Boston Red Sox versus Houston Astros
First, I got an idea of how both teams are trending using the Volatility Oscillator, the MLB Team Strength Oscillator and the Power Rankings Indicator. In this match up, Houston is the second most stable team, while the Red Sox rank 10th. This means that both teams are consistently winning as a favorite and losing as an underdog. The Red Sox are -2.78 on the MLB Team Strength Oscillator and the Astros come in at +11.51. The Power Rankings Indicator gives very little edge, with the Astros holding a slim 25-24 advantage.
Looking at the pitching match ups.
Friday, June 16: Drew Pomeranz versus Mike Fiers
Pomerenz is 6-4 with a 4.48 ERA, but is 3-1 with a 3.63 over the last four. Although picthing well, he is -1753 on the Pitcher Profit Oscillator, so he has been a very poor bet. Fiers on the other hand, is 3-0 with a 1.96 ERA over his last three starts and has been a much more sound bet, at +226 on the Profit Oscillator. Give the advantage in a big way to the Astros in this one.
Saturday, June 17: Rick Porcello versus David Paulino
Neither picther has performed well in general, as 2016 Cy Young Award winner Porcello is 3-8 with a 4.67 ERA and has 6.45 ERA over his last six games. Paulino has a 6.59 ERA this season and a 6.10 ERA in six career games. The advantage based on experience and Profit Oscillator goes to Porcello. He’s been a good bet at +848 while Paulino has been negative all season in terms of Profit Oscillator and is currently at -229. The best bet by a wide margin goes to Red Sox.
Sunday, June 18: David Price versus Joe Musgrove
This matchup features two pitchers who have been inconsistent. Price is coming off injury and has a 5.09 ERA this season, but 7.36 ERA over the last two. Musgrove has slightly better overall numbers in terms of ERA, at 4.81. But he’s been widely inconsistent and has been less than a sure bet at -343 on the Profit Oscillator. While price is barely proftiable at +51, there is very little edge between the teams in terms of power ranking. Pick the Red Sox in this one by a slim margin.
Kansas City Royals versus Los Angeles Angels
Neither team is in the top ten in stability, according to the Volatility Oscillator, so those betting shouldn’t take heed into just betting on a favorite or underdog. The MLB Strength Oscillator has the Royals at -1.65 and the Angels at -1.24, both in the average range, so neither team is playing excellent baseball at the moment. This also is seen in the Power Rankings Indicator, as the Angels are at 19 and declining, while the Royals are 12 and climbing. This shows the Royals are, at least at the moment, playing overall better baseball.
Looking at the pitching match ups.
Friday, June 16: Ian Kennedy versus Jose Chavez
Picking this game could be more about who is less bad than who is pitching well. Kennedy is 0-6 with a 5.40 ERA and a dreadful 9.24 ERA over the last six. On top of that, using the Profit Oscillator, I see he has been in the negative since 2013 and is at -1491. Chavez hasn’t been spectacular, at 5-6 with a 5.06 ERA, but has been better than Kenendy. While he’s at -42 on the Profit Oscillator, it’s his highest all season. The best pick is for the Angels in game one.
Saturday, June 17: Jake Junis versus Alex Meyer
Both pitchers have faired decently this seaosn, Junis is 2-0 with a 4.67 ERA and has is +217 on the Profit Oscillator. Meyer has a 3.05 ERA over the last four games, but the Angels have lost all of those starts. He’s also -306 on the Profit Oscillator, his lowest all season. Given these numbers and the fact that the Royals have been climbing in the rankings, give this one to the Royals.
Sunday, June 18: Jason Vargas versus J.C. Ramirez
This game is highly favored for the Royals. Vargas is 9-3 with a 2.10 ERA and has been very profitable, coming in at +1388 on the Profit Oscillator. Ramirez is solid on the Profit Oscillator as well, at +371, but then I see the 7.31 ERA over the last three games. It’s hard to bet against the Royals in this one with Vargas on the hill. I pick the Royals in game three to take the weekend series, 2 games to 1.
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