Zсode System Automated Winning Sports Picks

Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners

Score prediction: Kansas City 3 - Seattle 8
Confidence in prediction: 57.8%

MLB Game Preview: Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners (July 1, 2025)

The Seattle Mariners are positioned as solid favorites in their July 1 matchup against the Kansas City Royals, bringing with them a calculated 53% chance of victory. With a home record of 21 wins this season, the Mariners look to leverage their home-field advantage as they compete in their 44th game at T-Mobile Park. The match marks the second game in a four-game series, and both teams are currently in contrasting phases of their respective trips; Seattle is on a home stand while Kansas City embarks on a road trip.

Michael Lorenzen will take the mound for Kansas City, currently holding the 65th position in the Top 100 Pitchers of the season, sporting an ERA of 4.91. His performance will be critical as the team seeks to improve their 2-6 loss from the prior matchup against Seattle. On the opposing side, Emerson Hancock is tasked with pitching duties for the Mariners, although he hasn't cracked the Top 100 this season and carries a slightly higher ERA of 5.30. After a mixed bag of results, where Seattle followed a W-W-L streak, both pitchers will aim to establish control early in the game.

The betting landscape suggests Seattle’s moneyline is valued at 1.737, making them clear favorites. Bookies predict a positive outlook on Kansas City covering a +1.5 spread with a 59.10% chance, indicating ongoing competitiveness from the Royals despite recent challenges. Historically, Seattle has come out on top in 12 of their last 20 meetings against Kansas City, enhancing their psychological edge going into this clash.

As we review their recent performances, Seattle’s last two games have resulted in their favor, with a win over Kansas City (6-2) following a successful win against Texas (6-4) on June 29. Meanwhile, Kansas City has struggled recently, suffering a loss not only to Seattle but also to the Los Angeles Dodgers. With Seattle coming off a series of mixed performances (W-W-L-W-L-L) but still exhibiting strength as favorites in 80% of their last five appearances, they represent a hot team entering this contest.

The Over/Under line is set at 8.5, and projections suggest a potential for scoring over that total, with a 55.14% likelihood of surpassing the mark. With both teams trending in contrasting directions and Seattle riding a wave of favorable form, predictions project a score of Kansas City 3, Seattle 8, reflecting a significant confidence level of 57.8% in the outcome. Fans should expect an exciting match as both teams fight for supremacy in the next leg of this four-game series.

Kansas City injury report: A. Marsh (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 01, '25)), C. Ragans (Fifteen Day IL - Rotator Cuff( Jun 10, '25)), H. Harvey (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 04, '25)), J. McArthur (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 30, '25)), M. Massey (Ten Day IL - Ankle( Jun 09, '25))

Seattle injury report: B. Miller (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 09, '25)), C. Snider (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 03, '25)), G. Santos (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Apr 28, '25)), R. Bliss (Sixty Day IL - Biceps( Apr 12, '25)), V. Robles (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 22, '25))

Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets

Score prediction: Milwaukee 11 - New York Mets 1
Confidence in prediction: 51.7%

Game Preview: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets (July 1, 2025)

As the Milwaukee Brewers prepare to face the New York Mets on July 1, 2025, a notable controversy surrounds this matchup. Despite the bookies naming the Mets as the favorites based solely on the odds, ZCode's advanced statistical model predicts that the Brewers will emerge as the true winners. These differing outlooks combined with the historical performance of both teams make for a compelling clash that enhances the stakes of this three-game series.

The New York Mets have an impressive home record so far this season, standing at 29 wins at home. However, the Brewers are in the midst of a lengthy road trip, having played 43 games away from their home park. This will give them further opportunity to display their resilience on the road. Notably, the Brewers are currently beginning their own six-game road trip, while the Mets are also in the first stage of their six-game home trip. Fans can expect an engaged and energetic game as both teams look to capitalize on their current situations.

Starting pitchers Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and Clay Holmes for the Mets are set to headline this matchup. Peralta, ranked 20th in the Top 100 Pitchers this season, boasts a solid ERA of 2.90, showcasing his ability to navigate hitters effectively. Holmes, slightly behind in the ratings at 23rd with an ERA of 2.97, has also demonstrated reliability on the mound. With both pitchers in excellent form, this matchup could tip the scales in favor of whichever lineup can create a sustained offensive momentum.

Recent form points toward a disturbed balance for the Mets, who come into this game riding a wave of inconsistency—losing their last three out of five games, including two disappointing losses to the Pittsburgh Pirates. On the contrary, while Milwaukee recently faced a challenging defeat to Colorado, they bounced back with a shutout win which could give them the mental edge they seek in this series opener. Additionally, Milwaukee has been a solid performer as an underdog, having covered the spread in 80% of their last five games.

As both teams prepare to take the field, the odds reflect a close matchup, with New York's moneyline sitting at 1.799 in their favor. However, considering ZCode's analytical insights, this game presents an underdog value pick with a confidence of just 51.7% in favor of the Brewers. While making predictions is intrinsically uncertain, one can glance back to the last 20 encounters between the two teams, where the Mets emerged victorious seven times—a statistic which hints at the competitive dynamic in their past exchanges.

