Chase Anderson and the Brewers on Friday. Neither Mile Mikolas (-276) nor Jhoulys Chacin (+80) have been great bets in Saturday’s match up. The Brewers are undecided for Sunday against Luke Weaver. St. Louis is the 10th most unstable team, which should play a factor in betting on this series. The Brewers will hold home field advantage and win two of three.

New York Yankees versus Tampa Bay Rays

The Yankees and Red Sox are dominating the AL East, while the Rays are a distance third at 15 games back. Tampa Bay is +9 on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average” on the Team Strength Oscillator, having split their last ten games. The Yankees are at +28 on the Power Ranking Indicator and are 7-3 over their last ten. They are also second in team stability and as likely favorites in all games this weekend, bodes well for those betting on them. Tampa Bay is undecided on the mound this weekend, while the Yankees plan to go with CC Sabathia, Sonny Gray and Domingo German. Tampa’s best chance is on Saturday, as Gray is -1634 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator. New York will win two of three.

Kansas City Royals versus Houston Astros

The Royals are just 1-9 over their last ten and have the worst record in the Major Leagues. Not surprisingly, they are 0 on the Power Ranking Indicator and “dead” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Houston is on top in the AL West, 9-1 over their last ten and are +29 and “burning hot”. In this lopsided match up, do the Royals have a chance to salvage a game? Danny Duffy gives them the best chance on Saturday versus Dallas Keuchel, if you are looking at Pitcher Profit Oscillator. Duffy holds a slight +929 to +806 edge. Saturday and Sunday’s pitchers Lance McCullers Jr and Gerrit Cole are both more profitable than Kansas City’s Brad Keller and Ian Kennedy. Houston could very well sweep the series, but don’t be surprised if the Royals find a way to win a game.

 

 

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