In conclusion, as we approach this exciting opening game of the series between the Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets, fans can expect a thrilling contest, bolstered by noteworthy performances from both starting pitchers. With the potential for an upset on the horizon, Milwaukee aims to flip the script in a match poised to be both intense and unpredictable. Final score prediction: Milwaukee 11 - New York Mets 1.

Milwaukee injury report: B. Perkins (Sixty Day IL - Shin( Apr 25, '25)), B. Woodruff (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 11, '25)), C. Thomas (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 17, '25)), G. Mitchell (Ten Day IL - Oblique( Apr 25, '25)), N. Cortes (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 19, '25)), R. Gasser (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 11, '25))

New York Mets injury report: A. Minter (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Apr 30, '25)), B. Raley (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 29, '25)), C. Scott (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 25, '25)), D. Smith (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 12, '25)), D. Young (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 03, '25)), G. Canning (Sixty Day IL - Achilles( Jun 26, '25)), J. Siri (Sixty Day IL - Shin( Jun 22, '25)), J. Winker (Sixty Day IL - Side( Jun 24, '25)), K. Senga (Fifteen Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 12, '25)), M. Kranick (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25)), N. Madrigal (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Feb 23, '25)), S. Manaea (Sixty Day IL - Oblique( Apr 28, '25)), T. Megill (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 16, '25))

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks

Score prediction: San Francisco 4 - Arizona 6
Confidence in prediction: 66.5%

MLB Game Preview: San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (July 1, 2025)

The MLB matchup between the San Francisco Giants and the Arizona Diamondbacks promises to be a thrilling encounter as both teams navigate the mid-season landscape. According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations, the Diamondbacks have emerged as the solid favorites with a 60% probability of clinching a victory. The game, marking the second in a four-game series, could be pivotal for both teams as they push for a favorable position in the standings.

This season has seen the Giants struggle on the road, currently sitting at 23 losses in away games. As they step into their 45th away game, San Francisco is in the midst of a grueling road trip, playing 5 of their last 10 games away from home. Conversely, Arizona has performed consistently at home with a 47th home game upcoming, indicating a strong support from fans. They, too, are in a similar situation with a home trip spanning their last 5 games, seeking a smoother path as they gear up against their divisional rivals.

On the mound today, Hayden Birdsong will be taking the hill for San Francisco. Although he’s managed a 4.13 ERA, he hasn’t found himself among the top performers in the league this season. His counterpart for Arizona, Zac Gallen, ranks 70th in the Top 100 but brings with him an ERA of 5.75. This statistic shows that both pitchers have their challenges, putting extra emphasis on the offense to support them.

The latest trends indicate that while the Giants have seen a mixed performance recently, with a record showing two wins in their last six games, they have shown resilience, covering the spread 80% of the time as underdogs lately. However, the Diamondbacks enter this game with a win on June 30 against the Giants and look to capitalize on their good form, having a winning rate of 67% over their last six games. Notably, trends suggest a tight contest with a very high chance (81.25%) for San Francisco to cover a +1.5 spread, even if they aren't favored to win outright.

In terms of wagering, the odds reflect San Francisco's moneyline at 2.141, signaling a fairly balanced view regarding their underdog status. Betting enthusiasts might find value in playing the spread given the tight estimations of the game, which is expected to be decided by a single run. The score prediction leans more towards the hosts, with Arizona likely pulling off a 6-4 victory over San Francisco, though confidence in this prediction remains moderate at 66.5%.

As the teams gear up for this crucial contest, fans can expect an electrifying matchup characterized by intense competition and strategic plays that could shape the narratives of both teams for the remainder of the season.

San Francisco injury report: C. Schmitt (Day To Day - Wrist( Jun 29, '25)), J. Encarnacion (Ten Day IL - Oblique( Jun 16, '25)), M. Chapman (Ten Day IL - Hand( Jun 09, '25)), T. Murphy (Sixty Day IL - Back( Mar 25, '25))

Arizona injury report: A. Puk (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 30, '25)), B. Walston (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 22, '25)), C. Burnes (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 06, '25)), C. Carroll (Ten Day IL - Hand( Jun 23, '25)), C. Mena (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 09, '25)), C. Montes De Oca (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25)), G. Moreno (Ten Day IL - Hand( Jun 18, '25)), I. Vargas (Ten Day IL - Foot( Jun 24, '25)), J. Martinez (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 14, '25)), J. Montgomery (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 25, '25)), K. Graveman (Fifteen Day IL - Hip( Jun 08, '25))

Minnesota Twins at Miami Marlins

Score prediction: Minnesota 1 - Miami 6
Confidence in prediction: 43.1%

Game Preview: Minnesota Twins vs. Miami Marlins – July 1, 2025

As the Minnesota Twins prepare to face off against the Miami Marlins in the first of a three-game series at LoanDepot Park, there's a notable tension between the betting odds and statistical predictions. While Minnesota is favored by bookmakers with a moneyline of 1.706, ZCode calculations suggest that the real probabilistic winner will be the Miami Marlins. This discrepancy sets the stage for what could be an intriguing baseball matchup.

The Twins enter this game amidst a challenging road trip, having carved out a 27-21 record when playing away from home this season. This matchup marks their 47th away game, and they have shown mixed results recently with a pattern of losses and wins, including a rough sequence of two consecutive losses against the Detroit Tigers. In their last outing, Minnesota suffered a disappointing 0-3 defeat, and their overall lack of momentum raises questions about their performance under pressure.

On the other side of the diamond, the Marlins look to capitalize on their current homestand after a solid series in Arizona, where they secured back-to-back wins, including a tight 8-7 victory in their latest game. Playing their 44th home game of the season, the Marlins are currently positioned to challenge the odds, particularly against a struggling Minnesota team. With Miami’s recent form trending upward and backing from passionate home supporters, the Marlins have the chance to leverage their recent success.

Starting on the mound for the Twins is Joe Ryan, a player rated 19th in the Top 100 this season with an impressive 2.86 earned run average (ERA). His ability to dominate opposing lineups will serve as a critical factor for Minnesota if they hope to assert their authority in this series. Conversely, Miami counters with Edward Cabrera, who is still developing and has not yet cracked the Top 100 ratings, pitching to a 3.78 ERA. This pitching matchup sets up a compelling dynamic between a seasoned arm navigating high-stakes ante and an up-and-coming talent showing improvement.

Analysts highlight the stark odds for the total runs through an Over/Under line set at 7.50, with projections indicating a 56.11% chance of surpassing this total. Given the streaky nature of both teams, hitting could play a vital role, especially as Miami had covered the spread effectively as an underdog in recent outings. Furthermore, home underdogs like Miami have recorded a 14-15 mark over the past month, presenting them as a tempting value pick for savvy bettors.

With both teams seeking to establish direction through this series, the stage is set for an exciting match. Analysts predict Minnesota may struggle in this contest, leading to a projected score of 6-1 in favor of the Marlins. While confidence hovers around 43.1%, the analysts recommend watching how the game unfolds, recognizing Miami's ability to exploit Minnesota’s vulnerabilities on the road.

In summary, fans can anticipate a gripping contest as the Twins and Marlins look to add critical wins to their season campaigns, with potential plot twists at every turn.

Minnesota injury report: L. Keaschall (Sixty Day IL - Forearm( May 17, '25)), P. Lopez (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 10, '25)), R. Lewis (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 14, '25)), Z. Matthews (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 07, '25))

Miami injury report: A. Nardi (Sixty Day IL - Back( Mar 14, '25)), B. Garrett (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 11, '25)), D. Hill (Ten Day IL - Wrist( May 25, '25)), G. Conine (Sixty Day IL - Arm( Apr 29, '25)), J. Tinoco (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 05, '25)), M. Meyer (Fifteen Day IL - Hip( Jun 02, '25)), R. Brantly (Sixty Day IL - Lat( May 23, '25)), R. Weathers (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Jun 08, '25))

Houston Astros at Colorado Rockies

Score prediction: Houston 12 - Colorado 0
Confidence in prediction: 84.2%

MLB Game Preview: Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies (July 1, 2025)

As the Houston Astros prepare to face the Colorado Rockies for the first game in a three-game series, Z Code statistical analysis indicates that Houston is a solid favorite with a favorable 71% chance of emerging victorious. This game holds significance as both teams embark on important stretches in their respective seasons; it marks the Astros' 41st away game and the Rockies' 44th home game. Houston's current road trip is just beginning, while Colorado is starting a six-game home stand that they hope will rekindle their season.

On the mound, the Astros will send Colton Gordon, who currently holds a 3.98 ERA. While he hasn't broken into the Top 100 Ratings this season, he faces a Colorado lineup that hasn't performed consistently. Opposing him will be Chase Dollander for the Rockies, who has struggled this year with a 6.06 ERA. It’s a daunting task for Dollander, particularly against a potent Astros offense that is adjusting to a challenging few games against the Chicago Cubs, including a 12-3 loss.

Recent performance weighs heavily in the odds. Colorado's latest outings show a discouraging trend, going 1-5 in their last six games, while Houston boasts an impressive 67% winning rate in their last six games. Notably, in 20 previous meetings, Colorado only managed to defeat Houston three times. The Rockies last capped off a questionable series in Milwaukee with a split—losing 5-0 and narrowly winning 4-3.

For avid bettors, the odds for Colorado's moneyline sit at 2.465, with a calculated chance of covering the +1.5 spread at a notable 75%. These numbers suggest a tighter contest is possible, despite the deteriorating form of the Rockies. On the other hand, Houston's moneyline at 1.586 reflects their favored status, solidifying their reputation in the betting community and showcasing their consistent performance as favorites, winning 80% of their last five games when favored.

Watching the game, fans and analysts alike will keep a close eye on the Over/Under line set at 11.50, with a projection for the Under sitting at about 55.58%. Given Houston’s current form and scoring ability, a prediction of a significant Houston victory seems reasonable, leading to a predicted score of 12-0. My confidence in this prediction stands at a strong 84.2%, hinting at a challenging day ahead for the Rockies as they take on a high-flying Astros squad.

Houston injury report: B. Rodgers (Ten Day IL - Oblique( Jun 17, '25)), C. Javier (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 31, '25)), C. McCormick (Ten Day IL - Oblique( May 30, '25)), H. Wesneski (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 19, '25)), J. France (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Mar 26, '25)), J. Melton (Ten Day IL - Ankle( Jun 13, '25)), J. Pena (Ten Day IL - Rib( Jun 29, '25)), L. Garcia (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 06, '25)), P. Leon (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Jun 23, '25)), R. Blanco (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 31, '25)), S. Arrighetti (Sixty Day IL - Thumb( Jun 13, '25)), S. Dubin (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 23, '25)), Y. Alvarez (Ten Day IL - Hand( May 04, '25)), Z. Dezenzo (Ten Day IL - Hand( May 31, '25))

Colorado injury report: E. Tovar (Ten Day IL - Oblique( Jun 05, '25)), H. Goodman (Day To Day - Hamstring( Jun 28, '25)), J. Criswell (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 13, '25)), K. Bryant (Sixty Day IL - Lumbar( May 10, '25)), R. Feltner (Sixty Day IL - Back( Jun 14, '25)), T. Gordon (Fifteen Day IL - Oblique( Jun 02, '25))

St Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates

Score prediction: St. Louis 5 - Pittsburgh 4
Confidence in prediction: 48.5%

MLB Game Preview: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (July 1, 2025)

The upcoming clash between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Pittsburgh Pirates has sparked notable interest, particularly due to the contrasting views of bookies and statistical models. The Pirates have emerged as the oddsmakers' favorites for this matchup, yet ZCode calculations predict that the Cardinals are primed to take the win based on historical performance analytics. Fans should remain aware that predictions derived from statistical models often diverge from public sentiment and betting odds, creating a compelling narrative for this series.

As the game marks the second of a three-game series, the current dynamic heavily favors Pittsburgh, who delivered a strong performance in the game prior, trouncing St. Louis 7-0. This victory not only boosted their confidence but also pushed them to a potent home record, where they have performed well throughout the season. The Pirates have amassed a solid 24 wins at PNC Park this year, while the Cardinals face their 45th away game. St. Louis, embarking on a 5 of 9 road trip, may find the series challenging as they look to bounce back from that tough defeat.

On the mound, both teams feature standout pitchers who have performed markedly this season. St. Louis will rely on Andre Pallante, ranked 56th in the Top 100 Ratings, to regain momentum after the previous game's setback. Pallante carries an ERA of 4.43, which, while respectable, is a step below his opponent's. Pittsburgh counters with Paul Skenes, who has been terrific this season, leaning on a 2.12 ERA and holding the 4th spot in the top rankings. Skenes' skills on the hillside will be pivotal as the Pirates aim to maintain their winning streak against the Cardinals.

Examining the betting trends, bookies offer the Pittsburgh moneyline at 1.615, indicating confidence in their continued success. However, St. Louis holds a calculated chance of 61.35% to cover the +1.5 spread, showcasing their potential for a less expected performance. In their previous 20 encounters, Pittsburgh has extracted 8 victories against the Cardinals, although recent matchups suggest a tightening rivalry. The latest streaks for both teams reflect a mixed bag for the Pirates, who achieved four wins followed by two losses, while St. Louis faced an immediate challenge after their recent spin.

Looking forward, Pittsburgh's schedule continues pitted against St. Louis before taking on a hungry Seattle team, while the Cardinals are next set to hit Chicago after today's decisive affair. The Over/Under line sits at 7.50, with models projecting a 56.74% likelihood for the Over, possibly indicating an offensive showdown.

Given that the Cardinals aim to recover some dignity after the previous night's result, the anticipated score prediction is narrowly in favor of St. Louis at 5-4. With a confidence metric of 48.5%, it's clear this matchup remains too close to call, and fans should expect a spirited game brimming with tension and competitive spirit. Will St. Louis rise from the rubble, or will the Pirates continue to amplify their home-field prowess? Tune in to find out!

St. Louis injury report: I. Herrera (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 19, '25)), J. Walker (Ten Day IL - Appendicitis( Jun 24, '25)), Z. Thompson (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Apr 06, '25))

Pittsburgh injury report: C. Holderman (Fifteen Day IL - Thumb( May 19, '25)), E. Rodriguez (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 12, '25)), E. Valdez (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 13, '25)), J. Jones (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 30, '25)), J. Lawrence (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( May 02, '25)), J. Oviedo (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 02, '25)), R. Borucki (Fifteen Day IL - Back( Jun 20, '25)), T. Mayza (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 23, '25))

Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers

Score prediction: Chicago White Sox 4 - Los Angeles Dodgers 3
Confidence in prediction: 79.3%

MLB Game Preview: Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers (July 1, 2025)

As the Chicago White Sox visit the Los Angeles Dodgers for the first game of a three-game series, the Dodgers emerge as solid favorites with a 57% chance of securing a victory, according to the ZCode model. Expect a competitive matchup as both teams are currently on extended trips, with the White Sox immersed in their first road trip of six games this season, while the Dodgers are just beginning their home stand, also comprising six games. This matchup marks the 45th home game for the Dodgers and the 44th away game for the White Sox—two teams looking to capitalize on their current momentum.

The pitching duel will feature Shane Smith for the Chicago White Sox, who despite a respectable 3.38 ERA, isn't ranked among the top 100 pitchers this season. His task will be daunting as he faces off against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, the starter for the Dodgers, who boasts a top-10 ranking in the league with a stellar 2.61 ERA. Yamamoto's consistent performance has contributed to the Dodgers' current hot streak, having won five out of their last six games.

In head-to-head encounters, the Dodgers have historically dominated the White Sox, claiming victory in 15 of their last 20 meetings. The team has been displaying solid form and contended well as a favorite with an impressive track record—winning 80% of such games in their last five, and boasting an 83% winning rate for predicting their last 6 games. Meanwhile, the White Sox are coming off a series against the San Francisco Giants, where they won two out of the three games this past weekend, looking for momentum as they enter a challenging road series.

Looking ahead, the odds for the game favor the Dodgers, with a moneyline sitting at 1.324—an attractive option for parlay systems. Combining this with other similar odds could be a effective strategy for bettors eager to capitalize on an ongoing streak from the Dodgers. The score prediction suggests a narrow battle, projecting a potential final score of Chicago White Sox 4 - Los Angeles Dodgers 3, reflecting some confidence in the performance of the visiting team.

In conclusion, while the LA Dodgers appear as the favorites with their efficient pitching and home advantage, the unpredictability of series openers always leaves room for excitement. The outcomes will depend significantly on how both starting pitchers perform, especially Smith's ability to contain the Dodgers' potent offense, while Yamamoto looks to silence the White Sox bats tonight. Fans and bettors alike will have their eyes peeled for what promises to be an engaging night of baseball.

Chicago White Sox injury report: C. Booser (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 19, '25)), D. Martin (Fifteen Day IL - Forearm( Jun 19, '25)), D. Thorpe (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 26, '25)), F. Ellard (Sixty Day IL - Lat( Jun 07, '25)), J. Scholtens (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 11, '25)), J. Shuster (Fifteen Day IL - Hand( Jun 07, '25)), K. Bush (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 16, '25)), L. Robert Jr. (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( Jun 25, '25)), M. Castro (Sixty Day IL - Knee( Jun 03, '25)), M. Perez (Sixty Day IL - Forearm( Apr 20, '25)), P. Berroa (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 22, '25))

Los Angeles Dodgers injury report: B. Graterol (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Mar 16, '25)), B. Snell (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 16, '25)), B. Treinen (Sixty Day IL - Forearm( Apr 30, '25)), E. Phillips (Sixty Day IL - forearm( May 28, '25)), G. Stone (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Feb 10, '25)), K. Hurt (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Apr 01, '25)), M. Grove (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Mar 16, '25)), R. Ryan (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Feb 12, '25)), R. Sasaki (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 19, '25)), T. Glasnow (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( May 30, '25)), T. Gonsolin (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25))

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays

Score prediction: New York Yankees 4 - Toronto 5
Confidence in prediction: 51.3%

Game Preview: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (July 1, 2025)

As the New York Yankees take on the Toronto Blue Jays this July 1, the matchup is being framed by an intriguing contrast in perspectives concerning which team is expected to emerge victorious. While the bookies have installed the Yankees as the favorites, insights from ZCode calculations suggest a different story, predicting the Blue Jays could snag the win based on a solid historical statistical model. This dissonance underscores the analytical challenges facing bettors and fans as they prepare for what would be an electrifying second game in a four-game series.

The New York Yankees enter this game having recorded a disappointing away record of just 19 wins so far this season, marking this contest as their 46th away game. Currently in the midst of a seven-game road trip, the Yankees hope to turn their fortunes around following mixed results—claiming a win, drop, and another win, followed by a loss in their latest outings. The track record shows them having a slight edge over the Blue Jays historically, winning 11 out of their last 20 face-offs. However, the recent outcome—losing 5-4 on June 30—might dampen that historical advantage.

On the opposing side stands the Toronto Blue Jays, vying for consistency amid their home performances this season, now playing their 45th game on familiar ground. Both teams come into this contest—Toronto on a two-game home trip—riding momentum from their previous matches. The Blue Jays have previously secured a narrow win to knock the Yankees down a peg, and with their lineup boasting home-field advantage, they pose a real threat. Notably, Toronto has covered the spread effectively as an underdog, securing gains despite skepticism from bookmakers.

Starting pitching also adds an extra layer of intrigue to the matchup. Yankees pitcher Max Fried ranks second in the Top 100 Ratings this season with an exceptional ERA of 1.92, setting a high bar for any opposing hitters. Contrarily, Kevin Gausman, his Blue Jays counterpart, finds himself lower on the rankings at 48, with a 4.21 ERA. Despite Gausman’s challenge, his performance’s variability could still open an avenue for the Blue Jays to score effectively if matched with the Yankees' lapse in production.

Even with the odds stacked slightly against the Blue Jays—the Yankees present a moneyline at 1.646—there remains considerable value in placing a bet on Toronto, rated with a 5-Star underdog status. The Over/Under line is set at 7.5, with projections leaning towards the Over at 59.60%. It's an enticing realm highlighting a beautiful conundrum: the possible Vegas Trap. The game has drawn public interest that intersects diversely with line movements influenced whispering “trap.”

When predicting the score, it's almost too close to call, but optimism balances with analytics for this showdown. A predicted score of New York Yankees 4 - Toronto Blue Jays 5 reflects this well-being, with a confidence rate of 51.3%. Carefully monitoring betting lines leading up to the game may reveal instructional patterns, offering shrewd bettors carrots of opportunity amidst the excitement. All eyes will see if the Blue Jays can capitalize on their supposed underdog advantage fresh from viable statistical backing while the Yankees attempt to find their stride on the road.

New York Yankees injury report: F. Cruz (Fifteen Day IL - Oblique( Jun 29, '25)), G. Cole (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 21, '25)), J. Cousins (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Jun 17, '25)), L. Gil (Sixty Day IL - Back( Mar 23, '25)), O. Cabrera (Sixty Day IL - Ankle( Jun 18, '25)), R. Yarbrough (Fifteen Day IL - Oblique( Jun 21, '25)), T. Grisham (Day To Day - Hamstring( Jun 29, '25)), Y. De Los Santos (Fifteen Day IL - Elbow( Jun 18, '25))

Toronto injury report: A. Bastardo (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 11, '25)), A. Manoah (Sixty Day IL - Elbow( Mar 16, '25)), A. Santander (Ten Day IL - Shoulder( May 29, '25)), B. Bichette (Day To Day - Knee( Jun 29, '25)), B. Francis (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( Jun 16, '25)), D. Varsho (Ten Day IL - Hamstring( May 31, '25)), P. Schultz (Fifteen Day IL - Middle Finger( Jun 28, '25)), R. Burr (Sixty Day IL - Shoulder( Apr 26, '25)), Y. Garcia (Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder( May 23, '25))

Chunichi Dragons at Yokohama Baystars

Game result: Chunichi Dragons 2 Yokohama Baystars 3

Score prediction: Chunichi Dragons 5 - Yokohama Baystars 4
Confidence in prediction: 76.3%

According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations The Yokohama Baystars are a solid favorite with a 54% chance to beat the Chunichi Dragons.

They are at home this season.

Chunichi Dragons: 38th away game in this season.
Yokohama Baystars: 40th home game in this season.

According to bookies the odd for Yokohama Baystars moneyline is 1.637. The calculated chance to cover the +1.5 spread for Chunichi Dragons is 56.40%

The latest streak for Yokohama Baystars is L-L-L-L-W-L.

Next games for Yokohama Baystars against: Chunichi Dragons (Ice Cold Down)

Last games for Yokohama Baystars were: 0-1 (Loss) @Yomiuri Giants (Burning Hot) 29 June, 0-5 (Loss) @Yomiuri Giants (Burning Hot) 28 June

Next games for Chunichi Dragons against: @Yokohama Baystars (Dead)

Last games for Chunichi Dragons were: 2-1 (Loss) Hiroshima Carp (Burning Hot) 29 June, 2-1 (Loss) Hiroshima Carp (Burning Hot) 28 June

The Over/Under line is 5.50. The projection for Over is 57.76%.

Yakult Swallows at Hiroshima Carp

Game result: Yakult Swallows 2 Hiroshima Carp 2 (Overtime)

Score prediction: Yakult Swallows 1 - Hiroshima Carp 7
Confidence in prediction: 57.9%

According to ZCode model The Hiroshima Carp are a solid favorite with a 57% chance to beat the Yakult Swallows.

They are at home this season.

Yakult Swallows: 37th away game in this season.
Hiroshima Carp: 39th home game in this season.

According to bookies the odd for Hiroshima Carp moneyline is 1.495. The calculated chance to cover the +1.5 spread for Yakult Swallows is 51.00%

The latest streak for Hiroshima Carp is W-W-L-W-W-L.

Next games for Hiroshima Carp against: Yakult Swallows (Ice Cold Down)

Last games for Hiroshima Carp were: 2-1 (Win) @Chunichi Dragons (Ice Cold Down) 29 June, 2-1 (Win) @Chunichi Dragons (Ice Cold Down) 28 June

Next games for Yakult Swallows against: @Hiroshima Carp (Burning Hot)

Last games for Yakult Swallows were: 6-0 (Loss) Hanshin Tigers (Burning Hot) 29 June, 2-0 (Loss) Hanshin Tigers (Burning Hot) 28 June

The Over/Under line is 5.50. The projection for Over is 56.45%.

NC Dinos at Hanwha Eagles

Game result: NC Dinos 4 Hanwha Eagles 8

Score prediction: NC Dinos 5 - Hanwha Eagles 3
Confidence in prediction: 48%

According to ZCode model The NC Dinos are a solid favorite with a 56% chance to beat the Hanwha Eagles.

They are on the road this season.

NC Dinos: 52th away game in this season.
Hanwha Eagles: 39th home game in this season.

According to bookies the odd for NC Dinos moneyline is 1.880. The calculated chance to cover the +1.5 spread for Hanwha Eagles is 56.59%

The latest streak for NC Dinos is L-W-W-L-W-W.

Next games for NC Dinos against: @Hanwha Eagles (Average Down)

Last games for NC Dinos were: 7-3 (Loss) Doosan Bears (Ice Cold Up) 29 June, 1-3 (Win) Doosan Bears (Ice Cold Up) 28 June

Next games for Hanwha Eagles against: NC Dinos (Average)

Last games for Hanwha Eagles were: 0-2 (Loss) @SSG Landers (Average) 29 June, 5-2 (Win) @SSG Landers (Average) 28 June

The Over/Under line is 7.50. The projection for Over is 60.38%.

Kiwoom Heroes at KT Wiz Suwon

Game result: Kiwoom Heroes 7 KT Wiz Suwon 3

Score prediction: Kiwoom Heroes 1 - KT Wiz Suwon 5
Confidence in prediction: 54.6%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The KT Wiz Suwon are a solid favorite with a 78% chance to beat the Kiwoom Heroes.

They are at home this season.

Kiwoom Heroes: 39th away game in this season.
KT Wiz Suwon: 47th home game in this season.

According to bookies the odd for KT Wiz Suwon moneyline is 1.277.

The latest streak for KT Wiz Suwon is L-W-W-L-W-L.

Next games for KT Wiz Suwon against: Kiwoom Heroes (Burning Hot)

Last games for KT Wiz Suwon were: 5-10 (Loss) @Lotte Giants (Average) 29 June, 4-0 (Win) @Lotte Giants (Average) 28 June

Next games for Kiwoom Heroes against: @KT Wiz Suwon (Average Down)

Last games for Kiwoom Heroes were: 7-10 (Win) Samsung Lions (Dead) 29 June, 0-9 (Win) Samsung Lions (Dead) 28 June

The current odd for the KT Wiz Suwon is 1.277 which gives a perfect chance to include it in 2-3 team parlay with similar odds.

Samsung Lions at Doosan Bears

Game result: Samsung Lions 4 Doosan Bears 1

Score prediction: Samsung Lions 3 - Doosan Bears 2
Confidence in prediction: 49.5%

According to Z Code statistical analysis and game simulations The Samsung Lions are a solid favorite with a 58% chance to beat the Doosan Bears.

They are on the road this season.

Samsung Lions: 39th away game in this season.
Doosan Bears: 41th home game in this season.

Samsung Lions are currently on a Road Trip 4 of 4

According to bookies the odd for Samsung Lions moneyline is 1.399. The calculated chance to cover the +2.5 spread for Doosan Bears is 68.40%

The latest streak for Samsung Lions is L-L-L-L-W-L.

Next games for Samsung Lions against: @Doosan Bears (Ice Cold Up)

Last games for Samsung Lions were: 7-10 (Loss) @Kiwoom Heroes (Burning Hot) 29 June, 0-9 (Loss) @Kiwoom Heroes (Burning Hot) 28 June

Next games for Doosan Bears against: Samsung Lions (Dead)

Last games for Doosan Bears were: 7-3 (Win) @NC Dinos (Average) 29 June, 1-3 (Loss) @NC Dinos (Average) 28 June

The current odd for the Samsung Lions is 1.399 which gives a perfect chance to include it in 2-3 team parlay with similar odds.

Indiana at Minnesota

Score prediction: Indiana 71 - Minnesota 89
Confidence in prediction: 69.2%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The Minnesota are a solid favorite with a 71% chance to beat the Indiana.

They are at home this season.

Indiana are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 2
Minnesota are currently on a Home Trip 2 of 5

According to bookies the odd for Minnesota moneyline is 1.435. The calculated chance to cover the +5.5 spread for Indiana is 71.98%

The latest streak for Minnesota is W-W-L-W-W-W.

Next games for Minnesota against: Washington (Average), Golden State Valkyries (Burning Hot)

Last games for Minnesota were: 63-102 (Win) Connecticut (Dead) 29 June, 96-92 (Win) @Atlanta (Average) 27 June

Next games for Indiana against: Las Vegas (Average), Los Angeles (Dead)

Last games for Indiana were: 94-86 (Win) @Dallas (Average Up) 27 June, 85-75 (Loss) Los Angeles (Dead) 26 June

The Over/Under line is 167.50. The projection for Under is 96.73%.

Campeche at Veracruz

Score prediction: Campeche 6 - Veracruz 4
Confidence in prediction: 49.9%

This game has an interesting controversy. According to the bookies the favorite based on the odds is Veracruz however based on ZCode calculations the real predicted game winner is Campeche. Let this not confuse you. We base our predictions on the historical statistical model not on what bookies or fan crowd think of the odds.

Veracruz are at home this season.

Campeche: 25th away game in this season.
Veracruz: 24th home game in this season.

Veracruz are currently on a Home Trip 4 of 4

According to bookies the odd for Veracruz moneyline is 1.686. The calculated chance to cover the -1.5 spread for Veracruz is 52.45%

The latest streak for Veracruz is W-L-W-L-L-W.

Last games for Veracruz were: 5-9 (Win) Yucatan (Dead) 26 June, 11-5 (Loss) Yucatan (Dead) 25 June

Last games for Campeche were: 1-2 (Win) Caliente de Durango (Dead) 22 June, 5-6 (Win) Caliente de Durango (Dead) 21 June

Instituto de Cordoba at Boca Juniors

Score prediction: Instituto de Cordoba 80 - Boca Juniors 105
Confidence in prediction: 53.7%

According to ZCode model The Boca Juniors are a solid favorite with a 91% chance to beat the Instituto de Cordoba.

They are at home this season.

Instituto de Cordoba are currently on a Road Trip 3 of 3

According to bookies the odd for Boca Juniors moneyline is 1.370.

The latest streak for Boca Juniors is W-W-W-W-L-W.

Last games for Boca Juniors were: 83-80 (Win) @Quimsa (Average Down) 27 June, 70-87 (Win) Quimsa (Average Down) 24 June

Last games for Instituto de Cordoba were: 88-82 (Win) @Riachuelo (Average Down) 12 June, 64-56 (Loss) Riachuelo (Average Down) 7 June

The Over/Under line is 153.25. The projection for Over is 70.47%.

The current odd for the Boca Juniors is 1.370 which gives a perfect chance to include it in 2-3 team parlay with similar odds.

Toros de Tijuana at Monclova

Score prediction: Toros de Tijuana 8 - Monclova 5
Confidence in prediction: 49.3%

According to Z Code Calculations, based on statistical analysis since 1999 The Toros de Tijuana are a solid favorite with a 55% chance to beat the Monclova.

They are on the road this season.

Toros de Tijuana: 26th away game in this season.
Monclova: 32th home game in this season.

Toros de Tijuana are currently on a Road Trip 1 of 2
Monclova are currently on a Home Trip 4 of 5

According to bookies the odd for Toros de Tijuana moneyline is 1.860. The calculated chance to cover the +1.5 spread for Monclova is 59.04%

The latest streak for Toros de Tijuana is L-W-L-W-W-W.

Next games for Toros de Tijuana against: @Monclova (Average Up)

Last games for Toros de Tijuana were: 8-3 (Loss) Laguna (Average Up) 26 June, 1-2 (Win) Laguna (Average Up) 25 June

Next games for Monclova against: Toros de Tijuana (Average)

Last games for Monclova were: 1-3 (Win) Chihuahua (Average) 26 June, 6-1 (Loss) Chihuahua (Average) 25 June

The Over/Under line is 10.50. The projection for Under is 59.41%.

Zonkeys de Tijuana at Astros

Score prediction: Zonkeys de Tijuana 99 - Astros 76
Confidence in prediction: 30.5%

According to ZCode model The Astros are a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat the Zonkeys de Tijuana.

They are at home this season.

Zonkeys de Tijuana are currently on a Road Trip 2 of 2
Astros are currently on a Home Trip 2 of 2

According to bookies the odd for Astros moneyline is 1.350. The calculated chance to cover the +0 spread for Zonkeys de Tijuana is 82.67%

The latest streak for Astros is L-W-L-L-W-W.

Last games for Astros were: 70-69 (Loss) Zonkeys de Tijuana (Average) 30 June, 69-64 (Win) @Zonkeys de Tijuana (Average) 27 June

Last games for Zonkeys de Tijuana were: 70-69 (Win) @Astros (Average Down) 30 June, 69-64 (Loss) Astros (Average Down) 27 June

The Over/Under line is 164.50. The projection for Over is 83.10%.

The current odd for the Astros is 1.350 which gives a perfect chance to include it in 2-3 team parlay with similar odds.